In this edition of Top Shelf Spotlight. We delve into how technology is shaping
the future of the grocery industry. Join Mark Brandau, Chloe
Riely, and special guest Sylvain Perrer, President of North America
and CEO of Mercatus. As they unveil the insights from the 2023 Supermarket Technology Review. Discover the transformative power of strategic investments
in grocery technology and how it's revolutionizing
the way we shop for groceries. Stay tuned into this webinar
to learn how operational ef
ficiency and customer experience are at the
forefront of this technological revolution and how targeted investments in technology are key to unlocking success
in the grocery sector. Let's explore how grocery technology
is delivering streamlined operations and enhancing the customer experience. Hi, everybody. Good afternoon. Welcome to today's webinar
with Supermarket News, Intelligence and Mercatus. And today's presentation is how technology
is transforming the grocery industry. The person who's
talking right
now, that's me, Mark Brandau. I'm the guy in the middle there. I am a moderator
with Supermarket News Intelligence. I helped design the survey from which
all these insights are drawn and was the principal author of the report
that we're discussing today. But really, the more important folks
that are going to be talking today are our industry experts. So there's Chloe Riley, executive
editor of Supermarket News, and Sylvain Perrier, who
who's the president and COO of Mercatus. The
way that today is going to go
is that we're going to start with a big picture
look at the supermarket industry and the investments that they're making
in different kinds of technologies, which will lead into a discussion
about operational efficiencies. And then the next few seconds will be the
inside game and kind of the outside game. So growing sales from
within the four walls and trying to grow online sales and things like off premises channels like curbside and delivery. Finally, we'll do a d
iscussion of ways that retailers are collecting data
and more importantly, using it. And then we'll get into the real important
part of the show, which is the Ask the Experts section where we will be
interviewing Sylvain Perrier. Now, to begin, we're going to start with again
a big picture look at the industry and the tech investments
that they're making right now. And ahead of 2024. And luckily, pretty much every every retailer who took our survey
and there are more than 100 respondents did ide
ntify technology as an important
part of their future plans going forward. Nobody said it was unimportant,
and nearly half said it was going to be critical to
what their plans were for the coming year. Now they're also going to be starting
from a pretty, I would say, satisfied place
with their current tech stack. So all of their technologies
taken together and integrating closely with all that their tech stack and most
folks are fairly satisfied with it. They're more likely than not, they're mor
e likely to be satisfied
than dissatisfied. And I would say the majority of folks are at least satisfied
with their current technology. It works, but they are still looking for
improvements and looking for investment, which is why more than nine in ten
folks are in the market for some kind of new technology
or upgrade. Very few people are saying that it's probably not going to happen
in the next 12 months. And the way that that's going to happen,
interestingly, is that most folks are looking to
probably grow the number
of providers that they work with there. There are a few approaches
to technology in an industry like ours. You can kind of consolidate work with fewer technology partners,
look for more of an end to end solution. About a quarter of folks are targeting
that. Another quarter are looking to probably
stay put, keep the same number of providers
and still look for some new solutions. But a bare majority of retailers are looking
to work with new and more partners. Now, there's
a lot of interest, there's a lot of willingness
to invest, which is great. But of course, with any sort of major
outlay like technology, there are going to be some barriers
to investment. And I think that a lot of the reasons
would look familiar to us, especially right now, kind of in the last,
I would say 6 to 12 months, there's been a higher interest
rate environment. And so the cost of borrowing
is much higher. And so costs the budgets are going to be, you know,
kind of a hurdle for many to o
vercome. Three and five respondents to the survey. But there's also the
the questions of integration. Again, these tech stacks that people work
with, they're very, very complicated. And the more that you bring
in new solutions and kind of both amount of what you already have, whether or not
those systems play well together and share data can be, you know,
a difficult part of implementing. And so that's also a big a big issue
for many of our retailers. But here's what we're going to try to
really
tease out some of the differences between chains and independent retailers,
which was kind of the big cleavage here. Now, independents, it
it probably shouldn't surprise us are going to be more budget
conscious than some of the chains are. Chain supermarkets are part of larger
organizations that might have more resources
available to them. And independents are trying to operate in a very low margin business
kind of on their own. So it makes sense that they are going
to be a little more concerne
d with cost. And I think that does logically go into the issue
of staffing as well. Not enough folks to manage new systems, but if you look at the reality for chain
supermarkets as well, they're more a little bit more concerned
than Independents are about the lack of integration. So the difficulty of implementing new technology, what
that might do to operations and, you know, just sort of how unwieldy that could
potentially make their tech stack of the rest of these options. Chains and Independe
nts
are pretty well aligned on. Very few of them are saying, well,
there's no willingness to invest. They're not necessarily overwhelmed
with the options, but they have different priorities and Chloe, if you don't mind,
I'd like to bring you in here because you're far closer to the industry
than I am. And I'm just sort of wondering
what you make of these these splits right now between chains and independents when it comes to what might hold them
back? Yeah. Yeah. Well, I think Mark, just kind of
as you just identified, you know, I don't think
it's surprising at all necessarily. You know, you look at chains
like Walmart, Kroger or Target, and, you know, we're just talking,
you know, mostly just leaps and bounds ahead in terms of, you know, capital
to invest in emerging tech. You know, not only that, but, you know, these larger
brands also have these resources. You know, they have a tech division,
potentially multiple roles. When we're talking about decision makers, you know, when it com
es to prioritizing
tech and integration, you know, whereas an independent
might might not have any one individual responsible for paying attention to those emerging trends,
opportunities for optimization. So, yeah, absolutely. I can see why these numbers
follow the way they do. Yeah, and it leads into our next section
pretty well. I think a big priority
across the industry. And this held for both chains
and independents, I think is when we presented
these different priorities for technology, ask
them to rank, you know, of these five or you are number one
all the way to what's number five. Operational, operational efficiency
really rose to the top across all kinds of retailers. And it makes a lot of sense, right, In order for us to get the most use out of this technology,
it has to make us better. It can't slow us down. It can't complicate, you know, a very high volume, low margin business
like ours. And so I think that that that flows
from a lot of what we just saw on the previous slid
e
about concerns of investment. But then also, I think it's worth noting
that customer experience was was very, very important as well. This is different ways that customers
can use us, whether it's online ordering, whether it's, you know, some technology
like self ordering, self-checkout to make things
a little bit easier on the customer. And then number three,
I would just point out employee experience, that's kind of
usability and functionality. How how hard is this going to be for our
our st
aff to use? So it goes back to what we were
talking about before as well. Now, you
know, the reason why we asked this and why we wanted to point that out is
we were asking all retailers, okay, well, then of all the things that you can get accomplished in the next 12 months,
what are your biggest objectives? And frankly,
this one surprised me a little bit. And until I thought about it
a little bit more. So kind of this top tier of responses, you know, there's increasing average
sales per order. T
here's growing our online business
and improving relationship with customers, using data
to maybe personalize some offers. But even above those at the top is one in three respondents said, well,
we really need to reduce shrink. And just a little bit further down,
a quarter of them say what we need to reduce our
are out of stocks. And they said that more than you know
just generally lowering operating costs, generally lowering lowering labor costs. And so I thought, okay,
that that's kind of inte
resting. But then the more that I think about it, those those options that I just sort of talked about,
they really get to profitability. Sure, there are ways to grow
top line revenue, but when it comes to the things
that are going to drive efficiency and really drive the bottom line,
then it makes sense to me that, you know,
they would rise to the top or near the top and this slide is one where also I think
it's just as interesting to note what is at the bottom of responses
and what really didn
't rate as well as what is at the top. And so if you look down there at those
three little red lines at the bottom, there's very little appetite for operators
to streamline, to streamline operations. And any of the major departments, whether
it's a center store or the perimeter. You know, and Chloe, I wanted
to ask you about this, too, because, first of all, there are,
you know, a couple of things. Can you just give me your thoughts on why
these profitability focused, operationally efficient foc
uses, focii
however you want to say that why those are ranking as high as driving top line revenue? Well, yeah. So I would say I mean, looking at what's at the top there,
I mean, the reduced shrink, you know, we're just seeing out of stocks,
I mean, that definitely drives, you know, what we're seeing. We've been seeing nationwide increase
in theft and shrink over the past year. You know, retailers like Walgreens
are rolling out new store concepts in urban areas, you know, specifically
designed f
or reduced theft, reduce theft. You know, a company like Target announcing
it was going to close nine stores across four states,
you know, again, due to theft issues, not to mention, you know, all the intense issues of crime
and theft coming out of San Francisco. So, I mean, that definitely tracks
in terms of out of stocks, you know, to me,
that feels like a labor pain. You know, without tech out of stocks
are managed by people. And, you know, the people part has just
feels like it's been a neve
r ending challenge since COVID and probably even
a little bit before COVID as well. So, yes, both of those make sense for me. Yeah. And I think that this says something to
about kind of the labor problem as well. You know, whether it's in supermarkets
or in restaurants, whenever
whenever the issue of technology comes up, you know,
I think a lot of people's ears perked up and they say, well, okay,
how much is this? How much of this is a straight
labor play? Right? How much are you trying to reduc
e
headcount and still, you know, maintain sales with your people. But at least according to these responses,
there doesn't seem to be the case. I mean, the streamlining options
were kind of framed to the respondents as doing doing more with fewer people. And that just doesn't
seem to have much appeal here. Yeah, I was just going to say absolutely,
because I think the opposite is happening for many retailers. We talked to. You know, it takes so much right now
to find good, reliable workers. And s
o I'm surmising that
for most grocers, you know,
it isn't an issue of streamlining, but rather curiosity about how they can be
using tech, you know, both to make their employees lives easier
and therefore keep retention up while then also simultaneously,
you know, improving their own bottom line. Yeah. And as we so
as we move on from this slide, we are going to get into the discussion
of the top line. Here's where we really want to, you know,
talk about sales driving strategies. And so in this t
able here,
you'll it'll look kind of familiar because this is just a different way that we are framing of the top objectives
for all retailers here. It's just in this table here. So the totals are the same. The next two columns to the right
are the crosstabs for how chain retailers responded
and how independent retailers responded. And I think it's really important
to point out those differences here throughout the rest of the presentation
because we really did. I think, find
a lot of interestin
g differences. But I do want to begin with here in large part at chain retailers and independents
were pretty much aligned on things like lowering operating costs
and reducing labor costs generally and on the need to improve
customer relationships, you know, getting data,
using it to really convert more direct offers and things like that
that go to the top line. But what I wanted to point out now is a few places where independents and chains are going to be a little bit
different in the way that
they respond. And generally,
one theme that kind of popped up in these responses is that independents
are, for the most part, generally more focused on improving sales within the four walls of their stores. They are, you know,
some of them have already adopted online sales and first party or third party
delivery and curbside. But compared with chains,
they are a little bit more focused on increasing average
sales per order, growing their prepared food sales
and sales in other parts of the perim
eter, and then also on optimizing their
assortment, which which makes sense to me. And that's a way for them to really boost that top line as best they can. And the reason why is that
they all operators, not just independents, do seem to agree that the
the in-store departments are at least right now more profitable
than some of the off premises channels. Certainly the perimeter departments
like the Meat counter bakery, deli, in-store food service brands,
if you have them, are more profitable, it
appears, than online
ordering or curbside pick up. You know, in-store
pharmacy does does fairly well, but it's virtually nonexistent
for independents in the survey. And then retail media networks
we'll talk about later. But we're pretty early on, I think I think most folks are having trouble
driving a lot of profit from those departments compared with,
you know, the perimeter and center store. So that's why
I think that the things we saw on the previous slide
a little bit more relevant. And of
course, what we want to get out with
this entire presentation is how those goals and those hurdles drive
the current investment landscape and interest
in future investments in some technology. So we'll start with
some of the in-store technology and one other kind of big theme
that popped up to us and that I think that we can hopefully have something
to talk about more during the Q&A is that in this industry it's really software
led right now more than hardware led. So if you look at this, at thi
s table, the left column of data is where these solutions are already implemented
across the industry. So these are the the number of respondents who have already
implemented this kind of technology. And you can see our software
for inventory management and scheduling and labor management
are already very, very high. And then the big kind of piece of hardware
that is more common, especially at chains,
independents are self-checkout kiosks, but right now this is very,
very software led, much lowe
r levels of adoption for things that we're reading about
in supermarket news, you know, things like smart carts and, you know, digital tags and digital signage
for end caps or sections, the really cool freezer case displays. We'll see that they've got,
you know, a good amount of interest by just low levels of adoption so far. And the way that we look at it
next on this slide. So this bar chart is basically
a measurement of net interest. We are taking the folks who say that
they are not intereste
d in adopting these certain technologies, subtracting
them from the folks who are interested. So for all these solutions, among those
who have not yet implemented, the ones with the highest interest
are still it's still software related,
which is interesting. And I think a lot of that has to do
with the fact that independents are looking to catch up on a lot of these
on a lot of these solutions. Chains
have already kind of led the adoption. Independents
recognize that they want to catch up. And
so that's kind of what's driving
the net interest for a lot of these. And here we're seeing things
like digital price tags and digital digital signage
kind of come up a little bit more. And, you
know, you look way down at the bottom. Kitchen Robots right now
just don't seem very relevant to a lot of people, chain
and especially independent. And there's a little bit less runway
for things like, you know, self-checkout kiosks
because the adoption is so high. And Chloe,
when you when you look at al
l this stuff, one thing that kind of jumps out to me
is, okay, independents right now
are they're very focused on increasing sales within the four walls. And yet some of the things
that are out there to maybe drive sales, things
like digital signage to merchandise the center store or perimeter apartments
a little bit better. Their interest is a little bit lower than I would have thought,
especially relative to chains. And so I'm just sort of wondering what you think about,
you know, that imperat
ive to to grow sales and how it's translating or not into investments are looking to make. Yeah, Mark,
I would say my my overall impression, just looking at, you know, the data
we've got here is just that this level of tech is, I would say maybe
just too granular for most independents. You know, I see the data here. This is just, you know, I'm
a driving response from independents. I mean, there's just kind of higher level
issues, point of focus. And yeah, I would say, you know, options
like smar
t carts and freezer, you know, freezer signage,
freezer displays kind of feel like add ons or bonuses maybe at the stage
sort of like a a nice to have. But I need to have just in terms of,
you know, managing the bottom line. Sure. All right. We've
got lots of great questions coming in. We'll try to get to them
as much as we can in the Q&A with Sylvain. We're going to move on right now
to the next part here. So there's the in-store experience,
which I think is a bit of a focus for independents. A
nd now we're going to look at
some of the ways that folks are trying to invest
in driving online sales. Now, again, here's our here's
our chart of top objectives. Again, what I'll point out here is that where
chains are more focused than independents on some things would be on, for one thing,
increasing the online business two in five chain retailers said that that's a top
objective for the next 12 months. And it also leads into there a little bit further ahead than chains on
wanting to moderniz
e their technology. We do think that those things
kind of go together. But overall, we took a look at retailers
projections for their online sales group. We asked them chains and independent like, you know, over the next five years
or so from now till 2028, what kind of a compound annual growth rate do you think you'll achieve for online
sales? The good thing here
is that it is largely optimistic. I mean, fewer than one in ten people
are not expecting growth in online sales. And for the most par
t, I think that people are cautiously optimistic
and they're looking for some steady growth in the mid-single digit
range over over the next five years. Now, there is there is a difference here, I think, where chains are more focused
on the upside case and independents might be the ones driving the kind of pessimistic case
a little bit more. Makes sense given that the lead
the chains already have in this. But overall, I think it's a pretty
it's a pretty good distribution that points to some pret
ty cautious
optimism for online sales growth. And with all of these sections,
we're going to look at kind of how that's driving current adoption
and interest in some solutions. So here I think that it makes sense
that of all the eCommerce options, we already have some pretty good adoption
of things like direct digital offers. You know, four in five retailers
have already adopted these things. Virtually nobody is disinterested
in getting that. I'm getting that done. I'd like to meet the 2% of peo
ple
who aren’t interested in that. There's much more adoption
of first party online ordering than there is a third party, and we'll see
that the interest is different for those
who still have to implement that. And then discussion of loyalty programs
and gasoline rewards, that is more driven by chains. Right now than independents. But we'll see that
they're trying to catch up. And then we'll also talk about retail
media networks and video video, e-commerce, live streams. It's a pretty interestin
g thing
that we'll get to here on the next slide. So it as as was the case before
with some of the in-store technology, independents are much more interested in
in adopting some of these things largely because they're trying
to catch up relative to chains. I think that they see that
these are worthy investments to make. They're trying to figure out
how to bring them with new partners and so and and even still off of the highest base
of adoption, direct digital marketing
has the highest interest.
But really, I think what is two
things are interesting here. First, third party online ordering. I think that folks are kind
of coming around to the idea that a direct owned channel
is probably better, you know, not only for hanging on
to more of your profit by not paying out a commission,
you have to keep more of your data. We'll hear later from Sylvain. And I think about places
where third party partners do kind of help with a first party
plus model for that last mile. But really here also re
tail media networks,
there's kind of parity in terms of interest
among independents and chains. They're both interested in
and doing more of it off of kind of a I would say a fair
to middling base of adoption. Already about one in three retailers
have already done it. But Chloe I've got to be honest, you know,
this was kind of a new one for me, not covering supermarkets
as closely as I might restaurants and, you know, it's a very, very cool thing. I think that there's a lot of potential
there, b
ut I'm wondering how you see it as the industry expert
where we are with all that. Yeah, I think especially with, you know, the retail media network
pull out was interesting to me. And I think, you know,
when it comes to retail media, I mean, it's a fast growing space. The bigger chains are ahead, obviously,
but we're also seeing more mid-tier grocers
starting to play in the space, too. You know, Fresh Market has been doing some really cool things
with shoppable livestreams. They just launched
a
retail media network in February. Hy-Vee just launched its retail and media
network, Read Media a few months ago. Over the summer, Kroger announced it was going to be bringing its
retail media ad tech fully in-house. So we're just seeing a lot of movement,
you know, just generally in the space right now. It just feels like things are moving
and shaking in the space. There are big opportunities there. And, you know, I would say the data
seems to suggest not obviously chains are, you know, very a
ware of that,
but it seems to suggest, you know, independents are also interested
in growing the space further. Yeah. I mean, it is really interesting,
but it's just such a heavy lift to produce that kind of content,
you know, with the production value and in the amount that you need to produce
to have to have a have a network that people can kind of come back to
and then that you sell against. So the fact that both chains
and independents want to do it I think is great, you know, but the just
t
he production needs of that content are going to be really interesting
to look at, I think, you know, absolutely. And so the last thing, too, will be a discussion of,
you know, data more generally. You know, these are places where we we wanted to kind of get at this
this question of, okay, so what does artificial intelligence
look like in the supermarket industry and what are
some of the practical uses for it? Because, you know, AI is is in the news
a lot things like, you know, generative AI for
search and chat. Very, very cool, very interesting
and going to be pretty disruptive to a lot of industries. And I think that in our industries,
in supermarkets, they'll also be pretty cool. So we're going to get to that. First, we wanted to ask this question
that we ask in a lot of our tech surveys. We asked this of restaurant operators
before. We're doing it here in the supermarket industry,
and that's kind of setting a baseline of to what extent do you feel like
you're already kind of optimi
zing the customer data
that you can already collect and put to use? You know, interestingly enough,
at the beginning of this year, we asked this of restaurant operators
and, you know, a majority of them expressed that they they weren't
very confident that they were. You know, there are a lot of you know,
probably not and definitely not. You know, we're just we don't know if
we're doing as much as we can with it yet. And in the supermarket industry,
it is a little bit of of the reverse. It's abou
t three quarters of respondents
said that, you know, they're somewhat
at least somewhat confident and very confident that they're optimizing
their customer data. I think that makes sense. You know,
they have a lot of sources to draw from of things
like direct offers in the US, but it shouldn't surprise anybody that, again,
this split is going to be indicative
of the chain and independent split. You know,
I think that chains probably have, you know, more technology in place
to collect more data a
nd also more technology in place
to put it to use as well. So this makes sense to me, but I think
that even among independents, there's a fair amount of confidence
that they know what to do with what they know about their customers. And so we took a look at where a lot of the retailers
are getting this data from. It should be it should be no surprise that transaction data from from
the US is a big one. Also ones that have loyalty programs. I think a big reason
why you run our lunch program is so
not just to drive frequency,
but to know who these customers are. And then about half of the respondents also do pretty well
on voice of the customer. Things
like surveys, listening to social media and online reviews. But there are you know, I want to just point out that there are,
you know, some splits here. Again, like I said before,
you know, our suspicions were confirmed that the chain retailers
are a little bit farther ahead right now in putting putting their loyalty programs
to use having
sort of more robust ways
to get data out of their systems. And that also trickles down to, you know, tracking the redemption
of direct coupons and offers as well. So a lot of a lot of these should should make sense prior slides. And so what's interesting here
is that the investments and the current adoption already of a lot
of analytics programs and I are are pretty interesting. I think that this is an industry that I would say is among the better, you know, retail
industry's ad sales and labor
forecasting, you know sort of sort of knowing
when you're busy periods are how to manage your inventory
and labor around that. And also there's there's more than
half of respondents that have already adopted some sort of automated
marketing for personalized offers. So there's still plenty of use of direct
mail. I'm sure, in the in the industry. But we have done a pretty good job,
I think, of digitizing that and delivering it
in ways that are more relevant. So through email,
through phone of sor
ts of technologies that everybody uses and uses quite a bit. Now the other parts of AI are a little bit
further down on this table. So there's suggests a suggest
a upselling capability, whether the platform is,
you know, at a self-checkout kiosk or in a retail, in a retail video network
or on your online ordering engine. And then there are also chatbots for
customer service or for upselling as well. But right now, the adoption is much lower
in those cases than just sort of the, you know, kind of
straightforward
brute force that you would get from,
you know, your sales or labor forecasting. I think a lot of folks realize that
even if you're using something as common as, you know, Microsoft Excel or another kind of database, you know,
Ai is all through that helping you slice and dice your data. Now, net interest is still I think people are seeing
that there is a lot of a lot more progress to be made in quick
wins to have through software. So that's why we see a lot of interest
in sales f
orecasting and Labor forecasting still automating
things like inventory management and automating marketing are still very,
very popular. You know, and one thing that I was not too surprised to see once I really
thought about it was just the the, the interaction of of chat bots
probably not as relevant to a grocery shopper as maybe somebody
doing a restaurant occasion. And I think that's suggestive. Selling is probably going to be dependent on adopting
these other things like retail, retail, vid
eo networks and, you know,
a more robust online ordering engine. So I would just stay tuned there. The interest is probably there makes sense that chains are probably a little bit
more ready than independents are for that. So yeah, Chloe And anything else before
we kind of move on to the next section. No, no. Mark, it’s great. Super comprehensive.
Okay, great. Because I've been waiting to be waiting
to bring on our esteemed panelist, Sylvain Perrier. So Sylvain and Mercatus were very,
very great
partners who were both here on the survey. They helped us really get our heads around
a lot of industry issues, and so we're really happy to bring him on. Chloe is going to drive a lot of the interview here. Chloe, While you and Sylvain are talking,
I'm going to look through all of our great questions here
from the audience. Q&A hopefully identify a couple
that we can get to before our time is up. But Sylvain, it's great to see you again. Thanks so much for joining us. And Chloe, why don't you
take it away? Great. Sounds great. I mean, yes, I mean, there's so much obviously just great questions coming in, but I feel like, yeah,
a great place to start is just, you know, where do you think the grocery industry
sort of is in terms of curve of adopting technology? You know, it looks like from the survey,
like we're seeing most operators starting with the software
before they get into the fancy hardware. We're also seeing
that kind of investment in the, you know, back office functionality
before
rolling out the customer facing solutions. But yeah, I'd love to hear your thoughts
on this. Yeah. And first of all, it's
great being here with with all of you. And it's a good question. Investments
in technology is very much cyclical. A lot of it, I argue, is is tied to the macroeconomic drivers. And we are seeing today
if you were to compare, ‘08 to ’23, there's there are certain elements
that are similar customers trading down going from the preferred high-low
merchant down to the disc
ount, the discount to potentially food banks. And unfortunate thing to say,
I think what contrast those two time periods fundamentally is, is two things. One is labor rates are higher. And the second thing
is the widespread adoption of SAAS platforms and mobile technology. And so I'm not surprised
when we see this pivot to investing deeply in software
for for a couple of reasons. One is software
is malleable easy to change and you can get more out of it,
especially in a climate where data is key
in trying to break down data silos,
get a complete 360 degree view of the customer hardware is more problematic
and is typically single function. So if you look inside of a store,
very rare do you see widespread deployments of kiosks at low usage,
high cost, high support maintenance fees, and also sometimes
troublesome inside of a store? If you have low labor penetration,
you need someone to kind of manage those, those kiosks and so on. So the numbers that are being
presented are not a surprise
. Yeah, and I
think that's such a great observation. Just the nimbleness of software. We're kind of in the era we're in now. It makes total sense. It's kind of pivoting over. I feel like, you know, the operators
that look, you know, in our data here, you know, when it came to online sales
growth over the next five years was, you know, moderately optimistic,
not too bullish. I'd love to hear your outlook as well
as, you know, what you think the industry could do to really accelerate
its e-commerc
e success. You know, I'd also like to hear
if you have any thoughts on how independents can be doing that. I think that would be very interesting, too,
since there's obviously the interest here. But it seems like the independent side
is where we were seeing more of a barrier to entry,
at least according to this data. Yeah, we're still really bullish
on the numbers when it comes to e-commerce growth. So we we announced seven, I believe 7.8, 7.5 for last month,
actually September numbers 7.5 billi
on in terms of overall online
sales. We're actually going to be announcing
the October numbers soon with Brick Meets Click. And we've seen again a considerable growth in online sales
for specifically for eCommerce. I would encourage,
you know, there's this dichotomy and the numbers are presented by MarK,
where you seeing this fight between the the chains and the independents, between customer
acquisition and customer retention and there's various degrees
of sophistication to be able to do that.
So what we try to counsel are retailers
that are using eCommerce is A) Own your customer
and make sure you retain have your 1P and 3P strategy
very well defined. And what I mean by that,
having a very well defined 1P 3 P strategy is
you want to own your customer end to end. And I think there's generally
nothing wrong in using a 3P, but make sure that they are integrated
in the fulfillment process, that they're not owning
the entire customer relationship and pricing needs to be considered. So how
do you price in store versus
how you price in your 1P and your price in your 3P needs to be considered
because if you're not capturing the customer
who's looking for convenience, that at very least
as opposed to driving them to a competitor you want to drive,
you drive them into your brick and mortar I also feel like that's great,
just really simple actionable items in terms of, you know, how grocers can be
thinking about better optimizing this. The same, you know, investing in technology,
you
know, would have been more affordable like so many things years ago
in a lower interest rate environment. How should operators prioritize
their investments now? You know,
especially with independent grocers, you know, indicating
they're they're very budget conscious. Yeah. I go back to the data that Mark presented. Shrink is top of mind for everyone
right now in downtown Toronto. A majority of our retailers
actually have the implemented security or locked up items and there's a cost
associated a
ssociated to that. So examining ways of using technology
to buy net shrink, also SKU composition, SKU rationalization
quite more fundamentally, I think in some cases I visited, you know,
I spend my time visiting a lot of stores. I always feel that they're over
merchandised. We as consumers always buy the same 1000
to 1200 products on an annual basis. So I think their needs
there needs to be some some thought process put into that to that realm. I also think that managing labor
is extremely criti
cal. Cost of labor is high. Either we give better tools and applications
to the existing workforce to be able to do things
much more efficiently or faster, or we put technology into the hands
of consumers so they can self-serve. That comes as an added challenge,
putting technology into the hands of consumers, because then you're dealing
with high capital costs typically. And also, I'd argue this potentially an increase in shrink,
which is theft. So it's it's very much a balancing act. And not ev
ery retailer
is going to have fundamentally the same opportunity as a challenge
independent of access to capital. It's going to come down
to who you are as a brand, where are you in in the United States
from a geographical perspective? And who are your customers? Yeah, we have retailers out there
that really cater to a younger, more urban crowd versus a more, you know, rural, comfortable middle age
group of individuals. It's still still a great and savvy
at using technology, but maybe want to ha
ve a more high touch experience versus someone that lives in Metro
New York. Is 22 years old. So I think it's also understanding
that market baseline first and foremost. Sure, sure. So it sounds like this is, you know, largely we should be thinking
this is sort of a B2B tech fix, not necessarily a B2C in the sense of,
you know, this isn't it makes more sense to get this tech into the hands of the,
you know, the store employees versus, you know, versus
the consumers of the shopper. I was going to
say,
what do you make of the, you know, chain versus independent
sort of split, wanting to drive this need to drive online
sales versus mine to boost average spend per in-store visit? And how should any operator approach
striking the right balance there? Yeah, so it's really funny, Mark, you're
your research was spot on in a question that I asked a crowd of retailers
back in the summertime in Cincinnati. And it was it was wild where the chains
were more about acquisition and the smaller
indepen
dents were, were about retention. So that's great. So that's a solid indication. I think fundamentally this could be driven
by this shift in consumer spending. So going from your preferred local smallish retailer
where you're buying your preferred brand, the things that you really enjoy
are more expensive and maybe you're not buying them as much
and you're trading down to a larger chain who has maybe a less expensive private
label item and so on, or national brand. It's heavily, heavily discount
ed. So that could be the case
in my conversations with retailers at the independent levels, they understand
if they can retain a consumer and convince them
to put one more product in the basket, that profit that that amount goes
straight to the bottom line. And I think it's more it's easier
to conceptualize that if you're a small, independent operator,
you know, your customers versus if you're a large chain
and you have a machine that's running that consistently is about
customer acquisition tur
ning on a dime. Is there is very, very difficult. In any case, it's not to say that
the chains aren't thinking about this, but I think as a whole they are geared today
to operate in one way. That's great. Great observations. Sylvain, is there anything else
that you want to mention or get to or anything else in the data
is jumping out to you before we maybe try to jump and answer
some of these questions here in the Q&A? No, I think, Mark,
you did a fantastic job. And in just this stuff, this
this
data will serve a community in the industry
well to make some strategic decisions. Well, thanks. And that's in large part to your help
to and the market itself. So thank you for that. Sylvain,
are you ready for some audience Q&A? Let's do it. Okay, great. So so a lot of these
there's a lot of sort of really great ones that I would not have thought
to ask myself. And the first one comes from Colin. So Colin says with the move
to go for more tech and more digital, inevitably
that means more elect
rical consumption. And in some markets
that really won't be tenable. And so the question from Colin is do you see corporate ESG initiatives
coming into direct conflict with the move to go toward more digital
and more online sales? Yeah, it's it's quite possible
and it is a very much I'll give you guys a great example. I mean our our state authority
here is really pushing for EVs and no gasoline operated vehicles
by certain a certain date and time and and my state and Canada in general were reall
y not set up for infrastructure
to be able to do that. And there's a bit of a of a mad scramble. So you're seeing legislation
not catching up with decisions or at the consumer level and so on. So I would expect the exact same conflict
to occur within corporate America
on on some of these initiatives. I would even push that further. We're even now today with some privacy laws
that we see in California, CCPA. Now we have copycat laws
emerging in 11 other states. And AI really, really taking off. I
think people are not understanding
how conflicts around trademarks, copyrights and TII And I think
we're going to see even more conflicts at that level that will emerge faster
than at the hardware level. So that's great. Question by Colin. Yeah, definitely was next one that comes from Jeff and Jeff's is online growth
just cannibalization of in-store sales. It seems like a margin killing process
in a lot of cases. Yeah, this is like
I used to get asked that question like ten years ago
and I woul
d say ten years ago. Absolutely. But what we saw phenomenon
through the pandemic is the stabilization in the reality of the convenience factor of e-commerce
and people don't really really get hooked to e-commerce
after three and a half, four tries. It depends on the market. What we see is, yes, it's to a certain
extent it's cannibalization, but the online basket in some cases 1.5 to 2x larger than in-store. So the retailer benefits
not only from the transition, it's a transition to online,
but a
much larger product set in any case. So they are capturing item sales
that normally that consumer would go buy somewhere else and that's and that's more items in the basket,
not necessarily taking price increases for online. That's right because that's that's a really interesting
thing from the restaurant world too, is that the menu prices
will go way up for an online order. And I don't know, do they do that
as much in the supermarket industry? Yeah, it's it's
it depends on what they've negotia
ted with their there if they're 3P it depends. So if they're selling at parity
with it in-store then the services will typically will use to offset the parity or the retailer will take it
out of margin. In some other cases they're passing
the entire cost on to the consumers. So then the online pricing
will be significantly higher than in-store. Gotcha. Really good question here from Garret. What other types of shrinkage are
retailers looking to solve with software other than theft? Another theft
is top of mind,
of course, in the public comments, but what else can we do
with technology around shrinkage? Yeah, and I think it's important
to define theft. So theft is not just in store by a unknown third party. I mean, so there is employee theft and
that's the harsh reality of the industry. And it's theft across the supply chain
from the moment it leaves manufacturing to distribution center or in the case,
if it's DSD, directly directly to the stores. So theft does occur in those spaces. Sh
rink is also food wastage. So it could be vegetables. It could also be, you know,
when you walk by the deli counter or the bakery section, the bakery section
being my favorite section, those things have a stale date. And so the more that you produce and if you can't sell it, then there is
there's become this shrink. There's this risk
that is thrown away after a certain date. So software really, at the end of the day
can really help a understand your production volumes,
what you should be, what y
ou should be manufacturing in store,
baking or preparing. And that's by looking at historical
historical trends. So great example. The this the second one
is also understanding food safety. When is it time and so on and then
so when you and so that's a great way of defining shrink that's that is
and that's being part of shrinking. So I've got a really great kind of
philosophical question here from Sanjay. So he frames it thusly. So based on the costs related
to technology adoption for independen
ts, what strategies do you see them employing to compete with chains aside
from just catching up with tech? Yeah, well, the old school fundamentals prevail of safe, clean stores
that are easy to shop in-stock customized assortments based on local
demographics and local preferences, customer service, etc. So how how much does the operations
elements matter when we're also trying
to catch up technology-wise to chains? Yeah, that's a great question. So so there are fundamentals, right? So so think
of grocery
as an operating system, right? So if you think of as an operating system,
there are some non-negotiables. From an operating system perspective,
I need a word processor and a spreadsheet. I need to see files need to print,
I need to browse the Internet. Well, groceries, the exact same thing. I need a box I P.O.S.. I need product on the shelves,
I need labor and so on. And guess what? I need clean stores. I need to service my customers. Right. You can't escape the non-negotiables. So le
t's just say in the non-negotiables
are covered at that point, everything else is about differentiation. And so you can take two approach
approaches, a me too approach and hope you can you can succeed and win, or take it,
take a complete sideways approach. A great example and Chloe mentioned it
at the top of the webinar and she's going to keep me honest here. The Fresh Market in their streams,
their live stream where they have influencers unpack, a pack
a bag of groceries and make a recipe that
is going like gangbusters for them. Yeah, and none of the large chains do this and I even think the closest is a few in China
that I've seen. So I don't know why is Target
not doing this with fashion. Why is Walmart not doing this? That's a great example of differentiation. We have a great retailer here that's local,
very small, that does e-commerce. It's 1P it's but it's fulfilled by a 3P. They personalized handwritten notes
in a bag. I'm like, I'm a big fan. I think that's a great way to do it
. It's low tech, low tech. Yeah. I mean, that sounds like, you know, that's why people love the Four Seasons
so much. Right personalized. Yeah, handwritten service
and the hospitality sector. Absolutely. At once. Okay. We have a few minutes for a few more and they keep coming here,
so I'll try to keep up as best I can. Everybody Next one comes from Kevin. What role do you see Optical analytics
with smart cameras playing in the highest priority
of reducing shrink? So this is one that we probably
when we were designing the survey,
we didn't know too much about yet. But what do you see in the in the world of smart cameras and incorporating video. Yeah it's I, I historically was a big firm
believer of consumers just using their camera on their phone
to self scan their products. And I think that's still a viable option. Look low adoption rate but there's there's a third party
solution in market right now and I and they’re called Focal and I
and what I know of that technology it's a camera t
hat is fixed on a shelf
and then what it does it snaps pictures and it can using I point out, dead zones within there's products
missing on the shelf. I think that could be further tweaked for to t log to its products stolen. I think there's some great applications
application in that sense. And this is one that I'm very,
very curious on. There's a really great question here
regarding loyalty. So this is from from Jean. And Jean says, Regarding loyalty, people are accustomed
to go to their local
store because they, you know,
they might know the butcher, they might know the owner
and trust the quality there. But with e-commerce,
how do you maintain this loyalty if all the stores have the ability,
the available, the ability to sell online? And so does this create
sort of a race to the bottom where there's no differentiation, we all can
sort of offer this online selling. How do you maintain that personal loyalty
that you engender in the store? Yeah, Well,
so first of all, if if you're onl
y doing marketplace, you're no better than anyone
else on the marketplace. Number two is if you're counting
on a third party to deliver for you and you're at least not giving them
standards of operating, and you're not telling them
that experience or whatever you're handing off
to that third party to deliver. If you're not tweaking that,
you're no better than everyone else. That's why
we're seeing a massive amount of retailers that are doing better on curbside pickup where you in It's their own.
In some cases it's their own labor in
store and doing the picking and packing. So you're fostering that relationship
with the individual that's doing the picking
and packing for you. They get to know you personally. They may recognize that you've forgotten
to order something or they're recommending a different
a different product or something new they have in the store to the person
carrying those items out to you in the store, you get to foster that relationship. At the end of the day,
that gi
ves you the choice as a consumer. If you love the in-store experience,
you can go in. If you're under a time crunch,
but you still want that high touch, personalized experience,
you can go and do curbside and so on. I will say again, do not as a retailer,
take the need to approach. You have to think operationally,
put on your customer satisfaction hat What are the little things that you can do
that are going to make a big, big difference. So I mean, can I just say it's the best
answer to that qu
estion I've ever heard? thank you. Appreciate. Thank you. I've had to ask
constantly in this industry since I started in it, which is, yeah,
I love this idea of that. It's on you. The onus is on you as the operator
to not get lazy with your with your e-commerce, with your delivery
that you need to make that just as special as is.
If someone was walking through your doors. It's a great answer. Absolutely. The amount of retailers
that don't even measure their KPIs on their on their e-commerce oper
ation and and suddenly they're like,
this isn't working for us. I wonder why. You're not measuring it. It's just mind boggling. All right. So I think we have time
for one more question. I'm going to try to combine two
that just came in because I find them to be pretty similar. So so then what technologies do you see
taking off in the near future? And somebody also asked
how important things like these digital price tags are going to be. Do you see them
becoming more of a requirement for everybod
y? So I love what Microsoft is doing with Open AI. I've been specifically playing around
what they've done in power BI and copilot tied to Office 365 I think a AI Insight
HQ First people learning how to adapt and I think you've got to be purposeful
and training your employees so they know what the boundaries are
and so on and so on and so on and so on. I think that's first, I think
moving this back into the front in the hands of consumers at a presentation
there, I love what BirdsEye is doing. I
think that generally makes sense. And your second part of, your question, I forget if you could just
quickly repeat it for me. Somebody asked specifically about some of
the in-store digital merchandizing. So yeah, I do stuff like that. Yeah. So ESL tech for it, it makes sense for large format and where you have mature loyalty,
where you understand where you could affect price at a moment's
notice to help you increase sales if you're simply implementing it
to save on labor. Yet they're great, gr
eat studies
that could prove that. But the ROI has to apply. I think it's ESL
plus the other stuff that I just mentioned that generally starts to make sense. We see that quite well here
in Toronto with Loblaws that has done it in a superstore at size
150,000 square feet. Very difficult to quickly change prices
and it's tied to their optimum program. So I think they've
done a really great job, great. So everybody, I think that is all the time
we have here. We thank you guys
so much for staying wi
th us for this full hour
for asking all these great questions. And Sylvain, thank you so much to you and your team
for all the help from the design process of this survey all the way through
presenting these insights. This is great. Thank you. Thanks.
Thanks, everybody. Have a great day.
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