Underdog Fantasy (2s):
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Bets today. Cory Pinkston and Barking dog properties (35s):
And we're giving away $3,000 in our NFL Second Chance Survivor contest presented by Cory
Pinkston and Barking dog properties. The contest starts this weekend and it's Free To enter.
just go to Sports Gambling Podcast dot com slash survivor 0 (49s):
Dog. 1 (50s):
Hi, this is Meryl Hodge and you're listening to SGPN Let I
t. Ride Baby 2 (1m 2s):
Cox. He's one of 3 (1m 6s):
Those guys that will get penetration. 2 (1m 10s):
It's a baby fucking wheel man. Super Chargers. charge I. go home and get your fucking shine
box. Woo 0 (1m 28s):
Welcome, everyone to the Sports Gambling podcast. I'm Sean second, the Money Green with my partner
on Picks. Ryan Real. Money Kramer. What's happening? KRA dog? 4 (1m 40s):
Oh, I'm feeling so good right now. I mean, considering one in five. We ain't 2 (1m 45s):
Smoking about 4 (1m 45s
):
Weeded so good. Oh, 0 (1m 47s):
You're, I didn't know we WY Call. I didn't know we were gonna talk about the Giants this
earlier. Oh, 4 (1m 51s):
I'm clear. Okay. I'm very clear right now. Very clear, very focused. Feel very locked
in on this week. I've heard a lot of, I've heard the couple people in my life say that
this is a tricky week, really? Just Josh and, and little pre-production. He said it was
a tricky week Only person I've spoken to about football games this week outside of my gard
ener.
Oh, wow. And I'm ready. He let you, 0 (2m 12s):
Brian. We did tape a Thursday night Football props podcast. 4 (2m 16s):
You and Moff are the other people I've spoken. Okay. But that's on air. People have seen
that. Oh, I'm, I'm pulling back the curtain. 0 (2m 21s):
You're, you're explaining you're behind the scenes football 4 (2m 24s):
Chair. I, I tried to chop it up with my oldest daughter, but she wasn't having it. Yeah. 0 (2m 28s):
When your team, when your team sucks as a kid, you just
kind of baile. 4 (2m 33s):
Oh, no. Not that. Just the idea of like throwing on a football podcast, trying to listen to
something together, bond over some E p a, some c p O E. 0 (2m 42s):
Oh, you know what my, my wife loves like, high stakes. G p p Fantasy analysis When they
tar, when, when guys start talking about leverage off and pivoting off of contrarian plays that
nothing gets a chick wetter than that kind 4 (2m 56s):
Of talk. You want, you wanna hear a funny story about your wife? Sure. So
we're coming
back from Vegas a couple weekends ago and for whatever, I think I was coming back to
the, the studio actually to set something up for you. And I get gas, I bump into, to,
to, to your wife And. we start talking about the show or V or, and it does it, we land
anyway. We land on the fact that she, she told me her take on those G p p Bross very
dry. She's like, oh yeah, I've heard what some of it sounds like. She go, 0 (3m 25s):
I forget who, I honestly forget who we're listening to. B
ut she goes, 4 (3m 28s):
Probably the first time she's directly complimented the show to me. Oh. She's like, oh, you guys
are way better than them. She 0 (3m 33s):
Goes, does this, is this guy married? And I go, no, I don't think so. She goes, it doesn't
sound like it. So, sounding like a guy who's not getting a ton of action. Wow. 5 (3m 44s):
He's one of those guys that will get penetration. 0 (3m 47s):
I mean, we got a, we got a ton of action going on here at the Sports Gambling Podcast. First
off, it starts this weekend, this NFL weekend. You gotta get your pick in Sports Gambling
Podcast dot com slash Survivor. Sports Gambling Podcast dot com slash Survivor. $3,000 up
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Goldman Sachs. Bank, u s a member, F D I C Terms apply 4 (5m 31s):
Couple teams represented on that graphic that I would not be looking to play a second chance.
Survivor, 0 (5m 37s):
You're not looking to get some Commanders action going. I mean, 4 (5m 40s):
Chargers at this point off the, and I'm looking at the number right now, Sean. Yeah, I know
we said that if th
e number gets big enough, And, we don't wanna have to say the number.
I know what the number is. If it gets big enough, then maybe, oh, bonus. Maybe there's
a bonus for beating old Ryan and Sean. 0 (5m 56s):
Oh yeah. Outlast, Sean and Ryan are, well, are we gonna, I think we're playing our own
individual entries, right? Or Yeah. Are you gonna be playing the same Picks we play in
the circus Survivor? Well, 4 (6m 7s):
That's a, that's, that's a personal question, Sean. Okay. 0 (6m 9s):
Because Yea
h, don't reveal your strategy on there. 4 (6m 11s):
We could also play a group entry. If I 0 (6m 13s):
Win the second chance Survivor, fuck the audience. I'm keeping the three grand 4 (6m 17s):
May maybe it's maybe we play a show entry and you gotta beat the show entry. Okay. 0 (6m 22s):
Oh, all 4 (6m 23s):
Right. Just to keep it simple. 0 (6m 24s):
We'll figure it out. But we, we have not gotten to the number of signups we're looking for.
Tell a friend It's Survivor too. It's, it, it's not like
your dipshit Buddy's gonna make
a difference. 4 (6m 33s):
Also, I don't know if I like the idea of just getting people to start rooting against our
act, because I'm sure our Survivor pick won't have any variance from our actual 0 (6m 42s):
Survivor. No. See, that's why we can't do that Ryan. Yeah, we, we'll, we'll have to
figure out a different bonus prize. But again, tell a friend, getting them perfect way to
introduce 'em to the show. Hey, do you like a chance to win $3,000? Yes. All you gott
a
do is sports game and podcast.com/ Survivor 4 (6m 59s):
Survivor's really easy too. Yeah. And don't be like one of those 60 some odd people that
did not submit their Picks in circa millions. Oh, 0 (7m 6s):
It, 4 (7m 6s):
It just, how many Big Loser energy, how many people will not submit Picks in the second
chance? 0 (7m 10s):
I mean, imagine this run, you could go on, you could win the Second Chance Survivor that
would give you $3,000. You could buy a circa millions and a C Survivor still a t
housand
dollars walking around in your pocket, and then go on an epic. We're given a chance,
basically a $3,000 free roll into next year's circa Survivor. Because if I won it, that's
what I would do. I would take that three K. 4 (7m 33s):
Yeah. I'm, I'm just, I sorry. I was having a quick solo brainstorming session 0 (7m 37s):
Of what you would do with three 4 (7m 38s):
K. No, no. Of what we, what we could do. Oh, to, to spruce up the second chance Survivor
even more. 0 (7m 45s):
The chat is lit
, as always. Shout out to Wee Hawk. I know. He is a big fan. Oh, yeah. Hooked
us and the college experience guys up, sent a, sent a a gift package to the office, included
some wood gr some moonshine. That's how you know you have legit fans when you're, when
jars, mason, jars of moonshine show up at the office. 4 (8m 7s):
Sean call it grain alcohol. 0 (8m 9s):
Grain alcohol. 4 (8m 9s):
It sounds classier. Yeah, it does. A little 0 (8m 11s):
Classier. It was funny. I've been doing this show on Sat
urdays over on Doug, Stan Hope's
YouTube channel that we tape here in the office. And Doug was in town. It's me, Doug, and another
comedian Brendan. And I go, Hey, I, I got some moonshine. Here's some grain alcohol.
'cause Doug fellow, a guy who likes to a cocktail, and he goes, you know, yeah, I'm doing good.
He, he responded by going, I'm not a wealthy man, but I can, I can consume, I can afford
to consume alcohol with a label on it. I go, oh, look at this guy. Oh, 4 (8m 43s):
Fucking 0 (8m 44
s):
Hot to try Mr. I don't, Mr. I don't buy alcohol from podcast drink. You know, moonshine from
podcast listeners. 4 (8m 54s):
Do you know why it's called Moonshine? 0 (8m 56s):
No, I don't. 4 (8m 58s):
It's not as, it's not anything clever or, or super crafty. It's just simply because
when it was illegal, they made it at night. Yeah. Okay. Under the light of the moon. 0 (9m 6s):
Makes sense. Yeah. Little Shine. 4 (9m 9s):
Yeah. I learned something useful. You know, 0 (9m 11s):
Kramer, real qui
ck, I know we're not a show that likes to tap, but coming off a nice look
real 4 (9m 15s):
Quick, 0 (9m 15s):
Nice run here. Four and oh on our locks, four in one on our circa millions plays, and we
had the Chiefs on Survivor. So, doing all right. Doing all right. I would hanging in
there. I 4 (9m 27s):
Would also, yeah, I, I, I think I, our group entry is, you know, we need to have some,
some need 0 (9m 35s):
A little gear, ceiling, weeks. But we, we we're, we're 16, 13 in one, which normally,
if you're at that kind of percentage, you're feeling 16 outta 30. I, I dunno, whatever
it is off the top of my head. But was it 30, 32%, or sorry, 52% or 4 (9m 52s):
Yeah, 50. We'll, we'll say, 0 (9m 54s):
I guess it depends on how you grade the push, honestly. 4 (9m 57s):
Well, it, you don't, you don't, you just ignore it really. Okay. You're supposed to just ignore
it. So, yeah, I mean, I, 55% have changed 0 (10m 6s):
55%. The pros are 53%, we're 2% better than 4 (10m 10s):
The pros. Un unfort
unately, this, this No, though breaking even's 52%. The pro the pros
are probably 55%. They'd probably tell you 60 percent's unattainable. And yet every year
someone wins the contest at 70%. And so in this contest, you're probably gonna have to
be brushing up against the old Holy Grail of 69%. 0 (10m 30s):
But we've done, we've done good enough to, we are still live Bullet in the CIM millions. 4 (10m 36s):
Oh, 100%. And And, we also both have some solo entries that are somehow doing slightly
bet
ter. Yes. 0 (10m 41s):
My, my one with my high school buddies, 1910 and one, I have 4 (10m 46s):
The same. Yeah, same thing. Me kram there and then Cousin Mush is involved. 0 (10m 49s):
I don't even know if producer Josh wants to talk about No, 4 (10m 52s):
No, no. We we're not gonna talk about it. 0 (10m 53s):
Okay. But we'll 4 (10m 55s):
Just, yeah. It's rare. 0 (10m 56s):
Josh is a rarefied air pretty high up there. Alright. 4 (10m 59s):
Same kind of vibe as me. About three minutes to go in t
hat Raiders Patriots game. Feeling,
feeling pretty mighty. That 0 (11m 7s):
Was the, that that Pat beat was horrific. Also, Shout out to my co-host on the Dire
Eagle. So Justin, and he goes, man, I saw, I saw Kramer hit a massive parlay. 4 (11m 18s):
Oh, you son of a And he 0 (11m 20s):
Wasn't, he wasn't fucking with, he wasn't doing it to bust your chops. He honestly just
shows you how much people pay attention knowing thing stuff on the internet. I go, no, actually,
he, he needed the pats. and
it was one of those things I didn't even think to like,
it wasn't even in my head to like, Hey, don't consider this a cash 'cause you're gonna be
jinxing. Never even cross my mind. And well, 4 (11m 42s):
What kills me is as I walk it back in my mind as I'm walking around with my youngest daughter
through a Halloween store watching on my phone, and then occasionally having it freeze and
having to check the score app is, I really regretted rooting for the Patriots. Yeah.
To get that stop on defen
se. Oh, and I, yeah, I feel like I put some positive energy in
the universe and I, I, yeah. Partially my fault. So I'll never see that. $10,406 and
50. Well, hold on. Oh, well 0 (12m 11s):
Maybe you will. Ryan, 4 (12m 12s):
Wait. Here it 0 (12m 13s):
Is. Oh, he is, he's keeping the ticket much 4 (12m 15s):
Like $10,206 and 65 cents. Much 0 (12m 19s):
Like Jalen Hertz Ryan. Are you gonna make that your lock screen on your phone? Because
Jaylen Hertz, I did that. I, I think I, Jalen Herz did that
as motivation. He came so close
to winning the Super Bowl, didn't quite get it. The confetti rained down on him. He didn't
get it. But instead of being a bitch, he just used that two moment. New, 4 (12m 36s):
New profile pick that actually might be funnier. 0 (12m 40s):
All right, let's get into the Picks before we do that, you know, our lead pipe lock when
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The, the, the SoFi fight where they're slipping around you. I, the guy who used to work on
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and it's a perfect reminder. Just the live game expe
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First, whatever, over on the NFL Gambling podcast. As a review, leave your YouTube handle.
Biggest cash wins a $50 SGPN
gift card. 4 (14m 26s):
Well done Sean. Okay, thank you. The fight commentary earlier. Look, I I just earlier
today, I, one of, one of the, the kids comes home, they show me the video of some fight
that happens at school, which by the way, it just, 0 (14m 40s):
It's 4 (14m 40s):
Sad. It's embarrassing you, you're gonna get caught on film. That's the thing about getting,
getting in a fight in public nowadays. Not only do you have to potentially show up to
work the next day looking like you got yo
ur ass kicked, but you're someone's gonna get
it on film. And you don't train to be a fighter. You are not a professional. Odds are you're
not even in shape. Odds are, when you slip and fall, your groins gonna hurt. You're,
they're throw out your back. It would, 0 (15m 5s):
It would make a great reality show, just impromptu fights. but it really highlights how, how
outta shape and un unf fightable most adults are. 4 (15m 14s):
I I screen grabbed a, a part of the fight where like the, the guy is
literally like
doing the whole put up your Dukes, it 0 (15m 19s):
Looked like Adam, it looked like Bug's Bunny fighting Daffy Duck. Or he is like, or those
guys in the 18 hundreds. Oh, and they fight like this. Put your, so, 4 (15m 30s):
So, yeah, I mean, 0 (15m 30s):
Put your fists up, protect your face, keep going at them and then take them to the ground
and start beating the shit out. And 4 (15m 36s):
I keep telling my daughters since like, never, 0 (15m 38s):
'cause you don't wanna stay, sta
y up in a fight. Well 4 (15m 40s):
Just don't and, and just don't fight anymore. 'cause people record it and don't be the person
recording it. Honestly, if I was in a real fight and the, and the blood was pumping and
I saw someone holding a phone, they would, they would be getting raed. Like there would
be random shots being fired at people with phones. But a anyway, before we get started
I do, we do probably have some congratulations in order. Okay. Our commissioner Roger Goodell.
Yeah, the big
news 0 (16m 8s):
Godell. Congrats. Do you have any 4 (16m 9s):
Music to play for? Yeah. Oh, just that, just a, his his deal was set to 0 (16m 16s):
Don Godell. 4 (16m 18s):
His deal was set to expire in the spring of 2024. So it's coming up. He's obviously doing
a great job. No. Making the owners lots of 0 (16m 27s):
Money. Lee's never been better. 4 (16m 28s):
And he was making 63, 60 $4 million annually. and it was apparently he's gotten a raise.
So, my God, is he worth more than any single p
layer in the National Football League? 0 (16m 42s):
That is according to him. Yes. Definitely. If you ask, if you ask Roger Goodell, although
is he worth more than Caleb Williams? Because apparently Caleb Williams thinks he's going
to get a piece of the team ownership that drafts him, which is well, 4 (16m 57s):
I mean, Sean, what's going on here? 0 (17m 0s):
What do you mean? 4 (17m 1s):
Sorry, I'm choking a little bit. But why, like, is his dad like a, a closeted, fucking
like ball 0 (17m 7s):
Dad? Yeah, I mean is it does feel like the ball family type of negotiating that they're
getting involved in? No one is going to give you a piece of the team. Like why haven't
we heard you haven't played in the NFL? This is the second time. And also bad time to leak
that news after you get destroyed by Notre Dame Shout out to the chat. The chat is requesting
talk of the pretzel crust pizza. Little Caesars is not on this episode, but you should go
to Little Caesars and my passion is still here fo
r the pretzel crisp Pizza pepperoni.
So 4 (17m 43s):
Delicious. Yeah. Hit up Little Caesars. Let 'em let 'em know that we sent you, let him
let him know. Sean 0 (17m 48s):
Tweet, tweet tweet at Little Caesars and say, damn, I love hearing about pretzel crust.
That might be good for 4 (17m 55s):
Business. Yeah. Tag, tag us, tag Little Caesars. Who knows? We might get an unlimited supply
of Little Caesars. 0 (18m 0s):
Yeah. All of a sudden the ad reads. Maybe pick it up. Yeah. Maybe 4 (18m 2s):
We
could pay, get some pizza parties going on for some hundred 0 (18m 5s):
Percent. I like I dude, I'll hook up anyone, gimme some, gimme some little C's gift cards.
I'm 4 (18m 11s):
Send a man in a toga to your house with some hot, ready to eat 0 (18m 15s):
Pizza. It's obviously gonna be petty C 4 (18m 18s):
Patty 0 (18m 19s):
C also hot and ready. 4 (18m 20s):
He's in the other room with the photo shoot right now. 0 (18m 22s):
Kramer, let's talk games. What do we got 4 (18m 24s):
Thursday night?
You, that's all you. No, no further. Congratulations for Commissioner
Goodell. 0 (18m 30s):
He is doing a great job. Bang up job. Yeah. Roger Godell. All right. Yeah. 4 (18m 36s):
Thursday night. What, what way to celebrate the commissioner's new signing with a Jaguars
Saints game. Underrated jerseys though. On Thursday night we got the Jags. All right,
so gotta talk about it. The look ahead was one and a half for the Jags. Now it's Saints
minus one, minus one 20 on the Moneyline Jags plus 140
is the total. The mo the line movement
is about Trevor Lawrence. Yes. 0 (19m 5s):
Goldilocks. 4 (19m 6s):
He's, he's bumped up a little bit. His, his his, he got a booboo at the end of the game.
Classic. What? Maybe he shouldn't have been out there. Who knows? I I know the game got
a little bit close there at the end. But if he's hurt, it's either CJ Beford who's getting
the snaps with the ones or Nathan Rourke. 0 (19m 28s):
Yeah. This 4 (19m 29s):
Who I, is he the, is he the guy from the Mack?
I, maybe 0 (19m 31s):
I'm, I think it's, yeah, it's, it definitely is Beat hard if Trevor Lawrence doesn't go.
I I don't know if, if you're betting, if you're a Jags fan, if you're a Jags backer, what
do you want banged up Trevor Lawrence or a healthy CJ Behar. That's, that's tough. If
he, if he's really dealing with a knee thing, this is gonna be tough. and it looks like
the Jags, they could be without Brandon Sheriff and cornerback. Tyson Campbell. This is interesting. 4 (19m 58s):
And Walker
Little, the other guard. Yeah. Both guards could be out. 0 (20m 1s):
Yeah. And on the other side, the Saint's offensive line is really banged up. Offensive tackles,
Ryan Ramche, James Hurst and backup offensive tackle Landon Young have all been ruled out,
which is bonkers. Then you look at, I, I mean not a totals guy, but the under just seems
like a smash here. Especially considering smash the, the Saints six and oh to the under,
and then even going back to last year. I think they're 15 and one
under game so far. It's
it's insane. It's crazy. 4 (20m 31s):
Their 0 (20m 31s):
Defense. It's a full season. Yeah. Their defense is pretty good. Number seven defensive. D
V O A. Their offenses just looked real rusty outta sink. Not explosive. Lot of check down
to Kamara. Olave you has been good. But if CJ Behar plays, he has 12 career starts, two
in 10 straight up. I I, I mean, if you would have to be getting way more points for me
to consider the Jags without Trevor Lawrence on the other side,
new Orleans, I mean Derek
Carr with pressure and the Jags ninth and pressure rate. This is, this is a tough handicap.
I think I might just end up going with the home team with the fact that the Jags, this
is a crazy scheduling issue for the Jags two games in London, then back to Jacksonville
for a home game, Trevor Lawrence is hurt. 0 (21m 22s):
Then Thursday road game like this feels almost as if it's a scheduled loss, 4 (21m 27s):
Scheduled 0 (21m 28s):
Loss for the Jags. And how much do the
Jags need this game? Like, they're not getting
pressed that much 4 (21m 32s):
In the Well, they need the game. I mean, they're, they're, yeah, they probably need every game.
I 0 (21m 36s):
Guess you could say that for every game 4 (21m 37s):
It's the National Football League. Sean, there's no, we 0 (21m 38s):
Don't just 4 (21m 39s):
Throw throw loss. There 0 (21m 40s):
Is no scheduled rest stays in the National Football League. But yeah, I gotta go Saints
here. I don't feel great about it becaus
e of their offensive line issues. But I'll,
I'll take the Saints at home. Essentially a pick 'em here laying minus one. What are
you doing? Kramer and 4 (21m 56s):
Worth noting too. 'cause I, I've, I've noticed with the, this, with a couple teams, but the
Jags, as you noted, they have a nice looking pressure rate, but their adjusted sack rate
is bottom five in the league. Mm. And so 0 (22m 9s):
It is weird, but I, if you listen to Thursday Night props, I do like Trayvon Walker. I think
you're ge
tting pretty good odds on him to get a sack. That's a fun prop. Also some love
in there for I see ZZ in the YouTube chat saying, Jimmy Graham, two touchdowns. Lock
it up. Oh 4 (22m 25s):
My, 0 (22m 25s):
We there is some Jimmy Graham talk, stay tuned or go back and listen to that episode. A lot
of fun. Doug 4 (22m 31s):
P is seven and oh on Thursday night. 0 (22m 33s):
That's interesting. But short week, as Gerald points out in the YouTube chat, third game
in 10 days, it's just a, and one of tho
se games is in London. 4 (22m 42s):
I think we have to focus very strong attention to these scheduled losses. Especially when
you have the, the cluster of internal, you have the guards. I I apparently the Campbell
kid that you mentioned earlier is, is a big deal and makes my lave prop looking pretty
sharp from Thursday night prop. You know, we're just touting stuff that hasn't even
happened yet, but I'm pretty sure it will. And Sean, I I think the other, that's the
part that's the scary part abo
ut taking the Saints. We're betting on Dennis Allen on shortlist.
Yeah. And so, yeah, no, I, 0 (23m 18s):
I, for the most part, I like to fade the Saints. They haven't been good at home. I'm not dying
to play them here. But we are not a Lean factory Ryan, we're a pick factory. So gimme the Saints
minus one. 4 (23m 29s):
And the craziest thing about that under trend is only two of those 16 games would've been
over to a a, a total of 39. Now with the total at 40, I mean, it it's 0 (23m 41s):
Gonna
be 2017. 4 (23m 43s):
I, I guess we have to lay the points. I thi this is one of those games that I think, 0 (23m 48s):
Well are you, 'cause it seems, I feel like talking to you earlier in the week, and again
I was the one of the few select people who had NFL conversations with you. It seemed
you were even considering playing the Saints in CIM Millions. It seemed like you were,
you were higher on them. And now I don't hear that confidence 4 (24m 4s):
Because of the offensive. Okay. I think the
injuries for the Saints are bad, just like
the Jags. And so you just kind of, I'll default back to the, it's a pick em, it's a scheduled
loss. And I think it Saint Yeah, the Saints are one of the teams also. This is their only,
the only their third home game. Yeah. So they have been on the road a bunch, four, four
road games in five days. So coming home, maybe this is a positive spot, especially, 0 (24m 29s):
And unders unders were bonkers. Last week, I think it was what, 13 two and 13 and 4 (24
m 34s):
Two. Everyone, everyone's complaining about all the bad games. 'cause there's not enough
points being score. 0 (24m 38s):
This is a, this is a crazy nugget. Nine teams won by scoring 20 or fewer points in week
six. 4 (24m 45s):
Oh, that's, that's 0 (24m 47s):
Football. Most, most such teams in a week since 1999. Now if Colby watched the NFL,
he would be excited about that stat. 4 (24m 54s):
He might be back. I saw, I, I know, oh, I heard Pat 0 (24m 57s):
C trying to get him to go to the
Skins Rams game. I'm not going to that game at a principle 4 (25m 3s):
Patty, you see, I've told you a million times. They 0 (25m 8s):
Are an old married couple. It's great to see them on the couch. 4 (25m 11s):
It, it also does seem like if Trevor Lawrence played, which by the way, I did. There, there
was a case where Trevor Lawrence didn't practice and played this, this would be the first game
he missed in his career. And so put that out there. But maybe him, him as a statue. Six
six, probably
not a good thing. Yeah. All right, let's move over to Sunday. So we're
both on the Saints move over to Sunday. The Falcons head to Tampa for a little N f C South
battle. The bucks a little bit of a look at here to Thursday night. They're, they're laying
two and a half minus one 40 on the Moneyline Falcons plus one 20 bucks catching 80% of
the Bets right now. 4 (25m 52s):
That, that's interesting. Sean, I was just, I was trolling around doing some research
and I, I couldn't believe that Tom Brad
y counts $35 million against the caps for the buck
for the bucks this week. But yeah, really the quarterback that we need to be talking
about right now is Desmond Ritter. Yeah. Turnover's happening. But at least he's showing that
he can throw the ball down the field. 0 (26m 16s):
Oh, okay. I was gonna say to me, he looks pretty bad. I, 4 (26m 21s):
I think the idea that they can, they can sling the rock around like that is a positive. 0 (26m 28s):
The fact that, see, I, I would, I would view it
as a negative because they have an identity.
Their identity is don't let Desmond Ritter blew the game. Blow the game. Yeah. He got
bullied into throwing, he blew the game football. He blew, he blew the game. Arthur Smith. And
he's like, all right, you, you need to throw the ball a bunch. He throws the ball a bunch.
Game gets completely 4 (26m 45s):
Destroyed. But you kind of need to throw the ball against the buck defense, don't you? 0 (26m 48s):
Yeah. And that's why I think the bucks are going
to win the game. 'cause I don't think
they're gonna be able to throw against this Buck defense. I think the Falcons offense
on the 4 (26m 56s):
Road. I like how you're arguing with me as if I'm on the phone. No, no, no. 0 (26m 59s):
I'm saying I I I think they're going to try and throw the, the ball against the bucks.
I don't think they're gonna have a lot of luck. And, we, we mentioned about Desmond
Ritter finally lost a home game for the first time since what, 2015 when he was in high
school.
2020. 4 (27m 12s):
A good year. 2015. 0 (27m 13s):
And, and just looking at his home road splits five in one at home, 67 completion percentage,
seven touchdowns, four interceptions. Three of course came in that last game. He has not
won a road start yet. Oh. For four 58%. One touchdown, two interceptions. I Oh, for 4 (27m 30s):
In the first half in his career still. 0 (27m 31s):
Yeah. Still hasn't covered the first half spread. And which is amazing that he is had
those wins because if this team
gets down, they really have trouble coming back. I think
this is, and I think, I think the, the Commanders showed some stuff about how you can take advantage
of the Falcons on the back end. Maybe I'm just a little higher than most on Baker and
that offense. I know that, I know Atlanta has a decent secondary, but I like this Bucks
team in a bounce back spot here. And I, I like them still to win the division. Crazy
stat Ryan, I mean, I shouldn't even ask you 'cause one, by asking the question, the
answer
will be obvious. 0 (28m 12s):
But who do you think has scored the most points in the N F C South? 4 (28m 16s):
The Bucks? 0 (28m 17s):
No, the Carolina Panthers really lead the N F C South. They have 12 more points than
the Bucks. The Bucks are the only team in the N F C South with a positive point differential.
So I think, I think the Bucks, we 4 (28m 30s):
Knew this division was gonna suck. 0 (28m 31s):
Yeah. I mean, I, I thought they were gonna suck. I thought they were gonna be in th
e
mix. The Bucks. I think the Bucks Defense will be the best unit on the field. And 4 (28m 41s):
Balkins defense has been playing pretty well too. Yeah, 0 (28m 43s):
I just don't think it's gonna travel. And I think, 4 (28m 45s):
Are we not worried about B'S hand? 0 (28m 47s):
It's his non throwing hand. It still 4 (28m 49s):
Hurts. So I'm still 0 (28m 51s):
With it. 4 (28m 52s):
He might still be feeling a little bit more 0 (28m 54s):
Dangerous. Rob, Rob Donaldson saying Taylor Heineke takes ov
er in this game. That is really,
that's worrisome as a, as a guy who's backing the bucks, I would, I would definitely have
to adjust the handicap if Heineke comes in halfway through in the second half. 4 (29m 7s):
Is that inside Intel or is he just, he's throwing shit 0 (29m 9s):
Out. I'm guessing Rob's speculating, but he 4 (29m 12s):
Doesn't have any sources. 0 (29m 15s):
Usually if you have a shitty quarterback that you don't have much invested in, you only
can hang on to him for so long. Tha
t was my take on the Falcons preseason. They need to
figure out how to get a quarterback. I would've tried to get Ryan Tana Hill. I would've tried
to get Lamar Jackson. I would've done whatever you could to draft a guy like Anthony Richardson
it, it feels like 4 (29m 34s):
They seem committed. 0 (29m 36s):
Yeah. And I, I guess I didn't understand it. Maybe Des Ritter will end up being awesome. 4 (29m 40s):
They still seem committed. 0 (29m 41s):
Oh yeah. I, we don't, I guess I don't get it. 4 (2
9m 43s):
I don't think we're close to seeing Heineke. I, if anything, I think the, the, 0 (29m 48s):
That's crazy to me. 4 (29m 49s):
I think the counting stats that were put up the last couple weeks have in some people's
mind validated. 0 (29m 54s):
So I, I like Tampa Bay here. I'm, I'm a bit of a Tampa Bay honk. But yeah. What are you
doing Kramer? Oh, 4 (30m 2s):
I'm taking the Falcons as much as I, I could easily, you 0 (30m 6s):
Easily zagged. I I thought you were 4 (30m 8s):
Actually a, th
e Falcons are just clean the injury report just clean as can be. Kal Campbell
getting a, a vet day bucks are pretty healthy too. But I, I do think this is a gonna bit
be a bit of a defensive battle. Sean two and a half points. You know, we like taking the
two and I'm not laying 0 (30m 24s):
It, I don't think that, I don't think that thing matters anymore. 'cause now that used
to be, that used to be minus three because they graded home field as three, now they
graded two and a half. So I don't th
ink it has that same mojo. 4 (30m 35s):
I think it's more related to the idea that three is still a key number and so Right.
But in less about the, 0 (30m 42s):
In, in this thing. No, 4 (30m 43s):
But I don't think it has had anything to do with home field. Okay. And more just about
the relative nature of what a two and a half or a three and a half means relative to the
key number three A slide into, to my dms. If you want to talk more about, 0 (30m 58s):
I may have lost you or lost Lost where y
ou, you were going on that, but meaning 4 (31m 3s):
That if some, if something's minus two and a half, the average person will see that as
a great opportunity to buy the team short of three, not the minus two and a half. Okay.
So a number sitting there, not getting any pressure towards three suggests that you don't
want to be on that side. You're so I'll be on the Falcons. 0 (31m 21s):
You're crazy. 4 (31m 22s):
It's also a great teaser leg. And I think, I think this, 0 (31m 26s):
That I guess I
don't disagree with because this does feel like an ugly, this'll be 2117.
I think the 4 (31m 32s):
F the, I believe the Falcons teasers have hit every week, but maybe one. 0 (31m 37s):
Yeah. Falcons aren't gonna get blown out, but they're also not gonna win on the road. 4 (31m 42s):
Yeah. Again, I, I don't know if the bucks are gonna have a, a, a ton of home edge and
I 0 (31m 47s):
Have you seen that Cannon? 4 (31m 52s):
Okay. Bucks. The bucks are up there. Their bucks are low key up there with
the LA teams
when it comes to a, a home field. 0 (31m 59s):
Oh, they got, they got more home field than, what are you talking about? 4 (32m 3s):
Have you watched any of the games recently? 0 (32m 5s):
Yeah, I thought I lot 4 (32m 6s):
Of visiting crowd there. I 0 (32m 8s):
Watched the Monday night game. Yeah. Eagles travel a lot. A 4 (32m 10s):
Lot of visitors in the house for the Bucks Home games. All right. Go, go 0 (32m 14s):
Falcons research spherical Earth again. All time YouTube username
saying Kramer ride or
die. He loves his Falcons. Whatcha gonna do 4 (32m 22s):
This? I I just think Algire only 160 yards behind Bijon. Fun fact. Alser number three
in the division in rushing right now. Bijon is one. All right, let's move over to, yeah.
And again, Sean, you're taking the team looking ahead to Thursday night. You love fading that
team. 0 (32m 41s):
Yeah. But like last week, that didn't really matter. 4 (32m 44s):
It's, it, it matters half the time. Yeah. 0 (32m 47s):
It's, it's n
ot as strong as I think it is. So it is, so I'm getting, I'm getting away
from it. 4 (32m 50s):
It is something to think about though. All right, let's move along to the Bears. Ooh,
a lot to talk about here. The Vegas Raiders head to, to town Raiders looks like they're
not gonna have Jimmy g he of course left the game in a hosp in an ambulance, went to the
hospital. 0 (33m 8s):
I mean, this is, this is what world are we living in? Oh, the 75% of the money, according
to the visa.com betting sitz
are taking Aiden O'Connell or 4 (33m 19s):
It's gonna be Aiden O'Connell it sounds like. Okay. Over Brian Hoyer. Okay. The look ahead
was one and a half. It went to three. I don't know what that tells you about anything that's
very 0 (33m 27s):
Confusing. Aiden O'Connell as a road favorite, that how bad the 4 (33m 30s):
Paris minus 1 55 Moneyline Road favorite Bears plus 1 30, 37 and a half is the total. We're
gonna have this game. You circle this one on your, on your bet slip potential wind imp
act,
probably a, a decent chance there's some wind impact here. Oh man. And then on the other
side for the Bears, Justin Fields another thumb injury. It's just lots of thumb. Baker
got a thumb injury. Justin Fields got a thumb injury and Well, 0 (33m 58s):
Justin Fields isn't playing 4 (33m 59s):
Well. Yeah, yeah, because because his thumb injury is on his throwing hand. Right. Well,
he's, he's not been ruled out officially. 0 (34m 7s):
I'm ruling him out. 4 (34m 8s):
Understood. You're the, you
're the injury. I 0 (34m 10s):
Am an injury. Good. But 4 (34m 11s):
Is it gonna be Nathan Peterman? Is it gonna be our guy Tyson special beget 17 Badget from
Shepherd College in West Virginia. 0 (34m 22s):
Call you guys. Harlan 4 (34m 24s):
Hill Trophy winner in two time Division two, all American. 0 (34m 27s):
I asked Colby to give me a take on badging quote. Yeah. I enjoyed watching him in D two.
Thought he had some NFL potential there. They looked pretty good. I go, wait, what about
those? Th
at's not, 4 (34m 37s):
That's not a very good review from 0 (34m 38s):
Colby. I go, what about those two? What about that interception? And then that fumble for
a defensive score. He is like, ah, he is young. Gotta give him a shot. I mean, that is a crazy
jump up in class, even though you're playing the Raiders. Who, the Raiders, I mean, where
is the Dick puncher a guy on YouTube because they just keep punching me in my dick. I keep
thinking they're not a good team and they keep winning. They re
mind me of like, this
year's like a shittier version of last year's Minnesota hiking seems Oh wow. Where they
just keep winning and you go, they can't, yeah. Minnesota can't be 13 and four. What
is happening that's, 4 (35m 15s):
He's saying the Raiders are gonna be go going for the West. I don't 0 (35m 17s):
Know. They're, well, it'll be like nine and eight, but even that will be like, how are
they nine and eight? Josh McDaniels is a horrible coach. They keep making bad decisions. Devonte
Adams
is legit hurt. How did they win that game against the Patriots? Well, the Patriots
are horrible as well. He's hurt, but, and, and it, you you could say the same stuff about
the Bears. I would say this about the Bears, how their defense played pretty good. They
would've, I mean, if it wasn't for that defensive touchdown by the Vikings, they probably would've
won that game. So I I, I at least liked the defensive effort from the Bears, which was
previously just a sieve. So maybe they got that going
for them. 4 (35m 55s):
That's a good point. I mean, they brought in some, some talent. The linebackers, we
saw Edmonds and, and I'm blanking on the other kid's name, but the, they were making plays
that, I mean, there's so much variance in this game with the quarterback play. How can
you take, not take the dog. Yeah. Raiders haven't covered a, a road favorite spot in
their last nine 0 (36m 18s):
And they're somehow gonna cover this. I do, I guess you could say the best player that'll
probably b
e out on the field is Max Crosby, which Raiders just have no pass rush, with
the exception of Max Crosby. So if you're a good coach, you do everything you can to
double Max Crosby and take him outta the game. But I don't know if the Bears have that on
their staff. 4 (36m 40s):
They, they've, they've actually had some, I would say the, the line, the tackles haven't
been the problem. Maybe that's how I would phrase it. 0 (36m 49s):
Well, and Justin Fields 4 (36m 50s):
Tends to create a lot of his
own Yeah. 0 (36m 53s):
Problems. I I don't know who to blame more Justin Fields or the, the coaching staff,
but, 4 (36m 57s):
But this kid with a week of, I mean he was leading the country in like passing yards
PO points for second nationally and points responsible for second nationally and passing
yards touchdowns. He did, 0 (37m 12s):
I mean this is 4 (37m 13s):
Scorched earth in terms of D two passing and the, he all P P S A C East. 0 (37m 18s):
I wa Did you watch it? Psac? I don't mean, did
you watch any of his press conference? 4 (37m 22s):
He is, he is a bit of a heartthrob. 0 (37m 24s):
He did have, yeah, like a working man's Justin Herbert. He did, he does have confidence.
He goes, Hey, I want him to know, I know the entire playbook. Call everything you want.
I got it. And then he says, I got nothing to lose. So he, it's, and 4 (37m 37s):
He is getting the, they, he is getting the first team rep. So they're, they're being
serious about it. He's getting a shot. We'll find out if
this kid's got it. I I agree.
He has the confidence. He, I mean, look, he's a blue collar kid from West Virginia through
and through country roads and shit like that. I kinda like the angle, 0 (37m 54s):
His, his backup plan. Did you see this? If he didn't make it in the NFL? 4 (37m 58s):
What's that? 0 (37m 59s):
Yeah, basically I was just going to CrossFit my Life away badge and said basically just
get as ripped and jacked as possible and maybe be a teacher teacher at Martinsburg High School.
4 (38m 11s):
Is this, is he Gardner Michu? 0 (38m 15s):
It does feel like he's got a little bit of that, but he is got, he's got a better, he's
a taller guy. Bigger quarterback than, yeah, 4 (38m 23s):
I mean, than Michu. 0 (38m 25s):
Yeah. 4 (38m 25s):
He's, he, I think he's six three. I 0 (38m 27s):
I think. Yeah. I mean, you gotta take the Bears. You can't take Aiden O'Connell's a
non-conference road favorite. It's 4 (38m 32s):
Bonkers. Yeah, no, of course. And, and now that Fields is gone,
I can freely back the
Bears without any worry. This ha is this not a little bit of an upgrade potentially in
the quarterback position? Sean? I, I've, 0 (38m 44s):
Yeah. I I mean, fields looked really lost. He had two games where it's like, okay, maybe
you can do it against bad defenses. Some crazy athletic plays. And then just massive regression
against that Vikings game. I was listening to Baldy talk about the game. He goes all
the, the Vikings love running Zero blitz. Basically you bring every
one up to the line
and just Blitz first play they ran. There was zero Blitz. The guy ran off the edge,
unblocked, no checks, no adjustments. Fields got destroyed. Like there was, it's like that's
their number one play. And they looked so unprepared for that. 4 (39m 16s):
You remember when people were coming after me when I said that Justin Fields might be
a little slower on the whiteboard. I mean there if there's a receipt. I wasn't more
fucking right about 0 (39m 26s):
Moneyline Max saying page
ant is gonna win the locker room over like Heineke did in DC.
I I special. I 4 (39m 33s):
Like that angle 17. Yeah. I I love 0 (39m 36s):
That. I'm on Bears plus three all day. 4 (39m 38s):
I know I need to pin that to that. Immediately when he came in the game, I, I went and did
a little research on him. I mean, come on. Two time Division two, all American. Let's
take those points. I and who's betting the, who's running to take the Raiders? It's so
wild, wild times. We live in Sean, Cleveland h
eads to indie little Midwestern battle here.
The Browns laying two and a half on the look ahead now. All the way up to three minus one
50 on the Moneyline Colts plus 1 25 40 is the total Browns catching all the Bets after
that Nice upset win off the, against the Niners. You know, there there, there's a lot of similarities
here between the, the the Raiders and Bears and the Browns and Colts maybe a slight tier
up in terms of teams, but it sounds like Watson maybe is gonna play. 4 (40m 31s):
It so
unds like Watson wants to play. Maybe someone that isn't Watson but related to Watson
or in his camp says he can't play. 'cause the team seems to think he should play. I'm 0 (40m 43s):
Not touching DeShaun Watson. 4 (40m 44s):
They can't go back to D T r. PJ Walker wasn't great. 0 (40m 49s):
I like my prediction is PJ Walker will be the starter come Sunday. PJ Walker will get
the win and PJ Walker will get the cover. Now it won't be because of necessarily what
PJ Walker is doing. To me, this is
all about is 4 (41m 4s):
That gut though? You like, you haven't read anything that suggests other than, because
DeShaun Watson had a press conference today. Yes, 0 (41m 10s):
I watched the DeShaun where 4 (41m 11s):
He basically, it was, it was a say nothing. 0 (41m 15s):
I watched the DeShaun Watson press conference. To me, that was not a guy who was interested
in playing football this Sunday. I watched. And what 4 (41m 22s):
Was your take then on like, if you ha now seeing his body language, w
hich he's really
very bad, really horrible at body language. 0 (41m 29s):
He's a little tense, maybe needs a little relaxed. 4 (41m 32s):
But now that you've seen his body language, your take on the situation is what 0 (41m 38s):
I think to your point, either someone in the camp, someone, someone who's tied to that
money, either via DeShaun, Watson's agent, whatever, maybe even the owner is the one
stepping in and meddling is saying, we don't want you playing until you're 100%. Now the
team, mea
ning Kevin Stefanski has cleared him because the doctors say he can technically
play. But DeShaun Watson's like, yeah, if I can't do certain things, Adam Schefter carrying
the water for DeShaun Watson saying, until he can throw the ball without any pain, he
doesn't wanna play. 4 (42m 13s):
Very strange amount of detail 0 (42m 14s):
On that. I couldn't 4 (42m 15s):
Tweet. Adam couldn't. 0 (42m 16s):
Yeah. He went out of his way again to carry the water for DeShaun Watson that was coming
from DeSh
aun Watson's camp. I don't need a source or any information on it. You can just,
who does this benefit? DeShaun Watson, they're putting out the narrative that he's not fully
healthy because they don't, whatever it is, they, maybe there is some crazy injury thing
in there where he might not get some of the guarantee. I don't know. I, I don't know why
he's not wanting to play, but he doesn't want to play, he's not gonna be playing Sunday
is my take. I do 4 (42m 46s):
Like the owner theory and it m
akes sense because maybe he, like, maybe he's doing the thing
where he's just dealing directly with the owner and that's pissing off everyone. Yeah. 0 (42m 55s):
That 4 (42m 56s):
And that's why the team, 0 (42m 56s):
That dynamic could certainly be happening. 4 (42m 58s):
That's why the coach isn't saying anything directly. That's why they're like, talk to
DeShaun about what's going on. Like, he's going over our heads. So we don't want to
talk about it. That, or there's about, there's gonna be
a bombshell news story about, 0 (43m 11s):
Now I I understand 4 (43m 12s):
That's like 20% though. I think 80% of your first 0 (43m 15s):
Che Chad's saying, Hey, you can't take PJ Walker's a road favorite. I don't want to,
you take the Browns if they're a Chalky Road favorite, I understand all that. And they'll
let down spot after the San Francisco win. But this Cleveland Browns defense will shut
the running game down. And Gardner Michu cannot beat this Browns defense. I feel very confident
abou
t that. Gardner Minsu is two, two and 11 in his last 13 starts. He's, he's a fun
guy to come in. Ryan you pointed out last week correctly, he's a relief pitcher. He
comes in the middle of the game when you don't prepare for him. If this Browns defense and
Jim Schwartz have an entire week to prepare for Gardner Minsu, they're gonna fuck him
up. 0 (43m 55s):
They're gonna get the win. So if I think they're gonna win, I'm gonna, I gotta take the minus
three. Do you 4 (43m 60s):
Know where Shane Ste
ichen got his first job? Offensive job in the NFL, which fun fact,
he was actually a defensive assistant at first. 0 (44m 9s):
No, 4 (44m 10s):
Cleveland Browns. Oh, 0 (44m 11s):
Okay. Little revenge factor. Really 4 (44m 13s):
A little revenge. I I, to me this is, I think the emotional letdown spot of having that
big win. You're going, if you're running it back with that same quarterback, I'll take
that bet again. He, he put, he did, he gave the other team a lot of opportunities. And
the Niners
had, they taken a, a, well, 0 (44m 32s):
I I guess advantage 4 (44m 33s):
Of a couple more. They, the, they win the game. Maybe you like Cleveland more in this
spot, but I I 0 (44m 41s):
I would say the Niners defense created a bunch of those opportunities and that, that Browns,
how do you help a backup quarterback win on the road? You have a very good offensive line.
I think this Brown's offensive line is underrated. They blanked bosa now I get it was at home.
But no one on that, that Colts de
fense is anywhere near Nick Bosa. No. So if they can
shut down Nick Bosa, I like their chances. No, but 4 (45m 4s):
I do like the front seven of indie, and I do think this is another one of those kind
of, both teams have defenses that I think could give the offenses some problems. And
yeah, I think both quarterbacks could give the game away. So yeah. I'll, I'll take the
home dog then. I think that's where I'm, but this game and the last game, it feels like
two very level situations. Yeah. 0 (45m
26s):
I guess to me, and I, I where 4 (45m 28s):
I, I would say Cleveland is a Cleveland to me is, is probably more deserving of being
favored on the road. 0 (45m 36s):
Yeah. To me the, the difference is in, in the Raiders Bears, I think there's no elite
unit in, in the Browns Colts. I think this, this Browns defense is really, really elite. 4 (45m 49s):
Oh, they're off the charts elite when you look at some of the 0 (45m 51s):
Audience numbers. So I think that can carry 'em. 4 (45m 53s):
Yeah.
And they're also coming off a game in the elements and going to a game in a, in
a mall or a Best Buy or whatever Kby would call it. All right. Factor (46m 4s):
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SGPN 50 to get 50% off. So many dogs on my card. Feeling, feeling nice. I told you Sean
this sharp Ryan, but I don't think we, we got to it eventually. I, this isn't a weird
week. Oh wow. It didn't, yeah, Josh Tried to tell you it was a weird week. Josh tried
to tell me it was a weird week. But I sometimes you look at the card and you look at the card.
Little beautiful mind moment there. 10:00 AM on the
west coast. 4 (47m 58s):
We got the Detroit Lions heading to Baltimore to take on the Ravens. Ravens are laying three
minus one 60 on the moneyline plus 1 35 Lions 42 is the total Lions little back-to-back
road spot here. Not stopping people from betting them. 81% on Dan Campbell. Another game you
wanna circle potentially some wind impact here. I don't know which, which side. I think
that that favor is more and yeah, I think this, you asked me on the Sunday Recap show
Sean, what do I make this?
I said Baltimore minus three and a half, it opened two and
a half. So going in the right direction, Baltimore comes home for the first time in a month and
I'm hearing mainstream media talk about Jared Goff as in M v P, front runner 0 (48m 48s):
Look out. 4 (48m 49s):
It is the year 2023. 0 (48m 52s):
Yeah. I keep going back and forth on this one 'cause I do think the Lamar Jackson fumbling
thing has been real. But yeah, I mean Jared Goff has been amazing. A t Ss he deserves
it deserves a lot of
credit. He's covered seven straight games versus opponents with
a, that are above 500. That's pretty, that's pretty bonkers. 12 and three a t Ss since
2021. Detroit lines are gonna be without David Montgomery. That's pretty big man. I just,
I don't have any confidence betting in this, betting on this Baltimore Raven team. 4 (49m 27s):
It also sounds, I mean it doesn't sound like Gibbs is a lock to be in. So it and, and KRA
Reynolds. Yeah. Who was the other guy? Sean, did you see? He popped up o
n the injury report
today with a, a tow or a hamstringing never good when someone shows up midweek. That would
be my biggest concern. Is that what, like, can this team become completely one dimensional
and Jared Goff carry them? 0 (49m 56s):
Yeah, I, 4 (49m 56s):
Against the Ravens, the Ravens have also been exceedingly healthy compared to where they
were a couple weeks back. And so yeah, they're, they're coming off a hell of a travel stretch.
But you could argue last week that game should have
been stretched out. You look at the box
score, the, it should have been a little bit more of a blowout. I I think this team 0 (50m 17s):
In general. Well, I'm also still a red zone pick, right? No, no. 4 (50m 19s):
You can explain the, the, the, the reason for the box score regression has been turnovers.
Yeah. but it continues to be the case 0 (50m 29s):
To me. This it, you want to talk about scheduled losses. This just feels like a, a bad spot
for Detroit back-to-back road game before their by
they, they go back to the, they go
back to Detroit five and two going into the bi week. I still feel like they're feeling
pretty good about themselves. So I could, yeah, I could see the case for Ravens, although
they just scare me. Like I don't, I don't trust Lamar or this team to be able to put
up points. 4 (50m 54s):
They don't have a buy-in next week. 0 (50m 56s):
Detroit doesn't, why do I think that 4 (50m 58s):
No one has a buy next week actually. Oh, okay. They have the mundane night game
against the
Raiders. 0 (51m 3s):
No, right. Huh. 4 (51m 6s):
But yeah, I mean, I'm with you. I think it's a bad spot for the Lions. I also, last week
I told you it felt like the, the Bears were being priced at the high point for the season.
They will not be going for a higher value than right now. And I kind of have the same
feeling about this Lion's team. I mean, people are relatively optimistic. It sounds like
Branch could be on the, on the way back. But I, I do think at some point their runni
ng
game matters. And I, I don't know if you're, when you get down to now your fourth string
running back, if that and, and a guy that you don't want to call a running back. You
wanna call a weapon. Yeah. I don't know I'm, I'm all like, part of the me shoving all in
on the travel advantage of Mr. 4 (51m 51s):
Harbaugh and his, his Ravens advanced scouting team is that I would imagine they didn't just
do the research on when to travel to London, but how to come back and effectively get the
players
reacclimated safely. 0 (52m 6s):
I'm gonna ride with Easy. Gimme the Lions. I, I've been underwriting this Lions team
and I'm just not gonna let 'em beat me again this week. Ryan, I'm riding with the Lions.
Okay. Golf time, let's go 4 (52m 15s):
That, that's the exact time again. See, and you see the Green dollar sign next to a team's
name and you hear Sean go, I'm just not gonna let him beat me again. Yep. Got 'em. Gimme
the Ravens laying 3:10 AM what we got 0 (52m 29s):
Public's been dominati
ng, 4 (52m 30s):
Right? They they really have the, our public, the teams that we're picking up, which Yeah.
At the time of a recording we're saying we're taking everyone who's got more than 70% of
the Bets 2316 and two a t s. Yeah. So one version of, you might say it's due to start
regressing back towards the mean. Alright, this is game five of six on the early window.
We gotta have an extra TV for God's eye this weekend. I think there's a, a Formula One
race. Sean, maybe it's gonna get a little
frisky on God's eye. All right, we got the
Bills little divisional action here. Heading in, heading to New England. Another game you
wanna circle. Weather could play an impact. 4 (53m 12s):
Bill's looking ahead to Thursday night against the Raiders. 81% of the Bets down on the Bills
already. This number look ahead. Eight and a half ticked up to nine minus four 10 on
the Moneyline Patriots plus 3 20, 41 and a half is the total. This is the game where
I, I guess if you're taking the Patriots, you
're, you're suggesting to yourself that
they've played a tough schedule. This divi a divisional game and this is a huge, huge,
huge adjustment off the preseason. Yeah. 0 (53m 44s):
The, this is actually, if you're, if you're, I think if you're saying it's nine, which
that's what it looks like right now, it is the biggest amount of points, or sorry if
they close at nine or higher, it could be the highest home dog line of the new England
Patriots since Tom Brady's first career start where he playe
d Peyton Manning. Wow. Like
that is, that's how bad this Patriots team is. Yeah, it's, it, it's really, this is a,
this is another just kind of a pretty interesting game to handicap because on one side you have
this Bill's defense, which just, it looked good. You think the Bill's defense looks good? 4 (54m 21s):
I I think they, 0 (54m 22s):
I think No, Matt Milano. Oh, I think no. Jordan Poer. Like I think they're really banged up.
I think, 4 (54m 29s):
I think I think they'll be fine in this ga
me. 0 (54m 31s):
Oh really? Okay. Yeah, 4 (54m 32s):
Yeah, yeah. I don't, I mean, again, the Giants aren't a good reference point probably. Yeah.
But they weren't exactly running the ball efficiently, so, you know, maybe they, they
weren't able to exploit the deficiencies in the passing game that you would to, to miss
Matt Milano. But I I'm not sure that the Patriots would be either. And so maybe it's not the
magic where 0 (54m 53s):
You're miss it because I think, I think Ram, Andre and Zeke wi
ll be able to get some, I
think they'll be able to, you look at Bills are third in the league with rushing plays
that went 10 plus yards against them. 14.8% of the time you're running the ball against
the Bills. You're getting 10 or more yards. Like this to me seems like the perfect matchup
for this Patriots team that doesn't know how to do anything except maybe handed off to
Zeke and Armand. 4 (55m 17s):
Maybe I'm just, it's a personal thing with the, the the 10 grand last week. 0 (55m 22s):
I
get, I You're 4 (55m 23s):
Not worried about this, this shoulder thing with Josh Allen? 0 (55m 26s):
No, I, I'm, I'm worried about the, the, the Bills offense in general. They haven't seen,
like, they've gotten a great, a great rhythm going offensively. Like they seem a bit outta
sync. I mean, we, we thought it was a good up spot against the Raiders and it should
have been. I mean, you look at, you look at M Jones as a dog, it looks horrible. They 4 (55m 49s):
Should have covered, 0 (55m 49s):
Y
eah, they should have covered, but the quarterback's 4 (55m 51s):
Still the quarterback, right? Or they bring in Malik Cunningham. 0 (55m 55s):
I don't know what they, what the hell they do, but, well, maybe 4 (55m 58s):
They go triple option with Malik Cunningham, 0 (56m 0s):
Josh Allen against the Pats seven two and one a t s nine 12 and one a t s against the
Jets and Dolphins combined. So he does seem to owe own them, but man, I just can't get
off this nine points. It just feels too high. All
4 (56m 14s):
Right, let, here's a trivia question for you. Yeah. How many times have the Pats scored
20 points this season? 0 (56m 20s):
Zero. Zero. Yeah. 4 (56m 22s):
How many times have the Bills given allowed a team to score more than 20? Hmm. 0 (56m 29s):
More than 20. 4 (56m 30s):
More than 20. 0 (56m 32s):
They let at least 20. I know. I would say two times. 4 (56m 37s):
Well, who is the 20 0 (56m 38s):
Dolphins? 4 (56m 39s):
Yeah. One time. No, zero times. Sorry. Zero 0 (56m 44s):
Times.
Oh, it's all, it's all 20 and less. Yeah, but I, but here's the next question.
If the, if the, do the Patriots need to score 20 points to cover this spread 4 (56m 54s):
Maybe? No, no. It was one, it was the Jets. The Jets are the only team to score over 20
on the Patriots or on the Bills, which is crazy. I think so. Well, I, I don't know.
I guess I'm, I'm also, look, I'm on the Patriots. 0 (57m 6s):
Really? All that. You, you kept, you kept leading me to the Bills. You know why? 4 (57m 11s):
No
, but you, we were just having a conversation. You know why I'm taking the Patriots? Why 0 (57m 17s):
Do 4 (57m 17s):
You remember last year when we were, when we were having that whole like, man, is Josh
Allen hurt? Like, what's going on with these random bad throws? Did you watch the Giants
game closely? There were some throws that just went into the turf five yards short.
Oh 0 (57m 31s):
Yeah. 4 (57m 33s):
I, if he's in that kind of state again, 0 (57m 36s):
Well, and especially, he's 4 (57m
37s):
Gonna give points to the other team. 0 (57m 39s):
Moneyline Mack is pointing out a great, great game. We all remember that game where they
only let Mack Jones throw the ball three times and they ended up winning the game. Of course
there was a ton of wind in the game. And, we could be seeing some weather in this game.
Certainly wind is a possibility. 4 (57m 59s):
I I would say that the win being impactful in this game is, is a maybe, but the, yeah,
I don't, I don't know. I, I, I like the i
dea of, I mean, you definitely have to monitor
the win situation here. I think it could also rain. 0 (58m 17s):
Yeah. Give me, gimme the Pats plus nine. It's a baby fucking wheel 4 (58m 22s):
Man. Why? I think, why am I doing this to myself? No Parlays with the Pats this week.
I'm just fading the public blindly, it seems. I don't think that was my intention, but I'm 0 (58m 31s):
The public is on the, I'm 4 (58m 32s):
Fading the public hard this week. I've not agreed with a green dollar sign yet.
Last
early game Sean, it's Commander's Giants Week Washington on a back-to-back road spot here.
Minus two and a half on the road. What? Minus one 40 on the Moneyline Giants plus 1 20 39
is the total Another win game here. Somehow 74% of the Bets are on the Commanders. Mm.
Sean already broke the news. Daniel Jones will not be playing. It will be Tyrod Taylor.
I got, I mean, getting out ahead of it. Giants looking again. Giants only playing their third
home game here, looking for their first touc
hdown at home on the seasons. 4 (59m 15s):
And Sam Howell on his way to setting records, getting sacked 5.7 times per game. Generally,
this is the way I would handicap the Giants Commanders game. Yeah, the Giants don't lose
to the Commanders. 0 (59m 30s):
They did tie them last year. They, 4 (59m 32s):
The Giants do not lose to the Commanders. They've 0 (59m 35s):
Done well against 22, 23 of the last 33 meetings. But is it a new, is it a new arrow with Brian
DaBell as we know Brian DaBell won si
x and one straight up in the divisions. 4 (59m 47s):
P pull out your bullshit stats and then zoom in a little closer. Okay. Get out your magnifying
glass. What's that record against the Commanders 0 (59m 54s):
One A Oh and one Oh. 4 (59m 56s):
Does that include any losses? 0 (59m 59s):
No. 4 (59m 59s):
No. They don't lose to the Commanders. It 0 (1h 0m 1s):
Means, it means you do, 4 (1h 0m 2s):
They don't lose to the Commanders. I don't care what quarterbacks out there. They're
not losing to the
Commanders. 0 (1h 0m 10s):
I Are you worried? Has Abel lost the team? I think no. And I don't mean that as a Absolutely
not. I think that's a fair question. No, 4 (1h 0m 16s):
You, that's it's absolutely true. You don't know? 0 (1h 0m 19s):
No, no. Dude, he was throwing, he was throwing Tyrod Taylor under the bus at the press conference. 4 (1h 0m 23s):
What do you mean? Oh, you haven't watched all the press conference. It's fine. He's
not throwing anyone under the bus. 0 (1h 0m 27s):
Oh, so he
took responsibility for that play call? 4 (1h 0m 30s):
No, Tyrod fucked up. He took ownership over it. He in his press conference, said that
exact thing. That was my bad. 0 (1h 0m 37s):
Yeah. 'cause his coach was freaking out and throwing him under 4 (1h 0m 40s):
The bus. No, because he's a professional and he realized he fucked up. 0 (1h 0m 46s):
This just also feels like, don't, aren't you worried about a massive letdown spot for the
Giants? You guys got up And. we no gonna, you can't, we're g
onna win one for Dave. 4 (1h 0m 54s):
No, you can't do that. 'cause you made fun of me putting the, the day ball head graphic
on the car the week before you made fun of me. You can't then just be like, boom. And
they 0 (1h 1m 3s):
Lost the 4 (1h 1m 3s):
Game. It's a look down spot, eh? Sure. 0 (1h 1m 6s):
And they almost, they, they exerted a ton of energy. Yeah. And they lost the game. Yeah, 4 (1h 1m 10s):
Absolutely. 0 (1h 1m 11s):
Let down spot six. 4 (1h 1m 12s):
And, and, and I Sure. Maybe
it, it balances out the fact that Washington's on a back-to-back
road spot. but it doesn't balance out the fact that somehow the public is being dumb
and they didn't like Google Washington versus Giants versus Commanders slash football team
slash Redskins. This is a trend that, that spans three franchises. The Washington Commanders
football team, Redskins do not beat the Giants. Great 0 (1h 1m 39s):
Question. From 4 (1h 1m 39s):
The, they should not be laying two and a half points on the road. G
reat. That's insane. 0 (1h 1m 44s):
Great question From the angry vets. Oh 4 (1h 1m 47s):
Hey, what's the discussions up? Oh, wow. That's a long name. Yeah. 0 (1h 1m 50s):
Whose seat is hot? Or DL or Ron Rivera. Great question, Ron. I 4 (1h 1m 54s):
Thought you got a new show on the side over here. No. You hosted some angry vets on some
Fantasy discussions. Of course, it's Ron Rivera. I mean, don't ask me. There are, there are
betting markets around this Sean. Those are, that's how we, we decide
things in, in our
world. And Ron Rivera is the, the, the heavy chalk. 0 (1h 2m 16s):
I would So you're you're taking the Giants. 4 (1h 2m 18s):
Yeah, dude, I, I just laid out the handicap. 0 (1h 2m 20s):
I'll take the Giants as well. Gimme the Giants plus two and a half. 'cause Tyra's starting,
if Daniel Jones somehow makes, if he's up and out of his chair, I think they install
one of those breathing tubes that help you move around. If, if he, 4 (1h 2m 33s):
This is wild. If, 0 (1h 2m 34s):
If
Daniel Jones somehow starts, I'm, I'm immediately swapping my pick. But Tyrod 4 (1h 2m 39s):
Sean you wouldn't, is a, 0 (1h 2m 40s):
Is a dog. 4 (1h 2m 41s):
You wouldn't put Daniel Jones' head on Stephen Hawkings body. Mm. And post that on social
media. You wouldn't do that. 0 (1h 2m 50s):
No, I wouldn't. I we have graphics people that can work on that. 4 (1h 2m 53s):
Do, do you wanna know what the first head coach to be fired odds are. 0 (1h 2m 58s):
Sure. Rattle 'em off. Do you care? It's alw
ays a fun discussion. Staley 4 (1h 3m 0s):
Plus 200 ever flues plus two 50. Ron Rivera, five to one. Josh McDaniel. Seven to one for
Abel. 14 to one. Kevin O'Connell, 16 to one. 0 (1h 3m 11s):
I saw 4 (1h 3m 11s):
Brian Abel is listed 33 to one. I 0 (1h 3m 14s):
Saw 4 (1h 3m 15s):
Same as Sean Payton and Dennis Allen Belichick's 20 to one. Yeah. Yeah, 0 (1h 3m 21s):
That's what I was gonna say. That I don't ever remember Belichick. This is the first
time he is below Dun, dun, dun. 15 to one. Rig
ht. 4 (1h 3m 28s):
I'm telling you, I want Belichick to fucking quit at the podium after he came. 0 (1h 3m 33s):
That would be a 4 (1h 3m 35s):
Electric call. Or, or just what would, you know, what would be better if he just said,
I'm just not coming. Like he, after a game, he just went to the airport and booked a ticket
for whatever island he has a house on. Just said, I'm done. All right. You, so you final,
you wanna take the Giants? Do you wanna remind people? It's a great teaser leg too. 0 (
1h 3m 52s):
No, don't tease this guy. That's, 4 (1h 3m 53s):
That's a horrible teaser. Like, 0 (1h 3m 54s):
No need to tease Tyler. Hey, 4 (1h 3m 55s):
The, the first touchdown celebration's gonna be excellent. This 1, 1 0 5 on the West coast.
The Arizona Cardinals another back-to-back road spot here. They're heading to Seattle
take on the Seahawks. It's gonna be raining in this one wind. Probably not a factor. Seattle
laying seven and a half minus 360 on the Moneyline Arizona plus 2 85. 45 is t
he total. So the
Kyler announced that he was practicing, which is just absolutely excellent. 0 (1h 4m 25s):
Yeah. And, and Josh, producer Josh, can you please respond back with a photo of him practicing
and it's like him practicing gaming with his headset on. Oh 4 (1h 4m 35s):
Yes. 0 (1h 4m 36s):
Like, put me in coach. 4 (1h 4m 39s):
Yeah. I guess he didn't, he wasn't clear on what kind of practicing. 0 (1h 4m 42s):
Yeah, no, that's what's that's what the joke is. That's 4 (1h 4m 44s):
It. It's
a beautiful joke. 'cause it, he wasn't even clear. No, this is probably, I mean,
we have not really discussed it. Probably, I would imagine the leader in the clubhouse
for the Survivor. 0 (1h 4m 58s):
Yeah. Although, oh, the Cardinals have been frisky ish against, 4 (1h 5m 4s):
Oh, I totally forgot to say something about the Giants game. What the ref is John Hussey,
who was the same ref in the game with the no call when Darnay Holmes was hugging Dotson
in the end zone from last year that the Red
skins fans got all upset about. Oh, nice. Same ref
coming back. Oh, 0 (1h 5m 21s):
So you got the refs. All right. Just, 4 (1h 5m 23s):
But you know who his back judges, same back judger didn't call that Pi on Darren Waller
last week in the Bills game. So there's 0 (1h 5m 30s):
No pi Woo. 4 (1h 5m 31s):
There's some spicy ref angles sliding into my dms lately. All right. So back to the Arizona
game. Yeah, I don't know. I, the, I, there's not much for me to add here, other than it
seems like, so
James Connor probably should have been on the running back conference call.
'cause it seems like he mattered to his team. Well 0 (1h 5m 50s):
He, maybe he was. That's he is injured. Oh, those 4 (1h 5m 52s):
Guys are cursed. Are you suggesting he's holding out? Show him. Could be. Show these Cardinals
how bad they can be 0 (1h 5m 60s):
A road team in this division. Matchup has won 12 of the last 16 meetings, excluding
a 2016 tie. Cardinals randomly can kind of hang around with this team. I'm sure
, I'm
sure the public is on the Seahawks, but man, I, I really liked this spot for the Seahawks
after that loss against the Bengals. That was a game. Now I know it was your locker
ride. I was also betting on it. I think we were fortunate to get that win, to get that
cover because 4 (1h 6m 26s):
Gino gave us a little love 0 (1h 6m 27s):
Seattle, I thought played pretty well. Now Gino did have some bad turnovers and, and
some, some bad misses there. But Gino at home is a little different. It, 4 (1
h 6m 37s):
It's, it's a little unfair for you to just gloss over the failures of Gino Smith when
you really magnified him for Desmond Ritter felt like a little bit of the same failures 0 (1h 6m 49s):
Team moved 4 (1h 6m 50s):
The ball a lot. Hey, look, they look pretty good in the box score Woo, but the 0 (1h 6m 55s):
Turnovers well, playing at Cincinnati is a little different than at home against the
Commanders. That's true. 4 (1h 6m 59s):
That's true. 0 (1h 6m 59s):
The, the, the Bengals defen
se is a tougher 4 (1h 7m 2s):
Out. They, they failed in the same way. 0 (1h 7m 3s):
Okay. Yeah. I, if, if Ritter was at home against the Cardinals and he was better, I would consider
taking him. Now Seattle number one in a adjust adjusted yards line yards defensively. And
the, the frisky fun Cardinals that we saw the first few games, they're gone. They're
gone. Cardinals pressure rate of 15.7% lowest in the NFL. They're also 30th in e p a per
play on defense. 32nd in opponent success rate. The o
nly team above 50% in opponent
success rate. Like I, I don't love Gino as a favorite over seven. He is actually, well
this is the first time he's never closed as a favorite of seven points or higher. 0 (1h 7m 46s):
So we could be breaking new territory here, but the Cardinals struggle to stop the run.
Maybe they come out and same thing like the Rams where they have a frisky first half,
but this team just falls apart in the second half. Whether it's, I mean, look at every
one of their games, with
the exception to at home against the Cowboys. And I think that
was before people knew, really knew how to play him. I do think Jonathan Gannon having
the experience against those division opponents helped the defense play above their talent
level. And now as you go on and, and then James Conner not being a part of the offense.
And same thing with Dobbs. Like Dobbs is a fun story, but he's really hit the wall play
wise these past couple games. Well, 4 (1h 8m 25s):
We see it, right? You get the f
our or five games of film people start to figure out what
your tendencies are. The biggest thing that we talked about with the Cardinals, or one
of the big reasons why we both like to fade 'em in the preseason was well it's, it's a
young coaching staff all the way around. Yeah. Like, how are they gonna adapt to the season
and may maybe they're not adapting well. And and, 0 (1h 8m 46s):
And I saw in the YouTube chat, someone said the Cardinals are feisty. Which I, I get what
you're saying, but le
t's actually look at the numbers. Like they're feisty on screen,
meaning, oh, they, you, you watch them play and you're like, they don't seem that bad.
26 to nine they lost to the Rams 17 point loss. 34 to 2014 po point loss against the
Bengals 19 point loss against the 49 ERs. So they, they've been feisty, but they're
also losing, they also lost the Giants. Yeah. They lost to the Giants 31 28. That's a horrible
loss. In hindsight. 4 (1h 9m 19s):
A huge comeback like that. Yeah. All around that
was, that was not good. 0 (1h 9m 24s):
I'm on Seattle here. 4 (1h 9m 25s):
I I'm also on Seattle. I would it, would it be time to maybe consider like what if this
defense is really good? Is it time to consider a future on Seattle in some, some regard? 0 (1h 9m 38s):
I'm still a little skeptical of them on the road. 4 (1h 9m 42s):
They're gonna have to go on the road. It would seem so. Yeah. 0 (1h 9m 45s):
Like it throw that 4 (1h 9m 45s):
Idea out. 0 (1h 9m 46s):
No, I just, I think they're clos
e. But I think, you know, great teams or teams that can cash
you some futures have to be able to win road games. That's why. But I 4 (1h 9m 56s):
Think surprise teams that can do that do things like what you're describing. You gave out
the adjusted line yards. They're also number one against the run e p a per play. So they're
really good. And they might sneak up on people. 'cause I don't think everyone, I don't think
people are looking at the Seahawks as a defensive team yet. Yeah. 0 (1h 10m 17s
):
Or maybe they should, especially against his Cardinals. And 4 (1h 10m 19s):
Imagine if the defensive, the young defensive backs really click. Pete Carroll might be
back to having a really, really, I mean, who knew that all those years the defense was
carrying Russ and Pete Carroll was really just, just Pete Carroll and Mike Tomlin are
just geniuses dogs. 1 0 5 dog 0 (1h 10m 36s):
Ryan. Underdog Fantasy (1h 10m 36s):
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For those wondering, I have three teams in the top 10,000. Oh wow. I'm advancing 32 teams
and I have another 12 teams that are in third place. I think I'm ahead of the third right
now. And that's with a ridiculous amount of Dan Jones watch out world. I'm getting unique.
Oh 0 (1h 12m 46s):
Man. If the Dan, if a Dan Jones lineup wins,
4 (1h 12m 49s):
Well I do, I dunno if you saw the, the underdog's been putting out like top teams or like most
owned guys, least owned guys at the top. And then they're gonna be putting out like most
and least owned at the bottom. So yeah, be curious to see what ends up being chalky and
not obviously the do right now, the biggest takeaway you should have drafted Dolphins. 0 (1h 13m 8s):
Yeah, 4 (1h 13m 9s):
That's, that's really it. All right. 1 0 5 on the West coast. We got the Steelers coming
off a buy heading to Los Angeles to take on the Rams. I have no clue how the Rams are
catching. 78% of the Bets here laying three minus one 60 on the Moneyline Pittsburgh plus
1 35, 43 and a half is the total. I, I assume this is why 0 (1h 13m 30s):
R Ryan Real quick. No one caress about that. Your ro like the best ball drafts, but I have
to What do you mean chime in real quick. So they did the, we did those best Ball resurrection
drafts. 4 (1h 13m 40s):
Okay. 0 (1h 13m 41s):
And I just want to
name you my, I, I did two teams. Yes. Here are my two quarterbacks on
each team. Okay. One quarter, one team. I have Bryce Young and Zach Wilson. That was
like a crazy idea. I had, I think they're, correct me if I'm wrong, but I think they're,
yes, they, I, I didn't do a great job of planning as they're both on buys. Same bye week. And
then go over to my other draft. Okay. My two quarterbacks are Justin Fields and Ryan Tannehill,
both not playing. So two drafts. They're both advancing right now
, now zero quarterbacks
playing this week. 4 (1h 14m 14s):
I will see your roster baiting or whatever. The opposite is the bare knuckle draft I did
in Vegas. Oh, no, no, no notes. Justin Fields, Ryan, Tana Hill. Oh 0 (1h 14m 24s):
No. 4 (1h 14m 25s):
Just put a bullet in the back of the head. Fortunately, I mean, that's what happens.
It's best Ball, 0 (1h 14m 30s):
It's injuries. Now, 4 (1h 14m 31s):
Takeaway for next year, three quarterbacks and my, the, the key takeaway, I don't think
I ever b
rought this up on the air, but a couple of the older guys told me this after the draft.
He's like, people can't, everyone knows quarterbacks. So in a moment of panic, just throw a quarterback
out there. That's why they go earlier. Anyway, life 0 (1h 14m 49s):
Lessons. Alright. Steelers 4 (1h 14m 51s):
Ram Sean, you, you, you took us off the tracks to talk about Best Ball. But the Rams, again,
catching 78% of the action probably moved the number from two and a half on the look
ahead to three beca
use obviously Steelers didn't play. So I don't know what else is
really gonna be moving the number. If anything, the Rams lost their entire running back room,
which, you know, I mean, if you remember in the past they've signed guys off the street
and eventually worked them in to be Bell Cows. Who was the fat guy? They was it CJ Anderson.
Oh, 0 (1h 15m 22s):
Love that run ad. That was so fun. 4 (1h 15m 26s):
So maybe in a couple weeks we'll have something like that. But I forget our love of Tomli
n
as a dog. Forget 0 (1h 15m 34s):
55 and 30, 4 (1h 15m 36s):
Forget our love of Tomlin fixing things coming off the buy. Like I, I went, I'm going into
the buy and we're fixing the shit. 0 (1h 15m 43s):
I went down a rabbit hole. He's 10 and 11 against the spread off a buy. Really? But
then someone had a nugget. When his team is generating less than 30 points per game going
into that buy, he is then three and oh oh in those instances. So nice. If your defense
is bad, then he has a chance to fix
it or something like that. I I assume it must be,
it must've been lower than 30 points per game. But whatever the, the threshold was, it was
basically if their d offense is bad, then he has the buy, they has a chance to fix it.
Well, 4 (1h 16m 14s):
I mean, what if Deontay Johnson is a bigger part of 0 (1h 16m 17s):
Deontay Johnson coming back is, is big for the Steelers. I I think, you know, they've
been a a little bit banged up here. Rams don't generate a ton of pass rush. So if Kenny Pickett
is to have a good game, you would imagine it might be against this Rams team here. I
mean, Steelers offense though is so bad. 29th and e p a per play. So even if they are a
little better, there's still pretty bad. To me, the matchup that's just tough to turn
around for the, for the Rams is Stafford has been prone to turnovers. It's when he gets
pressure and TJ Watt rest TJ Watt rested and Healthy could wreck this game for them. 0 (1h 16m 58s):
The the the counter to that though is the, the Puka
and Cup just eat and they get a rhythm
going. There's no one in the Steeler secondary. I I think that's 4 (1h 17m 7s):
Not how you beat them though. Who you beat the Steelers by running it against them. Yeah.
And and they don't 0 (1h 17m 13s):
Have much running. 4 (1h 17m 13s):
Yeah. Yeah. And I think McVey needs to run the ball for his offense to be successful.
We've seen at times it's sputtered what do they do? They get the running game going even
against Arizona in a game that we had a sweat
for The riot had a sweat for Survivor. It,
it, I I really think it's a, it's a matchup part of this game that it heavily skews it
for the Steelers for me. And I do think Deontay Johnson unlocks the offense because what does
he do Sean He gets open in the short to intermediate part of the field. And that's obviously what
they're missing. All Pickens does is run down the field. Yeah. Pryor Moth has been out and
it, and it, what, what's, what's the most electric part of the offense? Been Jalen War
ren. 4 (1h 17m 54s):
Yeah. And so yeah, adding Deante. 0 (1h 17m 56s):
I'll take, I'll take the Steelers. I just, I do worry. Oh, 4 (1h 17m 59s):
Twist your arm. 0 (1h 18m 0s):
No. Well, I, I was trying to do some se self scouting during the Steelers buy week. I'll
take too much. Am I on the Steelers every single time? Yes. I think I have been. 4 (1h 18m 9s):
Is that a problem? They're they're decent at t s 0 (1h 18m 11s):
So 4 (1h 18m 12s):
Don't, don't, 0 (1h 18m 13s):
Well Rams are the other
team that I kind of like more than market coming in. You know,
Stafford being, I mean, this could quietly be that DFS shootout game if things Sean 4 (1h 18m 23s):
What? Do you remember what Vegas was like with all the Steelers 0 (1h 18m 26s):
There? Yeah. No, they, they will definitely take this over. 4 (1h 18m 29s):
This is 100% gonna be a Steelers home game. So let's just call it a neutral field. Yeah. 0 (1h 18m 34s):
Give me three points. Should 4 (1h 18m 35s):
The Rams be laying three on a n
eutral? Probably not. We'll see. Hopefully Aaron, Donald, Donald
doesn't wreck the game. 'cause boy that offense at times. He's 0 (1h 18m 44s):
Been kind of quiet the past couple games though. All right. 4 (1h 18m 46s):
Well and I think on the other side and yeah, speaking of guys like Aaron Donald, good transition
over here to the Chief's Chargers game where Chris Jones probably gonna wreck this game.
Kansas City coming off Thursday night, are we calling this a, a mini buy for Andy Reed
taking
on a team coming off short rest? They were on Monday night. The Chargers Chiefs
laying five and a half minus two 50 on the Moneyline Chargers plus 2 0 5 48 is the total
feels a little dirty that the league put this short rest, long rest matchup for this key
divisional game right here. Definitely gonna be some rain in this one. 4 (1h 19m 28s):
I I, I mean we've talked schedule loss a couple times. It is that time of the season. This
feels a little bit, I we always love taking the Chargers on the
road. That's part of our
system. But I I I do think this is, this is a tough spot they've put and meanwhile, the,
what is the, what are the Chiefs? The Chiefs played Denver last week. They played Denver
next week. Yeah, 0 (1h 19m 51s):
I mean this is interesting 'cause Herbert has always played the Chiefs close. He's only
two and four straight up, but 15 touchdowns, four interceptions, 107.3 QB rating. The 4 (1h 20m 3s):
Defense is better though. 0 (1h 20m 4s):
Yeah, he's seven and oh a t s is a
dog of five or more in his career. 10 in one against
a spread dog over a field goal. The defense is much better. But that offense still hasn't
had that quite, quite the killer instinct to cover the spreads. Now they did cover against
Denver. Maybe they were playing with their food a little bit. They just, two sausage
just traded for Meko Hardman. I don't know if he would play. Can 4 (1h 20m 26s):
We talk about this guy goes off, gets signed, who knows? Maybe they get a comp pick for
it and then
he just gets traded right on back for nothing. Hmm. It's like the old Belichick
way. 0 (1h 20m 38s):
Yeah. 4 (1h 20m 39s):
I I don't understand Chargers 0 (1h 20m 41s):
Though. They, man, they struggled to, to slow down efficient offenses. Frank 4 (1h 20m 46s):
Clark's back too. 0 (1h 20m 47s):
Yeah, he's definitely playing. 4 (1h 20m 50s):
They said that he is, he's like in Kansas City tomorrow for a physical. He is a pass
rusher. How quick do you need to, can't you just go out there and run a
fter the quarterback?
I assume it's that simple. Taylor Swift undefeated. 0 (1h 21m 6s):
Yeah. Is she gonna be at the game? 4 (1h 21m 8s):
I mean, at this point she's, she's pot committed. It's good for her brand. It's really blowing
her up. I've heard. 0 (1h 21m 15s):
Yeah, I'll take, oh man, this is tough. I'll take the Chiefs, but I, I, I know their offense
has like been good statistically, but they don't, they just haven't points wise. I mean
what was their, what was their biggest output so
far? I guess they did have that one game
against the Bears, but other than that they haven't really, 4 (1h 21m 34s):
But isn't like, doesn't this have the same kind of potential as that Bears game? Yeah.
Yeah. The way the Chargers have been playing defense and if the chief's defense it like,
you know, you look at the, the schedule, it's like, well, how, which, how many teams have
scored over 20 points on the Chiefs? Only the Lions. And so this is a different kind
of chief's team. I I think this
is is d 0 (1h 21m 58s):
This is probably 20 s 17. So yeah, I'll take, I'll take the Chiefs. 4 (1h 22m 2s):
I think it's more than that. Really? Gimme the, gimme the Chiefs as well. Hmm. 0 (1h 22m 7s):
Chalky Kramer. 4 (1h 22m 8s):
It's not though. I didn't see a green dollar sign over there. It's a favorite. But this
the money. You want the money split on this one? 0 (1h 22m 14s):
Sean? Sure. Head over to Von. Check out the betting slits. 4 (1h 22m 17s):
You're, you're, you're it's 50 50. Hmm. A
lmost right down the middle. Sean. So I'll accept
your apology. No big deal. 1 25 on the West coast. Packers head to Denver. Great Jersey
matchup here. Sean 0 (1h 22m 32s):
Classic. 4 (1h 22m 33s):
The Broncos coming off Thursday. 0 (1h 22m 34s):
What Super Bowl was that? 4 (1h 22m 35s):
95. Yeah, 0 (1h 22m 37s):
Five. That sounds 4 (1h 22m 37s):
Right. The Broncos coming off Thursday night. The Packer's coming off a buy. So almost buys
both way. Denver sandwich spot is Kansas City on both sides
. It's just brutal for this Broncos
team. I honestly, I don't understand why they do this in the schedule. 0 (1h 22m 51s):
How'd you guys not get an icon of Andy Reed for that sandwich spot? Oh, 4 (1h 22m 55s):
The cool. The Kool. Yeah. Eating. Oh 0 (1h 22m 56s):
My eating that sandwich. Josh. 4 (1h 22m 58s):
New new update. Any sandwich spot is just Andy Sandwich. Just 0 (1h 23m 1s):
Annie Reed eating a sandwich 4 (1h 23m 3s):
Sandwich no matter what. Yes. Green Bay coming off the buy laying a
point minus one 15 on
the Moneyline Broncos minus 1 0 5, the other way. 45 is the total. It does seem like there's
gonna be some rain potentially in this one Wind. Probably not a factor. A lot of lot
of shit's being talked about Jordan Love. Yes. It does seem like this Packers team is
getting healthier. Yeah. Only only player that's trending towards not playing this weekend
is the linebacker Campbell. And that even inclu includes getting Eric getting Stokes
back one of their cornerbacks who I be
lieve is on the pup or been just been activated
off the pup. 0 (1h 23m 46s):
Yeah. I think, I think the only way you're taking Denver is if you're just talking yourselves
into the idea of, oh man, it just can't get worse for Denver. They're due to win one of
these games. This is the first time in the Super Bowl era. Denver has started with adding
a t Ss win in their first six games. Most places have them as oh five and one. Nathaniel 4 (1h 24m 5s):
Hackett 0 (1h 24m 6s):
Got, it's crazy. No, he,
he covered some, 4 (1h 24m 9s):
He was a covering machine compared to pain. 0 (1h 24m 11s):
I think, I think Aaron Jones could mean a lot for this offense. And if there ever is
or get right game for the Packers offense, it's gotta be against his Denver defense 32nd
in defensive D V A and that's a combination of 32nd pass D V A and 32nd run. D v i. Do
you realize how hard it is to be 32nd in both? Because usually if you're so bad at one of
'em, they don't do the other one as much and it balances
you. You're, you're like 32 and
28 or 32 and 27 to be 32nd in both. Pass and run. D V O A is really a masterpiece of shittiness. 4 (1h 24m 47s):
It shows very poor effort. They're cutting players left and right. Yeah. If you wanna
play the conspiracy And, we missed right? The, it wasn't the Cardinals who were tanking,
it's the Broncos who were tanking. Hmm. Who knew the best way to tank was keep Russell
Wilson out there, embarrass him, force a maybe, maybe he quits. Maybe he retires. Maybe he
r
educes that dead cap number. Sean Payton's not trying or Sean Payton's a horrible coach. 0 (1h 25m 13s):
Probably a little, a little B green. 4 (1h 25m 15s):
Bay. Woo. It's 0 (1h 25m 15s):
Pokemon. 4 (1h 25m 16s):
We, and if you want, if this is the game that Jordan Love gets right, they're coming out
the buy he he's what, what is he hearing? He's, people talk about how he's inaccurate.
He's, he's he's taking too long to make decisions. 0 (1h 25m 31s):
I mean, how do you bet on Broncos at, at pl
us one? How, 4 (1h 25m 37s):
How 0 (1h 25m 37s):
Honest you have to live with yourself. You have to hold that physical ticket look in
the mirror and go, I'm on the PA, I'm on the Broncos. 4 (1h 25m 43s):
Weeks ago we were talking about the roster of the Packers being very nice. So regardless
of what Jordan Love is like, Hey, this team maybe can do something. Yeah. Now there are
pick him against one of the worst teams in the league. Yeah. It doesn't seem to make
sense to me either. Green Bay lay
the point. Although some will tell you that Denver's
a nice tease teaser. Like we do not agree. We do not agree with that. I 0 (1h 26m 6s):
Don't know why it cracks me up. 4 (1h 26m 7s):
First, first 0 (1h 26m 8s):
Pub sharp talk first 4 (1h 26m 9s):
Public side. I've taken Sean. That does scare me a little bit. but it makes so much sense.
So I understand. I agree with you. Oh, 0 (1h 26m 15s):
Why would anyone bet on 4 (1h 26m 16s):
I agree with these people. These people are smart. All right. S
unday night football. 0 (1h 26m 19s):
Gimme three and a half if you want me to think about this game. Really? 4 (1h 26m 22s):
Is that, is that the number you need? 0 (1h 26m 24s):
Maybe three 4 (1h 26m 26s):
Dolphins head up to Philly to take on the Eagles Eagles Lane two minus 1 25 in the Moneyline
Dolphins plus 1 0 5 52 is the total Jalen Hertz coming off a dud? So I assume he's been
staring at his lock screen. Yep. Getting motivated for the week. 0 (1h 26m 45s):
Well, I don't think he, I don'
t think he needed any extra motivation. Okay. Coming off the
loss. He hasn't lost back-to-back games. You gotta go back to October 24th, 2021. If you're
talking about Jalen Hart's back-to-back losses. This is for, for a guy who keeps receipts
and, and motivates himself for, for times where he lost. I mean, how can you not be
super motivated to take down Tua? You know, they, they downplay it. They're friends, but
man, he got humiliated. He got pulled from a national championship game Loser. This
guy,
he transferred to another school. It, it crushed his draft stock down to the second round.
And ever since then, he's got the chip on his shoulder that's been driving him to the
success near M v P, near Super Bowl champ. 0 (1h 27m 31s):
Great year last year starting out five and one. And what was that one domino that got
that whole fucked his whole shit up? It was Tua. I think he, I think he has a massive
chip on his shoulder to show he's the better quarterback than Tua. He 4 (1h 27m 46s):
W
ent and played for Lincoln Riley. I mean, not the worst thing to get your draft stock
up. 0 (1h 27m 52s):
Okay. 4 (1h 27m 52s):
So maybe helped him. Maybe it was a good thing. It was a 0 (1h 27m 55s):
Great thing getting pulled in the national championship game. Good spin, Brian. 4 (1h 27m 60s):
Yeah, I mean, I, it's a little surprised this isn't three. What's the, what's the spin on
that? Just Eagles not playing 0 (1h 28m 5s):
Well the Eagles, I mean we, let's get injuries in the injury situati
on's pretty serious for
the Eagles Lane Johnson. I'm reporting he will be playing. He's dealing with a minor
ankle sprain. 4 (1h 28m 16s):
Okay. In 0 (1h 28m 17s):
In, okay. Jalen Carter. Darius slay both in limited in practice today. Really? They will
be playing. 4 (1h 28m 22s):
Yes. They will be playing. 0 (1h 28m 24s):
Yeah. Now Devonta Smith popped up on the injury report with a hamstring that's always concerning.
Could be Vet Rest day or, or you know, they, hamstring injuries are the hardes
t to predict
for these kind of things. I'll knock on wood, I'm optimistic he makes it back out there.
But even on the backend, Reed Blankenship didn't practice today. You need all the help
you can get in the backfield. Sidney Brown, the rookie safety, that's looked pretty good.
He's, he was a full practice today, so I expect him to be out there as well. So they are dealing
with some injuries on the defensive side. Everyone is aware of the Lane Johnson with
him without splits. If he doesn't play,
that's really gonna hurt them, but it's going to
come down. 0 (1h 29m 6s):
Can they slow down Tyreek Hill and Jalen Waddle? I don't think it's going to be a big a Raheem
mo stare game because I do think the Eagles Rush defense has been pretty consistent. Now
you, you gotta play up on Tyreek Hill. You gotta push him around. Don't give him free
space. Don't give him free release. Get into his face, knock to a around. And I think that's
your, your your pattern for winning the game on the offensive
side. I think AJ Brown will
continue to have, I mean, he is at I think over 125 yards in four games in a row. He's
been awesome. And last but not least, Kelly Green Jerseys will be popping. So Sunday nights
it's gonna be lit. 0 (1h 29m 48s):
Lincoln Financial Field, Eagles at home. Jalen Hertz coming off a loss. Eagles coming off
a loss Go 4 (1h 29m 54s):
Words. When was, when was the last time they wore these jerseys? 0 (1h 29m 60s):
That's a good 4 (1h 30m 0s):
Question. Were they a good team
or a bad team? Mm. Is this like the, the Creamsicles? 0 (1h 30m 8s):
Yeah, that's, that was interesting too. Like why would you bring up a, bring up a Jersey
where your team was horrible and I think they may have had one good year in the Creamsicles.
You gotta go back to 2010. That was the Michael Vick run there. So yeah, a good team for sure. 4 (1h 30m 25s):
Probably looked good in those. No, he did. Alright, so Lane Johnson, are you just being
optimistic? 0 (1h 30m 31s):
Actually, this is fro
m a good friend of the program. Brian balding. 4 (1h 30m 36s):
He, he's saying that Lane Johnson will go, yes. Okay. 0 (1h 30m 40s):
He talked to Lane. He said it on the park. 4 (1h 30m 42s):
No, he's a, he's a fat guy whisperer. I trust 0 (1h 30m 44s):
Him. No, he was hanging out, working out with Lane and 4 (1h 30m 47s):
Texting him bald. He's a hilarious guy. 0 (1h 30m 50s):
I was in, I was talking to Lane, he was in there in the barn. I went in there and got
a workout in his barn. They alway
s talk about Layton's workout barn. I talked to him. He
said he is, he is good to go. He'll be playing against Miami. Like he just breaks his, 4 (1h 31m 2s):
I just like how Baldy is, like, he's offensive lineman Bill Walton. 0 (1h 31m 7s):
He is just got that mangled claw of the hand. He's Bill 4 (1h 31m 10s):
Walton. If he played offensive line, I I I don't understand how you would not lay the
points with Philly. I, I'm like genuinely surprised. This number is not three mm it
coming down from
the look ahead of two and a half Smash I two. One thing I noticed with
the Giants game, so I McDaniel the idea is he's gonna scheme quick shit up. Yeah. I don't
think the way you take Tyreek Hill away is by, is by like double covering him and doing
all this stuff. The Giants had the most success just having someone chase him around and getting
to Tua quickly. Yeah, I think the Eagles can probably do that. 4 (1h 31m 49s):
Get that 0 (1h 31m 50s):
Interior pressure with Jalen Kyle 4 (1h 31m 51s):
And I would imagine it's gonna be a, a, a different vibe than what the Dolphins have
faced so far. 0 (1h 31m 57s):
And Dolphins haven't been great as road dogs. Two in 10 straight up last 12 games as a road
dog dating back to last season two has lost six of his last eight as a road Underdog, 4 (1h 32m 7s):
Like the atmospheres the Dolphins have been in this year. La Chargers, new England Patriots
now that all the Patriots fans don't care about football Buffalo where they got their
ass beat and h
ome games. So yeah, I I don't know who's taking the two points here, 0 (1h 32m 27s):
But the, the betting splits aren't uneven at all. There's certainly people that can
talk themselves into taking Miami. 4 (1h 32m 33s):
Yeah, I guess I you're taking Miami because of the injuries. You think that the Eagles
are down right now. If Lane Johnson doesn't play, obviously it hurts. It hurts the Eagle's
chances. Interesting one for me. And also I, I would imagine that the Eagles offense
will, will have s
uccess against this defense as well. It, it's a defense that almost invites
you to have small bits of success over and over and over and over again. And that's like
exactly what the Eagles love to do. It's like the ice cream, the giant tub of ice cream
in my ref in my freezer just a little bit of a time. If I don't get a bowl, it doesn't
count five. All right, let's go over to Monday night football nine ERs I don't smoke about 0 (1h 33m 14s):
Weeded. 4 (1h 33m 15s):
Well, it's true. If I don't g
et a bowl, it doesn't count. Niners head to Minnesota to
play in the spaceship. Kyle Shanahan back to back road 0 (1h 33m 21s):
Spot. And. we didn't, we didn't even mention Julio Jones. 4 (1h 33m 25s):
Oh, totally forgot about that. 0 (1h 33m 26s):
So that was 4 (1h 33m 27s):
Big, big addition. 0 (1h 33m 29s):
Yeah. I mean he, for the most part, he is cooked. But you do remember he was, he did
have seven for 74 in a touchdown in that playoff game. That was in January of this year. That
feels lik
e so long ago. I I like Julio Jones as a guy. I'm not expecting a ton. Could he
be better than Quest Watkins? Who's going on the ir Sure. They even went outta their
way to say, hey, he, he's not gonna have a highlighted role. So I, I like Julio Jones
Jones. 4 (1h 33m 53s):
He's gonna be active. 0 (1h 33m 54s):
Well, that'll be interesting. I I think it would depend on 4 (1h 33m 57s):
Soft tissue injury. Yeah. If he's active. That's my prediction. Who? Julio. 0 (1h 34m 2s):
Oh, Julio's not injure
d? 4 (1h 34m 4s):
No, no. I'm saying if he's active, he's going to pick up a, a soft tissue injury. 0 (1h 34m 8s):
Oh yeah. I mean that's, that was part, he's 4 (1h 34m 10s):
Gonna run like five routes and then bang. That 0 (1h 34m 12s):
Was part of his issue. He's aer old guy. Probably not. I mean he, I'm sure he is in shape, but
football shape and you get old, it's tough 4 (1h 34m 20s):
Especially, 0 (1h 34m 21s):
But a Julio Jones anytime touchdown. Oh, as soon as those, I mean, you definitel
y know
I'm gonna be putting him in first touchdown. 4 (1h 34m 27s):
Maybe that's the review you leave for the NFL Gambling podcast. Hmm. Get the Julio Jones.
Oh yeah, 0 (1h 34m 33s):
That's good. That's good mojo. All 4 (1h 34m 35s):
Right. Niners catching 82% of the Bets laying the six and a half minus 300 on the Moneyline
Minnesota plus 2 40, 44 is the total. Yeah, back-to-back road spot also just, they just
got their ass beat. I do think it does. 0 (1h 34m 55s):
Is that, is that positive or n
egative for the 49 ERs? You like 4 (1h 34m 58s):
That, you like that? I guess it depends on what kind of fan you are. But I I I would
imagine if you're ever gonna say a lot was put into a game. I mean, you drop your top
two running backs, one of them plays receiver sometimes. And I think you, so your reserves
are playing a bunch. You're, you're in this physical battle. You're, you're playing the
best defensive line you have in a while. Your offensive line gets exposed, your quarterback
gets expo
sed. You had to go to Ohio specifically Cleveland, and now you, did you stay in the
Midwest? 4 (1h 35m 38s):
Do we know if they st I didn't even look to see if they had bro time in the Midwest. Maybe,
maybe somewhere near a lake where they could have a boat trip call, call the Vikings. They
know how to, they know how to host that kind of event. I think it was different kind of
music in that boat trip. 0 (1h 35m 53s):
It's interesting. More like in, I'm over on the f n Fantasy. They got a bunch o
f the advanced
stuff, Vikings number two in adjusted offensive line yards. You would not know that at all
from watching that Vikings team that 4 (1h 36m 7s):
They're good at running the ball. 0 (1h 36m 9s):
Well, I Are they good? They're, 4 (1h 36m 11s):
I just, are you looking at offensive line yards? Yes. Yeah. So that would tell you that
they are should be capable of getting a push. Yeah. 0 (1h 36m 20s):
And 4 (1h 36m 20s):
We're, but the, the running 0 (1h 36m 21s):
Running backs don't, don'
t make that happen. 4 (1h 36m 24s):
Cam Akers, if he only stayed in Los Angeles, he'd be, he'd have a full-time opportunity.
This game is gross. The number is gross. Brock Purdy two and four. You like that? You like
that at SS on the road in his career? Not quite the darling. He is at home. Any chance
this is a Kirk Cousin's revenge spot after hearing that Kyle Shanahan tried really hard
to trade for? Well, I, 0 (1h 36m 51s):
I think if anyone knows Kirk Cousin's game, it's Kyle Shanahan, I mean
by all the accounts,
he's had a, he's been rock hard for this guy for years trying to get him to play for him.
Hasn't been able to make that happen. 4 (1h 37m 3s):
This is all, I mean yeah, he's, everything. Trey Lance couldn't be. Well, 0 (1h 37m 7s):
And, and maybe it was the division game or maybe it was no Justin Jefferson, but that
Vikings offense looked pretty bad against the Bears defense. Right. 4 (1h 37m 19s):
I it hard to argue that point. 0 (1h 37m 20s):
So, and, and the Vikings have
n't been great a t s since 20 20 10 and 18. But 4 (1h 37m 26s):
You want to hear, do you want to hear some bullshit? I'm 0 (1h 37m 30s):
Listening. 4 (1h 37m 30s):
Kurt Cousins as a member of the Vikings is five and three straight up in primetime at
home. Okay. He's at home here. I'm just saying the Kurt Cousins, we love to fade as a viking
at home. He's five and three straight up. 0 (1h 37m 47s):
What about a t Ss? 4 (1h 37m 50s):
I I I don't, I mean, he's a dog. Yeah. That's, that's unnecessar
y mental gymnastics. So you,
you just, you're just trying to reject the data any way possible. 0 (1h 38m 1s):
He's bad prime time. Right. What do we make All the Niners injuries? They, you got Christian
McCaffrey banged up. Debo Samuel banged up. Trent Williams banged up. None of 'em 4 (1h 38m 12s):
Are considered to be long term. Sure. 0 (1h 38m 13s):
Right. But then they all say, has a chance to play. That means doesn't play. Right. 4 (1h 38m 20s):
All right, so Christian McCaffrey, it's an ob
lique thing. Yeah, 0 (1h 38m 23s):
It's pain management. 4 (1h 38m 24s):
I could have swore. So when we were watching the game, he went out and then he came back
in and then he went out again. That's 0 (1h 38m 32s):
What I thought. But then someone said he got knocked out and didn't come back in. But I,
I don't trust their announced. 4 (1h 38m 37s):
Do they, do they have eight screens tracking everything? 0 (1h 38m 40s):
I don't think they do. 4 (1h 38m 41s):
I think he tried to play through it
and Yeah, I I would, it seems like McCaffrey has a chance
to play, but what you have these other guys, why would you play him? And then it becomes
the well, if they don't play him. I love, I love this spot for Minnesota, but on the,
on the flip side, you mentioned it earlier, is Justin Jefferson not being their problem
or was this just, just the matchup last week? Team divisional teams know each other. Yeah, 0 (1h 39m 12s):
But it, so 4 (1h 39m 13s):
I know the Bears and the Bears, but, but they
're divisional teams. Sean, you know that Nick 0 (1h 39m 16s):
Bosa is pretty healthy. I didn't, I mentioned some injuries. Nick Bosa was not on one of
those. Nick Bosa is going to break her cousins smash through that plexiglass container he
was gonna use to protect him from spreading C O V I D. 4 (1h 39m 32s):
You're gonna lay the points 0 (1h 39m 34s):
Well, but to the, to the counter of if you're talking to yourself into Minnesota, you go,
all right, well, San Francisco. Yeah. It's a back-to-
back road spot. Maybe they rest
some of these guys. Purdy has a couple, doesn't see a couple of these blitzes, but Shanahan,
like, I just couldn't think of a worse matchup for the Vikings defense where they bring all
those zero rush guys like Shanahan's chomping at the bit to put like three tight ends on
the field and, and run some Shana Hannigan's to counter this. Right. Don't, don't you think
Kyle Shanahan's gonna figure out how to stop a team that wants to blitz all the time? 4 (1h 40m 11s):
What does the flowchart tell us about Shanahan versus McVey? 0 (1h 40m 17s):
He usually beats him. 4 (1h 40m 20s):
Pretty sure Minnesota is McVey. He's a McVey disciple. So does that count? Mm. Yeah. I,
I, this this game. I I I hate, I hate this game. 0 (1h 40m 31s):
Terrell with a great stat in the YouTube chat. Shanahan one in six a t s is a road favorite
of seven or more. 4 (1h 40m 37s):
All right. So you're saying we should take Minnesota? 0 (1h 40m 39s):
Well, it's not seven or more. It's s
ix and a half. 4 (1h 40m 42s):
Why is it a great stat then? 0 (1h 40m 44s):
You're 4 (1h 40m 45s):
Leading the Whitney. 0 (1h 40m 45s):
It is a strong trend. He doesn't do well as a big favorite on the road. We've, we've been
against that angle a couple times, fading them as road favorites. We had the Browns,
we had the Steelers one worked out, one didn't. But I, I'll go, I'll go, I'll go Shanahan
off a loss and I'll actually take San Francisco minus six and a half 4 (1h 41m 8s):
Shanahan. Well,
they're all, they're gonna be fluffing them up so hard on the broadcast,
talking about John Lynch standing down there looking all strapping on the sidelines. Gimme
Minnesota plus the points. Really can't do it. 0 (1h 41m 24s):
All right. You know what? You talk me into it. 4 (1h 41m 26s):
I can't do it. 0 (1h 41m 26s):
I'll go Minnesota. I 4 (1h 41m 27s):
I don't want, I don't want to be on San. Francisco. They, we sh we, we didn't really discuss it,
but they were a high, a high point team last
week. Maybe they're still a little too high. 0 (1h 41m 37s):
Yeah. All right. I'll take a four point game 4 (1h 41m 40s):
Monday night. 0 (1h 41m 41s):
Monday night has been low scoring. So I think that actually bodes well for a home dog here.
24, 20 people. 4 (1h 41m 48s):
What do you think Kirk Cousins thinks about all these trade rumors? 0 (1h 41m 52s):
He said he's not waving his no trade clause. I don't think he's, it's bothered. He's, 4 (1h 41m 57s):
He likes being in the Midwest. Yeah, h
e's not right. You talking him about the twins
game. He's just a 0 (1h 42m 0s):
Family. He loves the low pressure style lifestyle. The Vikings. Yeah, it's 4 (1h 42m 3s):
Perfect. They're a basketball school, so it's easy to be the quarterback there. 9 (1h 42m 11s):
Happy 0 (1h 42m 13s):
Time for the lock dog and tease. 4 (1h 42m 19s):
It says here, you went first. 0 (1h 42m 21s):
Yep. I did. Do you want me to continue to go first? 4 (1h 42m 24s):
Yeah, I mean, I enjoyed the sweat of losing $10,0
00. 0 (1h 42m 28s):
Oh, well, let's see. That. Is that, 4 (1h 42m 30s):
No, I want, I Sean we're, we're gonna do a little pre-production right now, but 100%
that segment on Vs. This Friday is gonna be talking all about sweats and how great they
are and the whole point that, that's exactly what I want. So yeah, you should go for it.
See, producer Josh agrees with me stating in the, in the Google sheet. Yes. You should
go first. Well, 0 (1h 42m 52s):
It's 'cause Josh is on an insane heater. 4 (1h
42m 54s):
You know, if you were a Patreon like this anonymous wombat who's in here right now,
you could be watching Josh chat with us. Yes. In real time. And 0 (1h 43m 1s):
You get Josh's Picks. We don't reveal Josh's Picks on the air. Josh has been on a heater
and you have access to them. Oh, in the sheet. 4 (1h 43m 7s):
Yeah. He's, he is doing well for sports 0 (1h 43m 9s):
Game podcast.com/ Patreon And, we are, we're recording the Colby Dan bonus episode this
week, so stay tuned for that. Oh
yeah. A lot of fun. Yeah. Let's 4 (1h 43m 20s):
Go. Alright. What, what do you got? Sean? Hmm. Wow. Okay. 0 (1h 43m 25s):
I got, is it crazy to lock up the Packers? I don't think it is. 4 (1h 43m 29s):
Oh, you full, so you're just full fade on 0 (1h 43m 33s):
On the Denver Broncos, 4 (1h 43m 35s):
Yeah. Full fade on Denver. Which by the way, while Sean's thinking, no, close your eyes
special this week it's six and two a t s on the air. None. It's kind of, it kind of a
lame week. We got six teams
on by Carolina, Cincinnati, Dallas, New York, Tennessee and
Houston. 0 (1h 43m 51s):
My other lock go birds, Eagles, get it done against the Miami. Dolphins. 4 (1h 43m 59s):
Oh my, 0 (1h 44m 0s):
Oh my indeed. Ryan for my moneyline dog. This one 4 (1h 44m 5s):
That's spicy. Spicy. 0 (1h 44m 10s):
It gets a little tough. The Moneyline dogs because they're doesn't, they're all either
small or, that's fine. The bill or the Patriots. 4 (1h 44m 18s):
I got some data on this actually. Let's see. Your
average price on your dogs plus one 40.
My average price plus, plus 180. Okay. Your, your your five and one. I'm one in five. So, 0 (1h 44m 31s):
So what's a better strategy? 4 (1h 44m 32s):
Low price winners 0 (1h 44m 34s):
Winner. Gimme a 4 (1h 44m 35s):
Winner. Better strategy. Winners. 0 (1h 44m 37s):
Winners always. I I'm not doing the Bears again. I can't do that. Please. I will do
the Pittsburgh. Steelers on the moneyline. Let's go back to the well plus 1 35 for my
tees. Now we're talkin
g Teases Seattle minus one and a half. And then what else we got
on the tees? Oh man, I'm not putting the Bears in the tees not putting the Browns in the
tees. Oh, Kansas City. Teasing that to plus a half piece of tie comes and gets you. And
then I kind of wanna tease the Vikings up to 12 and a half. Ooh. 0 (1h 45m 18s):
Unconventional tease brother. They 4 (1h 45m 19s):
Won't see that coming. 0 (1h 45m 20s):
Tease Gods won't see that coming. Pittsburgh up to 12 and a half. And Shout out to Andr
ew
Theist. Listener to of The podcast. Patriots fan. He was taking umbrage. Ryan. Oh no. What
do you mean with your, with what you said about Pat's fans? How they don't watch anymore?
Oh, he, he 4 (1h 45m 36s):
Said they do. 0 (1h 45m 37s):
Oh yeah. He said he known this is 4 (1h 45m 38s):
A game he's pro, he's probably one of the real fans that got mad at me for saying it's
a baby 10 (1h 45m 42s):
Fucking wheel 0 (1h 45m 43s):
Man. 4 (1h 45m 44s):
What do you only blame M Jones? You need to als
o blame Devonte Parker. 0 (1h 45m 48s):
I think he's also out on Mac Jones. Agreed. I'll, I'll, I'll talk, I'll clarify his position
on it. But he was saying, Hey, we still watch the games. We just know they suck. So you
don't hear a lot from us. 4 (1h 45m 57s):
Here's who I hold accountable personally, 0 (1h 45m 59s):
Or something similar in 4 (1h 46m 0s):
This order. Mac Jones won Devonte Parker two that left that, that right tackle that just
decided to not block block Mark MA, max Crosby at a
ll three. And then Gki who softest attempt
to block Max 0 (1h 46m 18s):
Crosby if there was ever a game that was rigged. Max Crosby check his, or sorry, he, he's a
Mike Gki. Check his bank account. He's an 4 (1h 46m 24s):
Elite athlete playing in the National Football League and Mac Max Crosby just moves him to
the side, like water. All right, 0 (1h 46m 32s):
Kerman, what do you got? 4 (1h 46m 35s):
Kind of want to get, get a little frisky this week. Okay. What do you, what do you think?
Go for
it. You feeling frisky? Seattle minus seven and a half. 0 (1h 46m 44s):
Oh, nice. I Kansas 4 (1h 46m 45s):
City minus five and a half. They 0 (1h 46m 47s):
Were considered a 4 (1h 46m 48s):
Bang, bang 0 (1h 46m 49s):
Lock potential for me. Both those actually 4 (1h 46m 53s):
Dog. I, I do, I do really think I, I I like the Steelers play. I don't wanna have the
same, okay. I kind of want to have the same dog as you, but I won't take the same. 0 (1h 47m 7s):
Don't believe in your Giants. 4 (1h 47m
9s):
No, we're not, we're not doing that. Right. 0 (1h 47m 12s):
Okay. 4 (1h 47m 12s):
That's that. It, it, it would be a great call because they are, they are going to be Moneyline 0 (1h 47m 19s):
Max saying Patriots plus 300. What better way to atone for your sins? Ryan? 4 (1h 47m 25s):
My sins. My sins? 0 (1h 47m 27s):
Or what better way for the Patriots? 4 (1h 47m 28s):
I did everything right. 0 (1h 47m 29s):
Pay you back. 4 (1h 47m 30s):
I did everything right. What if Brock Purdy isn't him
? Yeah. Even the Minnesota Vikings
plus two 40. 0 (1h 47m 39s):
Okay. Don't hate that. 4 (1h 47m 41s):
Kirk Cousins five and three straight up as a prime time guy at home. 0 (1h 47m 49s):
Yeah. I can't do the prime time. 4 (1h 47m 52s):
You know what, cross that off. Gimme, gimme the Colts. 0 (1h 47m 54s):
Oh, 4 (1h 47m 55s):
Okay. Yeah. PJ Walker going That's, nah, I can't do that either. Cross that off. It's
tough. Gimme the, gimme the Steelers. All right, you That was the only, that's the onl
y
one. I like Ts ts. Ooh. Got a lot of lotta of Atlanta. Eight and a half. 0 (1h 48m 17s):
Gotta have your Falcons action. Thank you. 4 (1h 48m 20s):
Giants. Eight and a half. Mm. 0 (1h 48m 24s):
Giants Falcons tease. You love that Seattle love that opportunity. Seattle 4 (1h 48m 28s):
One and a half. 0 (1h 48m 29s):
Okay. Seattle minus one and a half. So Ryan The podcast. We recorded previous, early on
in the show, we, we took the Seattle Seahawks in the Survivor. 4 (1h 48m 42s):
Lemme look, le
t me look at this sheet right here. 0 (1h 48m 44s):
Okay. You know I'm slightly, I guess you, 4 (1h 48m 47s):
Nope. Yep. That's Seattle 0 (1h 48m 48s):
Cards historically have been okay in Seattle, but I think this is the perfect time to fade
this Cardinals team. 4 (1h 48m 54s):
Oh yeah. Smash Spot and, 0 (1h 48m 56s):
And perfect time to get on Seattle after that Tough loss smash. So Seattle is our play for
the circus Survivor now. 4 (1h 49m 3s):
And, and the other thing I'd say is they don't r
eally, the other spots you like them in the
future. It's a, they Arizona again week 18 and then maybe Washington and week 10. Not
a ton of options. So this is the time to burn 'em. I I I expect them to be 80% in Vegas
in the circa Survivor. 0 (1h 49m 24s):
Yeah. Yeah. And, and honestly, if you're doing, doing what 4 (1h 49m 28s):
Could possibly come, 0 (1h 49m 28s):
You're doing the Second Chance Survivor sports game on The podcast dot com slash Survivor.
And you're getting in there. I think. No
w obviously I like Seattle here, but if you're
looking for strategy not playing Seattle, and if Seattle goes down, you are, you're
looking pretty good for a chance at three K. 'cause 'cause I, I am, but I, I imagine
since ours is a second chance and you can use the Chiefs, you can use the Bills, maybe
it won't be as lopsided as I think. 4 (1h 49m 57s):
No, it, that, that changes a lot. But still, I mean, most times the size of the spread
and it is the team homer away, that's generally the correl
ation. So yeah, I'd still expect
Seattle to be most popular, 0 (1h 50m 11s):
But I did, I did just lose some money here because I did have side bet with producer
Josh, that you would have Falcons Moneyline as your dog. Really? So, yeah. No, I'm kidding.
But the, the chat was waiting for you Ryan to select the Falcons as your 4 (1h 50m 25s):
Dog done. No, I'm, I'm, I'm laser focused right now. This isn't a, I'm, I'm not out
here throwing Philly into, into my DFS lineup, you know what I mean? Okay
. Uncorrelated. 0 (1h 50m 35s):
AJ Brown's been awesome. Yeah, 4 (1h 50m 36s):
That's fine. 0 (1h 50m 38s):
Alright, so for our millions plays, Seattle, KC, green, Bay, Philly, 4 (1h 50m 44s):
And Pittsburgh, come on. And Pittsburgh, what are we doing? This 0 (1h 50m 46s):
Pittsburgh plus three. Just 4 (1h 50m 48s):
That simple. This is just bringing back the hits. Four favorites and a dog. 0 (1h 50m 51s):
It's a good sh i I feel like that formula has worked for us. 4 (1h 50m 54s):
Awesome. This
is crazy. I have 1, 2, 3, 4, 5. I only have six favorites on the, I guess
there's only 13 games. Yeah. Still. 0 (1h 51m 8s):
Yeah, I got six favorites as well. 4 (1h 51m 10s):
Nice. And somehow our card has four of 'em. 0 (1h 51m 12s):
Yeah, well we picked the right ones. Ryan, we picked the right ones. 4 (1h 51m 16s):
All the money on Seattle. 0 (1h 51m 18s):
Hey, thank you as always for tuning in sports given podcast.com/ Survivor. Get in there.
It's a free shot of $3,000. I'm not, I feel lik
e an idiot explaining this to you guys.
You guys know what to do. Underdog Fantasy promo code SGPN the a hundred percent Deposit
bonus up to five hundred dollars. They won't tell me which day they're gonna stop doing
it. So if you're on the fence, sign up now so you don't miss out on that instant Deposit
bonus. And we'll be back. Well, yeah, bonus Patreon show with Kolby and then we'll be
back talking props after Thursday night Football. 4 (1h 51m 50s):
I, I'm just, I'm very excited for the show
with Kolby as well. Thank you for 0 (1h 51m 56s):
Participating in the Sports Game podcast for Sports Game on The podcast. I'm Sean stacking
the Money Green. He's Ryan 4 (1h 52m 1s):
Great show. Sean 0 (1h 52m 3s):
Kramer Let It Ride.
Comments
played every "close your eyes special" and all of Kramer's locks in NFL and Colby's locks in College.....pretty happy household!
Love the show, thanks guys!
Lions over Ravens forsure!!!!
Love the show boys nice to see some likes and comments for the algorithm lots of injuries this week with Jefferson out im on osbourne and addison for ATD
Love the energy! it is a tricky week!
Great podcast gentlemen
Kramer big respect for backing the pats. I personally would never bet on Mac again after he blew that parlay for you. No clouded judgmement!
Haha, Jalen Hurts 0-1 SU & ATS vs Zach Wilson !! Hilarious stat!!😅
It is prime time kirk tho
Let's make some $$$ boys. I love the Saints under 20.5 points
Jaguars scored 25 on the Bills...
Ryan has lost 4/6 times to the lions now
little c’s gift cards, say less!!
Sean is a way better bettor than Ryan. GO LIONS
Ryan is a fraud!!! Lions are underdogs bet them up!!