NFL WILD CARD WEEKEND | THE PROF'S BETTING PICKS AND PREDICTIONS ON ALL GAMES #nflbettingpicks

it's time for my NFL picks for the Wild Card Weekend I'm Professor MJ a 15-year University statistics teacher from Quebec city in Canada before the season began I showed you my record on picks against the spread from the past six seasons all documented since I started this professor MJ brand each of those six years generated a profit indeed the break even win percentage is 52.4% when betting at minus 110 odds or 1.91 in decimal as you can see on your screen we exceeded that threshold every singl

e season that being said I am happy to report that we enjoyed our second best NFL season from a betting perspective in total I shared 95 NFL predictions on sides and totals which yielded 54 win wins 38 losses and three ties that corresponds to a 58.4% success rate while our best year was 2017 where we got super close from hitting at the 60% clip all right drum rolls please it's time to get started on my Wild Card Weekend picks usually I don't make picks on each game but I'll do it for fun during

the playoffs are you ready to rock and roll let's do [Music] this the first game of the weekend features the Cleveland Browns traveling to houon to face the Texans as of now the Browns are established as 2 and a half points point favorit please note that I shot this video on Wednesday afternoon so it is possible that the line changes between that moment and the time that you view the video I'm not going to make you wait any longer I am grabbing the Browns minus 2 and a half points in this match

up let me explain why first of all rookie QBs have not fared well during the Wild Card round in recent years in indeed they have presented an ugly 2 and9 record under those circumstances now what about the rest Factor sure the Texans get one additional day of rest after playing last Saturday but they had to fight hard against the Colts in order to punch their ticket into the playoffs meanwhile Cleveland rested its starters since they had the number five seed lock up so again I am G giving an edg

e to the Browns if you have been following my picks for a while you know how much I value the Revenge factor in this case these two clubs met back in week 16 a game one 3622 by the Browns for this reason I would tend to be siding with Houston to get some payb however that is not enough to convince me to back this young Texans Squad you Hon's offensive line has struggled at times protecting CJ stoud that's likely to be a problem against the Stout Browns defense that racked up the six most sacks t

his season and don't forget how they will be well rested after setting more starters last week in Cincinnati Houston's strength on offense is through the air however Cleveland allowed the second lowest QB rating in the entire league with tang Dale already out for the year along with Noah Brown and Robert Woods aing I feel like things are going to be difficult for stoud he has a bright future ahead of him but he'll need to wait until he gets his first playoff Victory Joe Flaco has a lot of playof

f experience with 15 appearances during those games he has tossed 25 TD passes versus 10 interceptions he is coming off three straight games in which he topped the 300 yard Mark and he might do it again against a suspect pass defense let's go with Cleveland minus 2 and a half in the first NFL playoff game up next Saturday night will bring a fascinating match up between the Dolphins and the Chiefs obviously this game will Mark the return of Tyreek Hill in Kansas City but to me the big story here

is the weather right now the temperature is expected to be between 5 and 12° F it will be damn cold at Arrowhead Stadium that is very bad news for dolphins fans since their team has lost each of their past 10 games when the temperature went below 40° and they lost those 10 contests by an average of 17 points ouch now one might argue that many of the players were not on Miami's roster during those cold games fair enough however Tua is 0 and4 when the temperature is below 45° and in this case 45 d

egrees would look like a beach day compared to what's expected on Saturday night in Kansas City to top it all off you have certainly heard how banged up the Dolphins are especially on the defense side of the ball they had already lost two good pass rushers in Bradley chub and jayen Phillips last week two linebackers went down Jerome Baker and Andrew van GLE to make matters worse cornerback xaven Howard is unlikely to suit up as well you may as well call them their team B on defense at least the

Dolphins seem to have a shot to get jayen Wad and he mastered back but the key to their offense is Tyreek Hill and he was hobbling again last week against the bills he really seems bothered by his ankle and quad injury and if there is one team that knows how to slow him down it is the Chiefs so are you going to be surprised if I tell you that my pick against the spread here is the Kansas City Chiefs minus four points against Miami probably not the only thing that worries me here is the spread wh

en I first saw it I was clearly leaning towards the Dolphins because it looked too big to me however after digging deeper about this matchup I felt like I had no choice but to go with KY here let me share a few more arguments I believe the Chiefs head into the post season with a big chip on their shoulders their offense has been struggling and the entire team posted a disappointing five and five record down the stretch however they have a lot of playoff experience and they are the defending cham

ps Patrick Mahomes is 10 and two over the past four postseasons the Chiefs are 9 and one at home when the temperature is below 40° there are just too many reasons to back casc here oh and I almost forgot to mention the fact that the Chiefs rested their starters last week while the Dolphins played a hard fought game against the bills you simply have to go with the Chiefs even if it means laying Four Points here that's my two cents on this game let's keep moving by talking about the Steelers who a

re 10o underdogs in Buffalo out of the six games that is the one where I had the most difficulty making a pick in short this is the pick that I have the least confidence in still I'm going to share valuable information to you so that you can make the best informed decision regarding your own vets this is a big spread but let me start by sharing arguments that would entice you to take Buffalo first and foremost the critical piece of news you need to be aware of is the absence of TJ watt since 201

7 the Steelers have have obtained a one and 10 record when he has been out of the lineup in those games Pittsburgh's defense has allowed an average of 26.3 points compared to just 19.8 when he suited up it's easy to see how vital he is to his team next Mason Rudolph will make his postseason debut while Josh Allen has already played eight games in the playoffs in those matches Allen has done a solid job with 17 TD passes versus just four picks moreover the bills are coming off five wins in a row

they were seven and one at High Mark stadium and the Steelers have allowed at least 4 D2 points in each of their last three playoff appearances that seems like a lot to overcome for the Steelers right at this point you may be wondering why I'm not pulling the the trigger on the bills let me present reasons why you might want to consider betting Pittsburgh with the extra 10 points it is projected to be cold and windy in Archard Park this Sunday Pittsburgh players don't mind the cold weather the w

ind has a big impact on the passing game which is a big plus for the Steelers because Buffalo likes to throw the ball a lot more than Pittsburgh does in such conditions it is hard to blow out an opponent I also think the Steelers have an improving offensive line and they have talent at skill positions indeed they have two good running backs in niji Harris and Jaylen Warren at the wide receiver position you could do worse than having George Pickins and Deontay Johnson and don't forget tied in Pat

fryer mute who pass catching a abilities are very good I was also astonished to read that Mason Rudolph led the NFL in completion rate OV expected over the past 3 weeks so should we take Pittsburgh plus 10 points or Buffalo minus 10 points if you forc me to bet I would go with Pittsburgh with the spread but honestly I am pretty unlikely to put some hard-earned money on this game EX St on some moneymaking Player Pro bets which I'm going to discuss in more details towards the end of this video yo

u don't want to miss out that part if you wish to grow your bankroll my friend the Dallas Cowboys will host the Green Bay Packers at Jerry World on Sunday afternoon Mike McCarthy's Squad is a seven and 1 Half Point favorite and my pick goes to the Packers here ultimately I think Dallas wins the game but by a close margin first off I believe the Cowboys have a lot of pressure on their shoulders they keep failing in the playoffs and the expectations are very high this year losing to the Packers in

the Wild Card round would be catastrophic that will make players a lot more nervous as opposed to Green Bay that's got nothing to lose since very few people think they can halt the Cowboys 16 game winning streak at home wow Jordan love has been nothing short of spectacular since week 11 in this time period love has accumulated 18 touchdown passes versus just one interception and he accomplished that feat despite missing some of his wide receivers and running backs at times along with his top ti

de end Luke mrave that being said I can't say I'm overly confident about this bet since the NFL expanded its playoff format the number seven seed as posted in 0 and6 record losing by an average of 12.2 points also Green Bay's pass defense worries me a lot it is possible that Dak Prescot will dissect them did you know that Prescott became the first QB in NFL history to get four games with a completion rate above 80% within the same season still based on my overall analysis I believe Green Bay wil

l do enough to cover the seven and a half point spread in Dallas which will make Cowboys fans sweat a little bit we have now reached the moment where I present the pick I like the most this weekend I am taking the LA Rams plus three and a half points in Detroit I really love this bet the pressure is on the Lions who will be hosting their first home playoff game in 30 years combined with the fact that they are the higher seed Detroit looked a little bit less dominant than the stretch they wrapped

up the season by winning four of their final seven games while the Rams racked up a seven in one record in their last eight contests also don't underestimate the importance of Detroit losing their star tight end Sam laor he was their second best pass Catcher by far and all signs point towards him missing the game or playing on a very bad knee their fourth leading pass catcher kff Ron will probably be on the sidelines as well meanwhile Shan McVey rested most of his starters last week in San Fran

cisco if there is one guy who knows Jared G's weaknesses better than anyone else it is McVey the team got rid of him because McVey did not think he would take them to the promised land the Rams played eight games with Stafford cup Nea and Karen Williams all on the field in those contests La averaged 28.5 points scored per game while Stafford tossed 18 TD passes and three interceptions I find it hard to believe that Detroit will be able to slow down this offense given how they allowed the sixth m

ost passing yards per game this year as if you needed more reasons to bet the Rams here's the icing on the cake according to Scientific reports Peak athletic performance occurs in the late afternoon since the game starts at 8:00 p.m. Eastern turn time it won't be ideal for Detroit's players but for the Rams that will correspond to 5:00 p.m. which is perfect in summary I would be very surprised if the Lions won this game by a margin of four points or more I truly believe the Rams will win the gam

e straight up or at worst they might lose by a maximum of three points that's why my favorite bet in the NFL for the wild Card Weekend is the LA Rams plus three and half points at Ford Field two stumbling teams are squaring off on Monday night as the Eagles will travel to Tempa Bay on one side you've got the Eagles who got off to a 10 and one start to open the season only to win one of their last six matchups and if we are being honest they should have lost their week 12 game against the bills a

s far as the Box are conc concerned you may be wondering why I said they are stumbling since they won five of their last six games but if you watch their final two games you could tell they were not nearly as sharp the offense scored just nine points against the lowly Panthers and 13 points at home against the Saints from a betting perspective Philadelphia is a three-point Road favorite who do I prefer personally I would tend to side with the Box things are really falling apart for Philadelphia

I even heard that some players are upset at the coaching staff their offensive line is struggling their defense is awful janen her's middle finger in his throwing hand is hurt which means he will play with a lot of discomfort and we're not even sure if Dante Smith and AJ Brown will be good to go after suffering injuries that's a lot to overcome the Eagles completely dominated the week three meeting between these two teams in fact they accumulated 472 total yards versus just 174 for the box that

was a humiliating defeat for Tempa so they will be looking to get revenge with both of its top wide receivers banged up the Eagles would prefer to run the ball but the bad news is Tempa ranked as the eighth best team in terms of yards per carry allowed on the other side Mike Evans and Chris Godwin are licking their chops with a favorable matchup against a weak secondary at the end of the day give me the Tempa box plus three points at home against a realing Philly Squad I told you in the introduc

tion of this video video how we enjoyed a very lucrative 2023 NFL regular season with our Wagers on sides and total what made this year even more special was we also Crush The Bookies on Player Pro bets those types of plays are the easiest to beat since it is more difficult for sports books to post sharp lines on every single PR bit since they are more than 100 per game that's also why the betting limits are much lower Sports books are afraid to get beaten on prop bets this year I have provided

a total of 121 NFL player prop bets which led to a 72 and 49 record I am likely to find at least 10 good prop bets this weekend if you like making smart Investments I highly recommend that you subscribe to my premium NFL pigs for just $21 per week at mj.com but wait I have a special offer only available to my YouTube viewers if you want pigs that are data driven and provided by a guy that took nine years of Statistics courses at the University level before teaching the topic for 15 years then do

not wait any longer and sign up at mj.com to make it even more enticing for you I am giving you a 50% rebate for this week that's right 5 simply use the following coupon code when you reach the payment page wild card now I only want the most motivated and dedicated Sports betters to take advantage of this rare offer so you must act quickly because only the first 50 50 people to enter this code will get this exclusive 50% rebate so hurry up sign up at mj.com and let's Crush The Bookies together

this weekend on the NFL