RECAP: Football Betting Tips for Today | Football Predictions (14/02/2024 - 16/02/2024)

welcome back to another predictions video it was a great weekend wasn't it last weekend we put two doubles on and just one of the selections didn't land I think it's only one selection in the previous maybe three or four videos um that we've added to the BET slip and it was St paulley first defeat of the season first time they failed to score I believe as well um so a very good win for the home side there and um you know don't be discourage when a bet loses you would be naive to think that every

single time you select a bet it's going to win we're just working within probabilities here but what you can ask yourself when a bet does lose is did I approach it in the right way would you put it on again and uh with simp poy you know the goal scoring form they were in they were unbeaten all season um so of course you would and and that will leave you feeling much better and and you know the whole thing with ODS is that we try and make you bet with more confidence um and acknowledging that be

ts will lose um is a massive part of that so in this one um different surroundings again um I'm in the UK for a funeral so this video because the funeral is is you know this week this is going to be the only video but it's going to be a big one we're going to cover from Monday to Friday so if you're enjoying the content please like please comment um if you comment as you know you'll automatically be entered into a draw to win OD alerts Pro uh and with that let's announce the winner from the prev

ious video so selected at random this was the winning comment from Chris jesset 7322 I will be in touch as soon as I've finished recording this video it says I've double with various football prediction stat info sites uh your layout search functions uh ref you know yeah it's thank you um is what I'm trying to say with that one um so well done uh thanks for the comments um all of them fantastic I mean there's people putting really good predictions in in the comments as well um so check out the c

omments if you're watching this video now and drop your predictions in there as well so we will start with the trends page this is the btts or over 2.5 goals Trends page this one launched last week thanks to a comment on YouTube so if you've got any other suggestions or requests for this page um feel free I'm going to be making a big update to Trend soon um which will also include automated alerts so you can set automated alerts based on the the outcome and the trends so we can see we've got som

e under 21 games here we've got Benfica under 23s as well the under 23s and under 21s especially in England very very good for the alerts btts not available pretty much but it becomes available after around 10 to 12 minutes and um very high scoring League those PDL and under 23 leagues in England so Engish stat that is a German third League game and we can see we've got the home team here that's won just under 60% of games no draws for the awaya team and they've also lost 85% of games conceding

2.08 goals per game so let's take a look a deeper look at this one so BT TTS all over 2.5 goals has landed in every single home game for Engle stat and we can see they've scored in every game over 2.5 goals in 75% of games so looking at their home form it is very good isn't it just one defeat All Season btts in the last three they've scored in every single game this is just what crosses my mind as I scan through those games now let's take a look at the away team their home form is Dreadful and t

heir away form is not much better although there is a couple of wins at least away from home they are Dreadful at the moment conceding for fun um the odds not available as of yet on Bet365 but as you can see it is available on um a few of bookmakers 1.46 is the best you'll get I think for me this one depending on what btts is I imagine it's going to be wow 1.85 1.85 let's take a look again at that home form I guess the question is when you get a team that's terrible the question question becomes

will they score can they score what is the level of confidence you give them let's have a look at the um probability model here for an away win just 14% uh for btts 53% so actually um the odds aren't too far off let's take one more look at their away form well they did score three goals in the previous game coming into this who were two one up at halftime there against the seem that are eighth Engle are fifth in the league um let's finally take a look at the head-to-head 41 to Engle in that pre

vious game 1 nil to fryberg in the game before that they were the two games in 2023 okay let's add that to our slip to our selection and then if you're new to this channel what we do is we'll look at all the games and at the end we get it down to a double or in the case of the last video we had two doubles so we will open up the filter that we created a few videos ago um just to remind you these were the rules so the home team is is H going to have conceded in eight of the last 10 uh the probabi

lity model is given us 38% or more um in terms of goals seen on average for the home team at home it is 1.9 that's scored or conceded and uh we'll hit search and we get one game from today for Liberia if you're watching on Monday feel free to uh check this one out for for btts we'll just take a look at the odds um at this moment in time and uh we will see that it's not being offered so we then look at over one over 2.5 goals 1.57 you might want to set an alert on that so these are the games that

come up and remember odds do get added so I'm showing games that have odds right now so we've got a game in Ireland we've got games in the non- league which is where one of our winners came from in the previous video d witch wasn't it I think that game finished 32 uh we had over 2.5 goals shrewbury barnesley let's take a look at this one barnesley had a very very late victory at the weekend and if they didn't you know they won that game don't get me wrong but it was late um I think they had a g

uy sent off as well and um it would have been a defeat a draw and then a potential defeat so whilst they're winning games it's a sign of a good team and I think there will be there thereabouts this season barnesley certainly in the mix for the playoffs um in League one because they're just getting results and they've lost one game since the 11th of November away from home they've scored in every away game um since that defeat they've only lost once on the road so if you were to look at the odds

here um you're going to get over evens for a Barnsley win so I mean this one I just know Shrewsbury as well they're not the most formidable of goal scorers and you can see that and we'll probably back this up here if we look at the goals scored per game it's one per game um btts Landing in just 40% of games so they're obviously conceding goals because that was one of the rules on the filter but for btts I would I would probably lean more towards draw no bet and maybe over 1.5 goals we'd have to

price it up and see um so we will add that to the mix on bet 365 and then we'll um have a look at the end of the video so 1.61 for the double chance so that means that Barnsley can win or Draw so you covering 1-1 you're covering 2- n um because we need over one goal as well so 1.61 you might want to add that to a double um as you saw Barnsley are incredible in terms of just not losing games they've lost was it two games since early November um and uh yeah but just just knowing League one as I do

the performances may have dipped a little bit but they're still grinding out results um and that combined with shrewsbury's you know they're not they're not epic goal scorers by any any stretch and if you were wanting to look at btts uh just incidentally it is 1.88 with Pinnacle that is the peak so we'll take a look at this game from Scotland and then what we'll do is look at the trends Pages um as an entry into some other games this week uh we'll look at some strong home teams and uh we'll loo

k at some uh over 2.5 goals games as well um and you can jump on odd alerts later in the week and use this quick filter I showed you the rules before you can set it up and save it and then come back to it and you'll see maybe more games on here as the games get listed on uh bookmakers because at the moment I'm only showing odds I'm only showing games with odds you can toggle um that off here so you can show all of the games but we want games that are actually listed because we want to add them t

o bet slips at this moment in time so there will be um leagues that bet 365 for example add just a couple of days before the game takes place so you might get games added on Wednesday Thursday for the weekend now back to this game in League 2 we're on Tuesday now and uh we will take a look first at the uh General stat so I would say quite an even game here the away team is third and and dun Barton is fourth 60% win percentage for Spartans that's a great name isn't it if we just look at the resul

ts we can see they have conceded in the last four games and the goals have been flying in at both ends to be honest 22 one2 and 44 if we look at their overall form it has dipped hasn't it they had a great spell um in the buildup to Christmas but then in the new year they've only won once and it was away from home Spartans come into this having lost the last couple of games so they'll be looking to bounce back but it's a similar story just one win in the last five games away from home they are pr

etty strong the firing blanks in the game leading up to this is a little bit of a concern for me will end with the head-to-head which was a two-nil victory for Spartans so they did beat them in 2023 and then the previous game was a draw at dun Barton now as well as looking at the averages so a team might average two goals per game 1.82 they're pretty nice averages to be fair if you're looking at a game for BTS um you would obviously look at the goals conceded but I would always um suggest that y

ou scroll down a little bit and then look at these occurrences because a team might have won 90 once and then you know they've had three nil Nils in a row but their average is still going to be pretty high so always check this scored over 0.5 goals percentage how many games have they actually scored in and for Spartans it is 90% of away games and for Dumbarton it is 82% of home games if we toggle two overall it goes to 77 and 86% so for Spartans um I don't think you would bet against them scorin

g and that kind of sits well with me in terms of looking at stronger away teams they've conceded in 68% of games now the probability model is giving this one a 55% rating for over 2.5 goals so 1.8 implied odds btts 1.77 now let's take a look at the odds shall we we'll do a comparison and um again this is you know similar to the to the uh the barnesley one to be honest you could see maybe a draw no bet here um because Spartan's clearly a decent away team uh 1.8 with bet 365 for btts wouldn't be s

urprised to see this one end 1-1 it seems like it's going to be a tight game if we have a look at the table there is not much separating them one point between Spartans and Dumbarton it looks like uh Stenhouse M are pretty you know set at the top of the table 16 points clear of peterhead and um it looks like second place is up for grabs between Dumbarton Spartans and peterhead so in terms of that second place this is a big game so btts at 1.8 We'll add that to the slip um just as we go we'll add

to the slip and then we'll U begin the process of calling some of these games at the end um I quite like that to be honest I can see it being a tight game though I can see it being a potential 1-1 as I said before the only concern here well a concern is the recent form of both teams um it looks like they're both in a bit of a slump two defeats on the bounce for Spartans and just one victory in the last five games for both of these teams so let us know in the comments what you think about this o

ne and with that we will head to the trends Pages now onto a game in Mexico Cancun they've won 11 out of 12 and they are 2.2 to do it again they're hosting a team in uh CA I'm going to guess that's how you say that I was going to say ca but that's probably incorrect 33% of games uh they've won 56% of games they've lost um they've scored 1.22 and they've conceded just 1.22 so you would still probably favor uh Canon just because of the form that they've shown so far so this is early Wednesday um a

gain they come into this with two defeats so bear that in mind but they were both away games if we look at the home form it's pretty good isn't it three clean sheets on the bounce as well and for CA away from home they have scored in the last three games um if we look at their overall form there has certainly been an improvement so again it's crucial that and I say this every time I use the trends pages on a video it's crucial that you dig deeper into the games the quick preview is there for a r

eason it shows you the percentages and then the big button that says view full fixture is also there for a reason um because this team clearly they've changed something because it's uh chalk and cheese isn't it one win in the first what is that 10 12 games and then since that one defeat and that was away from home 2-1 so could we back this team to score again the entry point was strong home teams if we look at the head-to-head CA actually won the previous meeting in September and they actually w

on they actually won the last three the last four the last five five meetings since 2022 the last victory was 12 of Jan 2022 for Cancun that was a 2-nil victory so 3.10 uh is the peak for the away win and obviously coming into it you know that um Cancun have got a very very good home record so I wouldn't even touch the full-time result for this one it's just not worth the risk 1.67 for btts three clean sheets in a row as we said so let's have a look at the probability model as well for btts 49%

so let's do an a I simulation people have been asking me to do this they're like What's that button can you click it sometimes so we'll click it it'll go in it's given us a 21 Victory to Cancun so what this does is it uses the probability model and uh runs 5,000 simulations on this game using that data and then gives you back some of the results so how many times did btts land 64% of the simulations and I created this because I want to in all of these videos and all of the stuff I do on online I

just think it's important you understand probability because as I said at the start of the video you're going to lose bets you even if a team is you know the model gives it an 80% chance or bet 365 is giving a team an 80% chance with super low odds it doesn't mean they're immune to defeat if if over 2.5 goals is 1.3 it doesn't mean that that game cannot finish nil nil and and I think some people just fail to grasp that just judging by you know some of the comments you see on Twitter and stuff l

ike that um someone will say well this home team was on the trends page they've won 10 out of 10 they didn't win yeah that's I know that I know they didn't win what I'm not I'm not I'm not in control here and that's what I'm just trying to teach I'm just trying to teach you to understand probability um because you will definitely have more success if you just grasp that you just want to make sure probability is on your side and that's again why you shouldn't put on large accumulators stick to si

ngles s stick to doubles stick to Value betting as well um if you want a more disciplined long-term betting strategy so only over 2.5 goals is being offered at this moment so I've added that to the slip it'll be interesting to see how that one goes as always get your comments in any predictions for these games that were covering paxi SE at home once more um from a few video AG goes we had them and uh over 2.5 was it or paxi and btts uh at fours that was a great single um and I think you know thi

s game 1.5 for them to win is probably worth putting it on a double I would say because they are still very very good we'll take a quick look at paxi I've got a soft spot for them now since they uh won us that single a couple of um games ago uh there it was it was against the puskas wasn't it 2-1 Victory and they've had a couple of 1- nil victories since then if we look at their home form unbeaten and uh you would expect them to get the job done although this team no kind of form is there they t

hey lose some then they win some but you would expect them to get the job done if we look at the head-to-head they scored five against them last time there was a draw in there as well uh but at home they are one of the better teams if look at the table they are top of the league they are chasing um that title and they are being chased as well by this team that I not going to try and pronounce uh in second place so these games are massive 1.5 you might think that's actually a little bit low we ca

n uh set an alert on that let me know if it is .8 um so you might get that alert after about 10 minutes and of course if they go behind you'll certainly get that alert triggered straight away now we'll scroll down and feel free to pause and have a look at these Trends Pages or go to a alerts.com Trends and you'll be able to see them at any time and they update live you can actually head to these pages when the games are on as well and you'll see that the live games appear on this page now btts a

nd over 2.5 I'm seeing leig Madrid that is a Champions League game on Tuesday I'm not going to touch the Champions League anything can happen it's very tactical very tight games I prefer to just enjoy them as a spectacle or usually get on some player card and player foul markets you can use the um player stats section on OD alerts for that as well so here we are then over 2.5 goals we will take a look at this to end the video and we will get a couple of Selections in here and then we will um rev

iew the selections we have so far we'll try and get one from Thursday and then we'll try and get one from Friday as well just to round off the video so in terms of the 100% records Double L how do you do that lelli lelli town 9 out of n on Friday they're playing taffs well um who have seen 2.8 goals on average so just over 2.5 so let's check this one out in a bit more detail I just saw that the over 2.5 uh percentage the occurrence was only 40% uh but there has been no nil Nils and this away tea

m has scored in 80% of away games played this season they conceded 1.2 goals per game on the road and it's similar um for the home team so I would imagine that this home team has got a very good home record they've won all but two games and we can see that the average does get bumped up a little bit because they they've scored nine goals in one game just like I was saying before but having said that they've still scored in every single game and every single home game has seen over 2.5 goals if y

ou look at the away form of this away team this one looks good to be honest just because this away team can score they've shown that if we look at the head-to-head previous meetings was 1 21 40 21 1:1 so btts all over 2.5 goals and again we can go down to the um occurrences and see that the away team is scored in 80% of all away games and they've conceded in every single game and that's good because you would not bet against L Lali Lenell Town um scoring you wouldn't better against them scoring

at all they are second in the league league and we will go ahead and uh find that on bet 365 and add it to the slip for the end of the video so actually this one has been removed from bet 365 as I record this the odds are still logged in the database I think what's happened is the game was rearranged um so we'll I I quite like this one though um so if you got it on your bookmaker have a look have a search um you can see the bookmakers that are being pulled through here doesn't look like it's on

Pinnacle yet so have a look this is Monday as I'm recording this have a look on Tuesday Wednesday or Thursday see if you can find this game because um I quite like that if it's 1.5 adding it for another double um to maybe get us over evens also from the trends page Al Ali Al Ali we will set an alert for that let's say if there's a 20% increase let me know and uh I like to do that for quite a few of the trends pages to be honest uh a few of these where they're going to be low ODS 1.25 again let m

e know if it hits 1.55 and I'll just investigate uh we can do the same with this one let me know if it hits 1.8 and we'll save that so we will end with the final game here from Thailand bam United against UT taiani and we can see the average goals for the away team 1.43 1.83 for the home team fail to score is pretty low for both of these teams over 2.5 goals is quite High let's take a look at this fixture shall we 11th in the league against fourth um but not too much difference in terms of the g

ames won I would imagine this away this home team um has a decent away record yep they do and at home it's still pretty good but their away record is quite something to be fair especially in Thailand if you look at the overall form they have lost just once since the 25th of September and uh let's just look at the head-to-head first 2-n to this home team so you would expect straight away this home team to be favorites for this game without even looking at the odds um and this away team comes into

this just one defeat in the last five games as well so they'll be confident if you don't know tie football bu Ram no shame in losing to them as they did there away from home they've scored in all but two games and again bu Ram um they they didn't score against bur Ram now if you look at the home form one thing that does stand out straight away is that they've conceded just five goals this home team let's have a look again at that home form they've only played six games at home and those three c

lean sheets came in the opening three games didn't they um so the last three games they've conceded and they've conceded two in in the last couple but again one thing to notice and remember is that they've actually not played a home game since before the new year so the 28th of December was their previous game so up to you whether you take this one I do like it though just looking at the the form btts in the last 1 2 3 4 five six seven games for this team and they are pretty decent it seems as w

ell utai Tani um good goal scoring team and as we can see see uh The Bookies are expecting 1.37 for the victory now I would not touch that because of the amount of draws that that home team has had to be fair btts at 1.75 over 2.5 goals at 1.53 so I'm actually leading more towards btts there if I'm honest and again it's been removed from from bet 365 I don't understand this um if we go to the BET Builder is it on there can we do no God they're annoying aren't they they are very annoying I'm goin

g to add that on so we will just take a look at the slip on bet 365 and we will add in this to what we're going to have because it's it's not on bet 365 and we can confirm that here they're only offering um 1.5 fre so then let's have a look at the selections that we've got so far so uh draw all barnesy 1.61 btts we've done Barton Spartans Cancun and Club CA I think maybe we can have that as a single to be honest so what I'm going to do is have draw or Bary 1.61 with btts in this tie game um 1.75

so those two is a double that's what I'm going to personally play I'm going to uh price it up on William Hill or something because they're not offering on bet 365 and we could see uh where was the game I got a lot of tabs open here there it is it's on 1X it's on betway Marathon Nordic Betson uh William Hill 1.73 as well so you can check your bookmaker or your broker and see what is being offered there so I'm going to have that with the Shrewsbury barnesley game um and I think I will play the Ca

ncun game as a single um and I will remove the paxi game because I've got an alert set on that uh remove the Dunbarton game and that is what I'm going to play so the 1.61 with the 1.75 that's my double and then the Cancun uh over 2.5 goals I'm just going to have that as a single because it's a you know it's Wednesday early morning and hopefully we see um Club CA uh continue that impressive turnaround in their season so thank you as always for watching um I will be back at my usual you know locat

ion and studio um within the next week or so and um I hope you've enjoyed the videos leave a comment and you'll automatically be entered into a draw to win OD alerts Pro um if you've got any requests or recommendations or you know just just feedback in general I would love to hear it um and uh as always enjoy hope you have a great week and I will see you in the next one