the Dynasty wide receiver landscape
has been shaken up after this last year. So let's talk about it. My name is Cameron Lawrence
with the fancy football fellows and we're going to put the top 20 dynasty
wide receivers into tears. I don't want to waste any more time,
so hit that subscribe button, Turn on those notifications. And let's start with our tier as players. That top tier first guy we got, Mr. Justin Jefferson. I know he was hurt. I know he's got quarterback issues,
but guys, Justin Jeffe
rson had 1000 receiving yards
this season. Again, he only played ten games
and he had over 1000 receiving yards. He averaged
98.3 yards per game for his career. This dude does not get rattled even then. I know what you're saying. I brought it
up. He's got quarterback issues. What happens if Kirk leaves? Can you really put him over Ceedee LAMB Who's got Dak Prescott
Ja'marr Chase Who's got Joe Burrow Yeah, because in his four healthy games
to close out the season with Nick Mullens, he averaged 22
.2 fantasy points per game. He was just fine. In fact,
he was great over those last four games. So I'm not worried about Justin Jefferson. What so ever in his worst season so far in the NFL, he was the wide receiver
nine in points per game. He's been top five and points per game
every year since. I wouldn't think about it. I'm keeping him as my nine C wide
receiver one, but I do think the other two guys do have an argument at least
to be the Tennessee wide receiver one. But there's no way Jeffer
son falls
lower than three. Second wide receiver is Ja'marr Chase. He's at 18.2
fantasy points per game for his career. Only five other players
average that this season. And yeah he did that all with Joe Burrow
being injured to start the season. Joe Burrow not finishing the season. D Higgins being in and out of the lineup,
the Bengals just looking bad as a whole. Moving forward. Burrow is going to be there.
He'll be there too. Higgins may not, but I don't think that
truly affects Ja'marr Chase S
o Burrow is going to be healthy
next year. He should be healthy next year. I know these last two years
have been a little disappointing if you take in Ja'marr Chase, but there's really nothing you can be
upset about because, like I said, averaging 18.2 fantasy points per game
for his career, he's one of the few guys to put up to 50 point games
in the last three seasons. He is an explosive player. He needs to be top three. And the last guy in this top
three list is see the LAMB. 28 fantasy points
per game for Ceedee LAMB from week eight on, that was after his bye
to finish points per game that is that is like Christian
McCaffrey numbers it's unbelievable if we remember last year we talked
a little bit a dynasty on our page and it was just Jefferson
and just Chase in the tier S now we have to move in Ceedee LAMB
Because what we saw from him was unreal. That stretch he had was ridiculous. And it does give him
a, I think, a great case to be the dynasty wide receiver. One. I still have Jeff
erson and Chase
slightly ahead of him, but like I said 28 fantasy points
per game from week eight on is crazy. Three years ago, 79 receptions, 120 targets, 1100 yards and six touchdowns to two years
ago, 107 receptions, 156
targets, 1359 yards and nine touchdowns. This last season, 135 receptions, 181 targets, 1749 yards in 12 touchdowns. So he's progressed every single year. He is a bona fide superstar at this point. There is no doubting Ceedee. LAMB And in fact, like I said,
he does have an ar
e you in for that wide receiver one spot
because his best season this year, 333 335 half PPR fantasy points per game Jefferson's best year last year
304 chases best year is only 264. So he has had the biggest peak so far. The only question is DEC
is on the last year of his contract. Do the Cowboys move off of him? Do they keep him as long as Dak is there? I really do think KD's got a very,
very strong argument to be the day
see wide receiver one in any dicey draft these three should be the first
three
taken I guess unless it is super flexible. All right. Let's move on to our tier
A wide receivers. As you can see, we have five in this tier
instead of three. We start with Amon-ra St Brown
and I do believe Amon-ra is on that edge. He is for me the only wide receiver
on that edge of moving up to tier as he's been getting better each year. Just like I said with Ceedee
LAMB 164 Tigers this year on 119 receptions,
1515 yards in. The big thing for me,
double digit touchdowns. I didn't know if
he was going to be
a huge touchdown threat. Maybe he was just going to possession
receiver, but he proved this year he can put up double digit touchdowns. He can average 20 fantasy points per game. He's top seven and fancy yards per route
run and yards per route run. And he proved,
like I said, can be a double digit guy and a lot like Ceedee LAMB. He plays majority of his routes
in the slot, fifth in slot snaps and fifth in targets here,
which are both huge. This guy is not going anywhere. He is
young,
like the first three that I talked about. If you have amon-ra on your team,
you should be extremely happy and I would not move him
unless I'm getting another one of these top three guys
or the craziest package over all. Next is AJ Brown. But before I talk about AJ Brown, I do want to acknowledge
we do not have any rookies on this list. So if you're looking for Marvin Harrison
Jr, like who maybe he should be up here. We have no rookies yet. We're going to wait till after
the combine, afte
r the draft actually, and then we're going to redo our list
with the rookies at it. So don't worry. No rookies yet, but rookies
coming in a month or two, like I said. AJ Brown The thing that really does
excite me about AJ Brown is his two years in Philly. We've seen two completely
different seasons 20, 20, 246 targets, 88 receptions, 1496
yards, 17 yards, perception 11 receiving
touchdowns, 17.6 fantasy points per game. This last year, 158
targets, 106 receptions, so 14 more for 1456 yards. So h
e's still within 40 yards of 2022,
but only 13.7 yards per reception and seven touchdowns still averaging
17 fantasy points per game. We've seen him be that just strictly
big play guy and now we're seeing him
more of a possession wide receiver. The bigger thing for me too,
this was something that I thought the gap was going to close, but he widened the gap in target
share between him and Devonte Smith. He had a 30% target here to Davante
does 22%. I know he's got those off
field issues, right? I
t's all over Twitter and everything,
but he has a massive contract that is going to be very difficult to move
for at least the next two years. So he is going to be in Philadelphia
along with Jalen Hurts. He should be good to go, move forward. They're going to keep feeding him
the ball. I would not worry
about that. With AJ Abraham sixth on this list is Garrett Wilson, fourth
in targets this year, but only got 57% of them, 95
receptions, 168 targets. Very Devonte Adams esque of last year. From wh
at we saw from him,
his pure volume stats are fantastic and that should get you excited
because he is the passing offense. Right?
Him and Bruce Hall and obviously is the wide receiver he's
going to get more downfield. But with Zach Wilson, you're
just not going to see great efficiency stats of the wide receiver writers
see their position. You're just not. It's impossible with Zach Wilson
as your quarterback. Gary Wilson has done the best
he can over the last two years. He will get Aaron Rodgers
in this next season. So even if Rodgers is 30% of himself,
he's better than Zach Wilson. And then moving forward,
he got you the excuse me, You got to believe it
can't get worse than what we've seen. Sara Wilson has shown extreme talent. He can be really, really good. That's what keeps him up here at six a lot
based on what we think we're going to see from him
as seven is who can acquire. And some of you are like, Man,
this dude should be out here. Just broke the receiving record reception
recor
d 105 receptions, 1486 errors. Some of you are like pump the brakes. Matthew Stafford's going to retire soon. Cooper Kupp coming
in. I think both sides are valid. That's why he lands here at seven for us. He's fifth in yards after catch
and sixth in yards per route run. So when he did get the ball in his hands,
he made things happen. He got the ball thrown to him a ton. But like I said, the big mystery
here, Cooper Kupp coming back full time. Matthew Stafford's future. What does that all mean? I
'm not 100% sure, but what we do know
is you don't just fluke into 105 receptions
in 1496 years as a rookie, this guy is really good
and he's going to be good for a while. And eight is Tyreek Hill. He's our first guy over 26 years old
on this list. He is 29 and has flirted
with the idea of retiring at age 30. That's really
the only reason he could be the slow, because as long as he's on the field, he's
a top three wide receiver now, 119 targets and a 100
and 119 receptions excuse me, 170 targets
with 1700 plus yards in back to back
years is insane. And the fact he got better this year
after what we saw last year, like I said, the only reason he's lowers
because of age and he's talked about maybe an earlier retirement as well, but as long as he's on the field,
he is a top three wide receiver. And now we move on to Tier B, which is our
largest tier, with eight players in it. I think this comes down to what
I talked about last year, that there are only a couple of guys
that I think are bo
na fide fantasy wide receiver ones,
but there are a ton of players who fit into that fantasy wide receiver
two category C and so obviously
this is going to be a little bit bigger. These are going to be your fringe wide
receiver. One guys at nine is going to be Chris
Holloway. Very similar to Garrett Wilson, right? He's put up good
stats, not had great quarterback work. But what the problem is going to be is there is not
an Aaron Rodgers coming in right. He has Derek Carr
at least one more season
who was top 15 in attempts
so at least he's throwing the ball and Chris Oliver was fourth and deep
target in the third on rails air yards but he was only top 20 yards
per run targets and receiving yards so there is just that missed connection
is similar to what we saw with Devonte Adams
actually when Carr was in Las Vegas. The big thing though was that
their Davante Adams had 180 targets. Chris Elway
did not have that. This last year. So we're betting on the potential here
of Chris. A lot of it
from what we've seen on the field, there's not as many stats
to necessarily back up how great he has been, but he has shown enough
in his first two seasons to keep him this high on the list. And I feel like at worst with Chris,
a lot of it, you're getting a top 15 wide receiver. Bye. I think that's his going to be his
for moving forward. Next is D.J. Moore, a guy who I personally have higher
than Chris all of my dynasty rankings. But we're going off our fellows
consensus rankings which you can
find in our chalkboard link will be in the bio
of top 30 quarterbacks, top 30 tight ends, top 50 running backs
and wide receivers in Dynasty. Like I said, free in our chalkboard,
which is in our bio. I really liked Egypt. He had a career high in receptions, yards,
touchdowns and fantasy points per game. This last year he was 10th in targets here,
eighth in area is fifth in deep targets, eighth in yards after catch top 15 at both
fantasy points per target and yards per route run at a minimum
he k
eeps the same offense and they add another good outside weapon,
maybe a marvin Harrison. But at this point
I don't think that's the route they go. I think they're very strongly
leaning towards adding Caleb Williams. They traded for D.J. Moore last year with the intent to be him
being their wide receiver, one of him being an Alpha, and he showed
that he can definitely do that. So I think they keep D.J. Moore. I think he continues to play very,
very well. And so yeah, he finished wide receiver six
this next year. I think he could do that for the next
3 to 5 years. And at 11 we start getting into these NFL
wide receiver twos with Jaylen Waddle. Let's be honest from fantasy perspective,
last year was disappointing. 72 receptions on 104 targets,
1014 yards and four touchdowns wasn't exactly what you wanted to see. It was similar to what he had last year,
except he's down 300 receiving yards because his yards
per reception went from 18 .8. 1 to 14.1,
which is honestly probably more realistic
. There are very few guys
who can maintain decent volume and 18 yards per reception here,
but he did average almost a reception more per game
because he did only play 14 games and he has shown the ability to play both
the field structure and the possession guy like he did in his first year
when he broke 100 receptions. The problem,
the thing for Jaylen Waddle is, okay, how is he going to coexist with Tyreek
Hill? We know Tyreek Hill's 170 targets per year no matter what,
as long as he's on the f
ield. If, like I said earlier, to criticize,
retire early, that's huge. But it'll be interesting to see
how Jaylen Waddle is moving forward. We know he's
an extremely talented wide receiver. We know he's in an offense
that can put up a lot of points. Can he continues to take that next step
forward at 12? Is Brandon Isaac. And you know what? He's not happy right now. He put it all over social media
right after that Super Bowl loss. He wants an extension. I don't think he's on this team
without an
extension. I don't know
if they can give him one right now. He was 30th in Target and 24th
in receptions this last year, but seventh in receiving yards and third in routes run
and then second in yards per reception. Right. So he wasn't getting the volume
he wanted. Right. Only saw 105 targets but the efficiency
he's 17.9 yards per reception like I said seventh the receiving yards
was off the charts with 15.6 points. So he did take a step forward. We saw how great of a route runner he is. If he
can go be an alpha somewhere,
I think 12 could end up being too low for Brandon NIU
if he maintains or stays on the 40 niners. I don't think it's
out of the realm of possibility. He's a 15 points per game kind of guy. 12 feels right, especially for the age
that he is at right now. 13 is Michael Pittman Jr. Another free agent. But it sounds like the colts are leaning
towards franchise tag in him which wouldn't be the worst thing
because he was the alpha this year he's 156 target 109 receptions
15
2 yards and four touchdowns. The issue with Michael Pittman
is that efficiency, like we talked about with Brandon
NIU, isn't there. He's averaged under 1111 yards
per reception two years in a row, and he's yet to score over
six touchdowns in a season. He kind of feels like D.J. Moore, except
he doesn't get the ball down the field before DJR broke out this last year. But he is a top 15 option if he is in Indianapolis next year
because he is that clear. Number one, I think if he goes anywhere,
the
re are very few places where he's not going to go and be a clear number one,
very few teams that will sign him. So I think he maintains
kind of like Chris Alavi, his four probably wide receiver, 15
through 17, So wide receiver 13 a dynasty at only 25 years of age
is a good spot for Michael Pittman. At 14 is another wide receiver too
It's Devonta Smith. I talked about it earlier with A.J. Brown. I thought that Devonte Smith
was going to lead this team in targets and set AJ Brown wide in that gap
had 156 targets to the Panthers, 112 after Devonte had 136 last season, 81 receptions, 1066 yards,
he did see his yards perception go from 12.6
climb up a little bit to 13.2. And I do think the thing that's nice to see for Devonte Smith
is that the touchdowns remained at seven so it really wasn't disappoint
he still had 14.2 fantasy points per game. He did have some big games, but I think
he is a top tier wide receiver too. I think he's slightly below that. Jaylen Waddle obviously
from where we
have him in the rankings, but for him
his ceiling is going to rely on a lot. On Jalen hurts in this offense
can Jalen hurts continue to maintain to great wide receivers
can you continue to throw the ball extremely well hopefully this
you know move moving forward they're able to kind of fix the offense from that downfall
they had over the last part of the year. Number 15 is another freeagent Tee Higgins and he I think is going to be the wide
receiver that moves. I don't think the Bengals can brin
g
him back if they do it's on a franchise tag and I'm going to be honest
I'm disappointed with how Higgins has looked 2021 We saw you know,
he had 74 receptions on 110 targets, 1081 yards and six touchdowns, 15.7
fantasy points per game. In his first year with Ja'marr Chase. So we thought, hey, they could coexist. Last two years
ago, 20.2 13.1 fantasy points per game last year, 11.5 just never could get going
from an injury perspective. Obviously missing
Burrow doesn't help either, but I think T
Higgins could go to a team
like the Chiefs. I think he you know, it depends
what he's going to chase. If he's truly chasing the bag,
probably doesn't end up on a team like Kansas City for sure
could get a franchise tag. But I think we see a bounce back this year to that 50 between 14 and 16
fantasy points came from Tee Higgins and our last guy in Tier B is D.K. Metcalf and with Geno Smith, it's really
been the tail two seasons with D.K. in 2022, he was a safety blanket guy,
141 targets, 90 rece
ptions, only 1048 yards on 11.6 yards perception and six
touchdowns, 13.3 fantasy points per game. This last year he was our targeted
by Tyler Lockett Tyler Lockett at 30 more receptions than him
he only had 120 targets only 66 receptions but he saw 1114 yards and 16.9
yards per reception and eight touchdowns and actually had more fantasy points
than he did the last season. I think this is what they want D.K. to be. They want him to be more of that field structure,
especially with Jason coming i
n lock. It's only getting older. I think D.K. is in a spot where he's going to see
more targets come in this next year. I think he's going to really emerge. They're going to continue to use him
as that alpha out there, and we're going to see more of a return,
hopefully to what we saw in 2020, because honestly,
his stats were pretty similar. He had a higher yards per reception. He only saw nine more target in 2020
because 17 more passes. So I think if that connection,
if Geno can continue to play
or start playing in a little bit
of a higher level, I think D.K. is going to be great moving forward. Seeing him back up around eight touchdowns,
he should be a double digit touchdown guy. So yeah, that that you know for me
I think D.K. at 16 is probably pretty good. I don't think we're going to see a top eight wide receiver
finish really from D.K. moving forward but I think he can flirt
with that top ten top 12. already and now we have tier C,
I got to be honest here. C is maybe a half quarter
step,
even below tier B for me, it's these younger guys who looked fantastic
this year. It's just have some question
marks moving forward and can they do it for more than one
season as 17 is rookie rice and a lot of people
liked him coming out of SMU, but a lot of people were just like,
Oh, that's another guy. More stay away just because he's a Chiefs
wide receiver, you don't want him. And he did start off
a little slower. Right? And but in the second half of the season the dude was amazing Dre
w nine targets
game seven receptions game average 86 receiving yards game lot all wide
receivers in that stretch from week 12 on with 402 yards after the catch
was the wide receiver for over that time Lucas like say I'm on raw ask
I don't quote go quite that far but it was a fantasy tastic dress from her
she writes it should make you excited. The problem for Rishi Rice is
what does it look like when they bring in another wide receiver? If they bring in like a guy
I said earlier, maybe like a tee
Higgins. I don't think it actually affects him
too much. This team threw the ball
the third most amount. Tee Higgins can be very different
than Rishi Rice. It would be
if it's like a michael Pittman, you know, a guy who's going
to play across the middle Roma dunes, a mohawk Nabors, which I don't think
they bring in someone like that. I don't think they go out and trade up to the top of the draft
to get someone like that. So it would be interesting to see. I think Rishi
Rice is the safest of thi
s tier. That's why I have him first. I don't think his role
is going to change a ton and to be the third wide receiver
really in Patrick Mahomes career behind Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill that
he actually trust I think is huge for him. And I think I think he's going to take
that next step forward. And I would not be upset
if you traded any of those guys in that that tier above him to go get Ruchi Rice. He was one of the ones
that we really debated on. Maybe moving up to Tier B
at 18 is Nico Coll
ins going into 2023? You know, you looked at Houston
and you're like, Geez, do we really want
to trust this Houston offense? There's a lot of lot going on. You know, he's a guy
maybe you can take a flier on. And then he was fantastic. Wide receiver, 1210 points per game wide, wide receiver,
12 points wide receiver, seven points per game, 80 receptions on 109 targets,
1300 yards and eight touchdowns. He had three games with over 34 fantasy points from week
11 to the end of the season. Wide receiv
er
six wide sheer form points per game. The thing is, I don't think he can keep up
this same efficiency. He's going to need
a lot more targets on 109 to catch 80 passes for 1300 yards
and eight touchdowns this year. Maybe touchdowns can say,
but he's going to need to see more volume, especially with Tank Dell coming back,
especially with them maybe bolstering up that running back room, maybe
even bringing in another wide receiver. I think he's going to need
to see more targets. So we'll see if h
e can be a target hog
this next season to propel himself. Right now, if you look at like an underdog
baseball draft, people have him going as a wide receiver. 13 For me, that's a little bit rich. I'm not quite in I'm not quite sold on
Nico Collins and another big reason he did fantastic when take Dell was out
what does it look like when tank Dell's back because Tank Dell
looked amazing for those couple of games before he got hurt
so there's a lot of question marks around Nico Collins
but I do th
ink that he's legit. I think I think at the very least, he's
a top 24 guy. You might be disappointed
if you're thinking he can be better. That's why he finds himself in this tier. And 19 is Drake London? Drake
London is kind of that opposite, right? We haven't seen that spark yet. We haven't seen the splash from Drake
London yet, but he's moving on from Desmond Ridder. He's moving on from Arthur Smith. Really threw
the ball 25 times a game last year. Just for comparison, I'm comparing him to the
Seahawks
as they're about as middle of the pack as you can get. They threw the ball 34 times last year,
so that just the fact that they could see, you know, nine, ten, 11, 12 more attempts
coming from the passing side means that there will be enough for him, for Pitts,
for Bijan, if they bring in somebody else. He's seen at least 110 targets
over the last two seasons, about 70 receptions, 900 yards. He hasn't scored many touchdowns,
but nobody on the team has. We talked about Kyle Pitts hasn't
scored many doesn't run early at 12
passing touchdowns all of last year. So his fantasy points per game
have been extremely low. Drake London is a guy I would love to go
buy right now if you can, just because I think he's going to be
about at his floor as far as fantasy goes. If they bring in like a Justin Fields,
I think that could be huge for Drake London if they bring out a Kirk Cousins,
I think that could be even bigger. In the last guy we're going to talk about
in depth is Jordan Addison. I
honestly think Jordan in did everything
you could have asked for him this year. He played well when Justin Jefferson
was on the field. He played well. You know, when they have the back of wide
receivers, he had a wide receiver. One finish against Cincinnati
with Jefferson in the game with a bad quarterback, 108 targets, 70 receptions,
911 yards, 13 years for reception. He was a big play threat
and he scored ten receiving touchdowns. So you come into next year you're hoping Kirk Cousins is back
from a fantasy perspective. If not, that means
they're probably drafting the guy. This you know,
in taking the guy in the draft, he's probably going to be better than what
we saw from the backup situation that they had
starting three different quarterbacks. And I want to see is for sure going
to be better but it probably will be. And having Jefferson on the field
definitely helps just open up the field for him as a whole. Already. That wraps up the top
20 we're going to talk about in person. I'm
going to give you five extra guys
real quick. They flowers
is that only other guy that really fits into this tier For me, he's very similar
to what I think like a Jordan Addison looked like. He met expectations this year
probably surpassed expectations. But what is this, Baltimore offense
look like moving forward? Moving into tier two, we got two young guys, two older guys,
Jeff Jackson Smith and Gigaba, you know, didn't exactly see it this year,
but still believe in that talent. Tyler Lockett
getting older
should get more opportunity this next year tank Dell
we saw the spike we saw looking great but coming off an injury can't sustain it pretty much all the same questions
we have for Nick Collins except we just didn't
see it as much as long from Take Dell and then two older guys, Deebo
Smith and Stefon Diggs. Obviously Diggs
fell off at the end of this last year, but I still think he's a pretty elite
guy, elite player. He's just going to be 29 years old.
And then Deebo Samuel, who was
good
this year, he just wasn't fantastic. Maybe he,
you know, gets better with Brandon, you help,
but he falls in as a wide receiver. 24 All right, guys, that wraps up our top
25 wide receivers in there till this make sure to at that notification
but make sure to subscribe and yeah that's
all I got podcast coming up tomorrow top 15 tight ends
coming out on Thursday with that Deuces
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